Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

White Pine Racing
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELY-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ELY-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ELY-5   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ELY-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ELY-7   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ELY-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ELY-11   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ELY-1   08/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOSSAPENNYDOWN May07 Apr02 Mar19 Sep03 Aug19 (l)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 1.60    
WASSUP BRO Oct01 Sep09 Sep01 Aug19 Oct01 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00 14% 6.10    
RIGHT ON TIME Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 Apr28 Mar15 (theurer josh)SAENZ JOE 125 10.00 7% 14.10    
W. WHITEHOUSE Mar12 Feb13 Oct15 Sep02 Aug18 (dominguez angel)CORTEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  MIGHTY TIGER Jul14 Jun22 Apr23 Apr02 Mar21 (dominguez josep)ELLIS DEVON 125 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
ELY-2   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGRY EMMY Mar15 Feb27 Feb18 Feb08 Dec04 (gale bryce)TEETER NAKIA 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
MORE THAN LIKELY Mar17         (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122 8.00    
GO GABRIELLA Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jun30 Oct14 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 2.50    
CRUSHER Jun22 Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 (tsosie te)YAZZIE H 122 10.00 7% 12.40    
BIG BLUE CAT Jul27 Jun16 Oct01 Sep03   (guadarrama o)MORENO T 125 5.00 31% 2.30    
 
ELY-5   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET MY POINT Aug10 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Mar05 (mitchell chris)TEETER NAKIA 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
ROYAL JOKER Jun15 Apr08 Feb26 May14 Mar26 (dominguez jos)ZAVALA JULIAN 125 1.60 54% 0.80    
QUEEN MYSTIC Aug10 Jul21 Jun08 Jun01 May27 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 3.50    
BET ON DAD Sep02 Aug26 May05 Mar19 Mar01 (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 2.00 14% 6.10    
MISS GRAND SLAM Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Apr26 Apr07 (tsosie te)YAZZIE H 122 5.00    
SCR  WHO'S LAUGHIN NOW Jul20 Jun12       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
STAYIN' OUT LATE Aug10 Jul20 Nov20 Oct30 Sep24 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 15.00    
NOOGE Aug04 Jun22 Apr18 Mar02 Feb11 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 4.50    
 
ELY-6   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEENEYE GEORGE Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Sep09 (theurer josh)SAENZ JOE 125 2.00    
STAND TO Jun22 Jun09 Feb29 Feb06 Jan13 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 5.00 58% 0.70    
GUNNER PAUL Jun29 Jun08 Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 (scudder mike)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00    
YATAHEY Jul20 Jun15 Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 (g)VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEV 122 3.00    
LOW DOSE Jul14 Jun30 Apr08 Oct02 Sep11 (mitchell chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Aug19 Aug06 Mar04 Feb06 Jan18 (gale bryce)TEETER CLAY 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELY-7   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST WPR Fillies Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. KRINKLES Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Apr26 Mar29 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 5.00 41% 1.40    
  (by TEXAS BLING out of ESPRESSO CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
HERSABIGGIRL Mar04 Jan28 Jan07 Nov10 Sep09 (condie ke)YAZZIE H 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BLUSH WITH REALITY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
KAMIKAZE BLUE Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 May27 Apr04 (marin mart)PRECIADO A 125 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FRANGELICA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
ROSES FOR SUZZETT Aug09 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 3.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWEETPOLLYPUREBRD by PARADING)
DONTFORGETHESUGAR Jul27 Jun29 Jun22 Jun16 Jun09 (l)VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEV 125 10.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of COPPER CITY by OLD STORIES)
BORN TO REIGN Aug04 Jul21 Jun16 Apr29 Apr10 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 125 20.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S ORDAINED by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
GUARDING ELK CAMP Aug03 Jul21 Jun08 Apr22 Mar06 (leon alexis)GAMEZ M 125 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by COAST GUARD out of DUCHESS DEBBIE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
ZZYZX Aug08 Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May17 (hanso)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MARGIE'S MINUTE by HARD SPUN)
 
ELY-8   08/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Norm Goeringer Memorial Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEEDABETTERJOCK Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 Aug26 (scudd)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of NEED TO BELIEVE by HOLY BULL)
DONTIM Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 (mcneely b)TEETER NAKIA 125 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of LADY VOGUE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
WILDCAT NEWLY         (livingston raym)ELLIS DEVON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHANTOM WILDCAT out of SHE'S STRIKING by GOLDLUST)
BERNALINHO Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 125 2.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
JON L Aug03 Jun22 Jun16 May11 Apr27 (tsosie te)YAZZIE H 125 1.60    
  (by MACHO UNO out of FEISTIER by SIR NASKRA)
 
ELY-11   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY APRIL Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Mar29 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 3.00    
JADED TIGER Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 125 2.50 70% 0.40    
CLIPPERVILE GIRL Aug11 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 Sep09 (scudder mike)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00    
SCR  HAUGHTY KITTY Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun08 (simpson shan)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 15.00    
PRINCESS AMANDA Mar25 Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 Sep30 (condie ke)YAZZIE H 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 125 1.60    
SILK ROAD SALLY Jul27 Sep23 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.