Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/2/1)-(5/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/8/7)-(1/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(1/2/5/3)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/6/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/6/2/8)-(5/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/8)-(5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/8)-(5/8/3)-(7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(7/3/2)-(7/9/11) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-8   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(7/9/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/11)-(7/9/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/11)-(7/9/11)-(7/9/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) May19 Apr07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec06 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 1.00 54% 0.80    
2  LUNARCHY Jun16 Jun01 May05 Apr14 Mar30 (flores pe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
3  CAIRO SUMMER Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr13 Mar23 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00    
4  DIXIE LOVING Jun16 Nov18 Aug26 Jan26 Dec28 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
5  NO NANNETTE NO Jun23 Jun15 Apr13 Feb09 Jan19 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  EMITYAAZ Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr13 Dec30 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00 5% 18.90    
 
HAW-2   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEA WITH LEMON Jun22 May26 May11 Apr28 Jul19 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jun29 Jun08 May14 Apr27 Apr20 (zawitz joe)SIMPSON M 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
3  MINNESOTA MOON Jun18 Jun04 May11 Apr20 Apr06 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80    
4  OVER CALENDARED Jun22 Jun01 May05 Apr20 Jan12 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00    
5  IRONMAN RICHIE Jun22 Jun01 Jul19 Jun08 May25 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  FUTURE VISION Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 May11 May05 (zawitz joel)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
 
HAW-3   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIM AND JIM Jun15 Jun08 May26 May05 Apr19 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP Jun23 Jun09 May25 Mar10 Feb23 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60    
3  MR FROST Jun22 Jun01 Nov04 Oct10 Sep05 (bahena fer)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
4  LAWMAKER Jun23 May25 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
5  MAHONEY ROAD Jun22 May11 Apr13 Mar10 Jan01 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE Jun21 May30 Apr11 Mar01 Feb08 (andrade hugo)FELIX E 122 3.50    
7  STORM'S REFLECTION Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Apr07 Nov13 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  PATH TO SUCCESS Jun23 Jun02 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-4   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LALY Jun23 Jun01 May18     (kirby j)REYES FRANK 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
2  MURPHY'S COMBO         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of EURO LILLY by EUROPE)
3  AIR GERRI Jun15 Jun01 Apr30 Apr16 Mar12 (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of AIR FEVER by AIR FORBES WON)
4  THE LAST THRILL Jun15 May18 Apr20 Mar30 Nov07 (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
5  COME ON LADY Jun23 Jun01 May18 Sep25   (childers vance)COHEN DAVID 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SHE'S A FINE LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  HARPER BRIANA Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May14 Apr30 (zawitz joe)SIMPSON M 124 15.00    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
7  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Jun30         (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
HAW-5   07/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY SKYE Jun23         (winebaugh che)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of LILI VON SHTUPP by COLONEL JOHN)
2  THUNDERSTRIKE Jun23 Dec09       (mason ingrid)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of R HOLIDAY MOOD by TRIPPI)
SCR  POSSESSION Jun30 Jun15 Jun02     (james gerald)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of EVA'S GIFT by SHACKLEFORD)
4  DEAL'EM AND WEEP Jun15         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jun30 May29 May03 Apr07 Mar28 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
SCR  CROSSANNA Jun15 May12       (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LEADING ASTRAY by BELONG TO ME)
7  ERNESTINA Jun02 May10 Apr20 Dec08 Oct22 (lopez elias)FELIX E 120 3.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MADELYN ATTACK May19 May05 Apr06 Mar23 Nov14 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
 
HAW-6   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE POISON         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of WHISTLEBERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
2  REIMAGINE         (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of HEAVENLY SIS by HARD SPUN)
3  NOTIPTONI         (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 119 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  ARRIVEDERCCI         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of CASE CRACKER by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
5  FAITH HOPE N LOVE Jun23         (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
6  LIT MISS HAT TRICK Jun02         (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of MRS. FOUAD by CREATIVE CAUSE)
7  SPICY VALENTINA         (manley steve)ORM CORY 119 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOLULA LIPS by EMPIRE WAY)
8  AMAZING ANGIE Jun11         (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of AMOROUS ANGIE by GOLD CASE)
 
HAW-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  R KATIEBUG Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar24 Feb21 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00    
SCR  ENZI Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 (berndt joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 3.50    
3  FOURFIFTYSEVEN Jun16 May26 May01 Apr07 Mar13 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPICY ITALIAN Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug17 Jul16 (catalano way)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50    
5  COMMAND POINT Jun23 Jun02 May12 Sep03 Aug23 (gonzalez agustin )EMIGH A 122 4.50 65% 0.50    
6  RUMBRANDT Jun16 Jun01 Apr14 Mar30 Nov07 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00    
SCR  SPICY DELIGHT Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr21 Nov11 (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 118 12.00    
8  CALISUE Jun16 May25 May05 Mar30 Mar09 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
HAW-8   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE GHOST Jun23 Jun09 May26 May12 Apr28 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
2  DEMAND RANSOM Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May19 May11 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWO COOKIE RULE Jun22 Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 Oct31 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  KENNESAW Jun22 Jun02 Aug06 Jul16 Jul05 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
5  PARKER Jun02 May26 May05 Apr28 Apr10 (gonzalez a)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00    
6  IDEA MAN Jun22 May26 May12 Dec02 Nov17 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
7  MAQAMAT Jun04 May26 Apr28 Apr13 Mar23 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WILDWOOD MINISTRY Jun30 Jun09 Apr30 Mar07 Dec16 (rodriguez jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
HAW-9   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BORN Apr28 Apr14 Mar30 Nov18 Nov04 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION Jun22 May16 Jan31 Dec21 Dec01 (young terr)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00    
SCR  RED HORNET Jun23 Jun01 Apr07 Mar24 Oct24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50    
SCR  ROGUE ELEMENT Jun22 Jun01 Apr14 Mar31 Jan12 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
5  SON OF GRACE Jun22 May11 Mar30 Mar23 Nov04 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jun16 May30 May13 Mar10 Jan21 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
7  LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Jun15 May26 May03 Apr19 Apr07 (simonovich )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  IMPERIAL MOMENT Jun30 Apr30 Apr16 Sep02 Aug01 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
9  WICKED SUPRISE Jun22 Jun02 May26 May11 Apr21 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
10  HONEST TO GOODNESS Jun22 Sep21 Sep03 Apr16 Nov20 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
11  KRAMDEN Jun23 Jun02 May26 May05 Apr27 (castro isi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.