Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/5/6)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/2/9/5)-(8/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/5)-(8/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/5)-(8/7/4/5)-(9/7/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (8/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/5)-(9/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/5)-(9/7/3/8)-(3/2/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-6   WIN (9/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/3/8)-(3/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/8)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/6/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-7   WIN (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/1)-(3/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jun21 Jun02 May12 Sep16 Sep03 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jun14 May31 May11 Sep17 Aug27 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
3  OUT OF STARS Jun02 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Feb28 (koler dale)MAWING A 122 4.00    
4  VHAGAR Jun21 Jun02 May11 Dec10 Nov18 (bean a)REYES R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHROME'S BEST COPY Jun14 May11 Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Jun23 Jun08 Jun02 Apr02 Mar26 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
 
EMD-2   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHINOOK BEND Jun29 Jun08 May25 May11 Jul09 (christian billy)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
2  ARIZONA DAVIN Jun15 May25 May18 May02 Apr18 (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  WE GOT SWAG Jun23 May25 May11     (martinez b)MATIAS J 121 8.00    
4  DREAM TIME Jun23 May28 May20 Mar15 Mar03 (rosales jorge)REYES R 121 3.50    
5  LONG GONE SILVER Jun14 May19 May04 Mar26 Mar12 (wright blai)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  CRAZY STORM Jun21 May11 Nov11 Oct29 Oct08 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED MEMORYS Jun23 May31 Oct02 Sep17   (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 20.00    
 
EMD-3   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEIN'S GIRL Jun16 Jun01 May19 Apr22 Mar22 (rosales jorge)REYES R 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  IN THE VAULT Jun07 May19 Oct08 Sep17 Sep10 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  SMILING THUNDER Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 May28 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EMERALD SEA Jun07 May19 Sep17 Aug26 Jul21 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 4.00    
5  MS FLASHY HARBOR Jun16 May25 May11 Apr21 Apr06 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.50    
6  HOLY TUTTA BELLA May25 May12 Apr25 Apr08 Mar05 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
 
EMD-4   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDER MACK Jun01 May11       (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PROMISE TO PEG by MINESHAFT)
2  R BARRACUDA Jun15 May04 Apr18 Mar26 Mar12 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of BLASTED BOSS by STREET BOSS)
SCR  HEZ ALL SMILES Jun15         (peery debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BETTERTHANADEQUATE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  BLUEGRASS GO GO May27 Apr29 Mar27 Mar04 Feb04 (wright blaine)REYES R 125 3.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TIZ A TEARDROP by TIZDEJAVU)
5  SIR ARGENTO Jun15 Jun01 May11 Jul09   (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
6  GRAZED BY LOVE         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of LOVE MAKOR by MAKORS MARK)
7  WHISKEYONTHEROCKS         (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of TACHIELLO by COLONEL JOHN)
8  DRIVE TRAIN Jun14 Apr25 Oct11     (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
9  DEKUDYLAN Jun01 Jan30       (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ANTEBELLUM by BIRDSTONE)
 
EMD-5   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSEMAKER Jun29 Jun07 May12 Mar28 Mar04 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
SCR  DARK MYSTERY Jun09 May25 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 5.00    
3  ITS BIG Jun09 May19 Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 (christian shaw)ENRIQUEZ D 125 20.00    
4  ANNA'S IRON MAN Jun28 Jun15 May18 Oct01 Sep25 (morris mich)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00 11% 8.20    
5  DYF Jun15 Jun02 Oct02 Sep16 Aug12 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPROSTON Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 Jan21 Jan05 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 20.00    
7  SOCAL RED Jun23 Jun09 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50 29% 2.40    
8  SURPRISE FASHION Jun23 Jun02 May25 Apr30 Apr15 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.50 34% 1.90    
9  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr24 Apr03 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00    
SCR  PLAYOFF BOUND Jun23 May31 May01 Apr08 Mar13 (toye joe)REYES R 125 8.00    
 
EMD-6   07/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAU MISCHIEF Jun22 Jun01 May19 Apr15 Mar27 (bean a)KRIGGER K 122 15.00    
2  MARCH ON LINCH Jun14 May31 May18 Sep16 Aug27 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 122 15.00    
3  THIRD WHEEL Jun23 Jun01 Jul02 Apr24 Mar25 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  RIMROCK LAKE Jun07 May11 Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 (navarro jose)MAWING A 118 20.00    
5  TORPEDO AWAY Jun15 Jun02 Apr14 Mar24 Mar09 (mccanna tim)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
6  MADE THE TEAM Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
7  CANDIED LUTE Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 Sep10 Jul30 (madrigal elo)OROZCO E 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
8  NAPOLETANO Jun16 Jun01 May19 Aug18 Jul21 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLAZE OF DREAMS Jun15 Jun02 May11 Apr20 Mar09 (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  FOREIGN PROTOCOL Jun21 Nov05 Sep24 Aug18 Jul23 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
EMD-7   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Angie Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLET KITTEN         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  HER BLIND SIDE Jun22         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of HOLOGRAEME by GRAEME HALL)
3  COMPANY GIRL Jun22         (navarro jose)MAWING A 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by BARKLEY out of OUR SILVER LINING by PACKY)
4  PRECISE TIMING         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 118 4.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
5  COCONUT DREAMS Jun22         (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MALIBU CAT by MALIBU MOON)
6  SALEEN G T         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 118 4.50    
  (by BARKLEY out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
7  STELLZONE Jun22         (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 118 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
EMD-8   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINANYWAYUCAN Jun23 Jun01 May18 Aug11 Jul29 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 10.00    
2  CANDIED JOULE Jun22 Jun07 May19 May04 Apr14 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.00    
3  ASK ALICE Jun21 Jun14 May19 Aug07 Jul17 (lucarelli f)MORALES ALLYSSA 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
4  BIKINI NATION Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (markle dan)MAWING A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SQUARE FUN Jun21 Jun02 May25 May12 Sep10 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 15.00    
6  HOT LAVA CAKE Jun21 Jun14 May19 Apr29 Apr17 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  HEY BARMAID Jun22 May26 May11 Apr07 Oct21 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 4.00 9% 9.90    
8  SETTLER'S COVE Jun22 May12 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.