Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - June 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/1/3)-(7/5/6/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(7/3/5/1)-(8/4/5/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-4   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(8/4/5/3)-(2/5/1/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (8/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (8/4/5/3)-(2/5/1/7)-(1/4/8/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(1/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   06/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
ICE STORM Mar27 Mar18 Feb27 Jan31 Aug11 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 124 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SINISTER TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
GOLDEN DIVERSION Jun04 May21 Mar28 Mar07 Feb25 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
ANTIGUA SKY         (gaskin)PATTERSON R 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of IMPULSIVE BUY by MAX FOREVER)
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Jun05 Dec15 Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of J T SAFE AT HOME by BERNSTEIN)
MIDNIGHT CHEER Apr05 Mar06 Feb16 Jan24   (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STEP ASIDE BOYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
ASD-2   06/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABER QUEEN Jun03 May28 Apr07 Mar29 Mar10 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 12% 7.10    
LOAD ABROAD Jun03 May20 Sep30 Sep19 Aug29 (anderson we)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 8.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Oct22 Oct14 Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
KATE'S PRINCESS Jun03 May20 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
FIELD LETTERS Dec21 Nov30 Nov01 Sep14 Aug17 (brown shell)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 12.00    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND May28 Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.00    
 
ASD-3   06/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL KNOWS Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.00    
SILVER MAKER Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 (donley jim)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 8.00    
DRIZZY Jun04 Sep13 Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 (scramstad les)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
HIMELSTEIN Jun04 Sep06 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (mustard doug)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
GRAND PRADO May20 Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 Feb22 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 22% 3.60    
REBOUNDER Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jun24 (keshane )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
CAJUN BERTI Jun04 Apr19 Mar08 Feb25 Jan04 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
ASD-4   06/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Sep11 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun06 (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 8.00 5% 18.90    
ETU BABOU Aug21 Jul25 Jul04 May22 Apr26 (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00    
FREE MAKER Jun04 May21 Apr27 Apr20 Mar30 (rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
STONE CAFE Aug22 Aug08 Sep25 Aug22 Aug01 (zawislak da)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 15.00    
HEAVENLY TRIP May27 Sep11 Jul03 May23 Mar16 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 4.00 7% 14.30    
SCREENPLAY May27 Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 Mar15 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 2.50    
BIG TICKET May21 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
C C'S KITTEN May27 Sep11 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 20.00    
 
ASD-5   06/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LT. NORM Jun03 May21 Apr09 Mar15 Feb28 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.40    
VALID DEFENCE May27 Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 20.00    
SUGAR DADDY JACK Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul31 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GREEN AMAZON May28 Sep19 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
SILVER JAGUAR Jul04         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 117 20.00 5% 17.40    
GIANT ONE May27 Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Sep08 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 25.00    
SIR GOOSA May28 Apr05 Mar01 Feb22 Jan24 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00    
DIAMOND CONCERTO May28 Mar09 Jan26 Jan06 Dec10 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
ASD-6   06/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW NO CALL May28 Apr13       (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 10.00 21% 3.70    
I LOVE MY LIFE May28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul12 (pruitt l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  PLUNGEINTOTHENITE May21 Jul30       (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 124 12.00    
THIRSTY BABY Jun03 Feb16 Feb03 Jan19 Dec31 (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.00    
VEGAS PLAYBOY May28 Apr03 Feb21 Jan06 Dec27 (buffalo marvi)TARASENCO P 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
ROUGH CUSTOMER May21 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Aug29 (morse victori)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
J L COPPER Sep18 Aug29       (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNIFICENT MARIO Dec10 Dec03 Nov16 Oct08 Oct01 (wise richar)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 5.00    
 
ASD-7   06/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTI May28 Nov26 Nov12 Oct27 Oct06 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Apr18 Mar28 Aug24 May20 May07 (moreno)PATTERSON R 122 10.00    
PURRSIBILITY May28 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 (donley jim)DAWKINS DANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TOTALIZER Jun03 May20 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
THE CALABRESE KID May21 Feb17 Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 124 5.00    
FRISCO KID Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb20 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
MISTER K Jun03 May20 May03 Mar17 Feb11 (gourneau je)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 4.50    
EAST RAND May27 Apr24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb22 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.