Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/4/6)-(3/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/7/1)-(10/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-4   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/10/6)-(3/7/1/10/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(10/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(10/3/4/5)-(9/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-5   WIN (10/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/5)-(10/3/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/5)-(10/3/4/5/6)-(10/3/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/4/5)-(9/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/3/4/5)-(9/8/5)-(6/3/4/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-6   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/5/7/4)-(9/8/5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/5)-(6/3/4/9/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5)-(6/3/4/9/2)-(9/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CBY-7   WIN (6/3/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/9/2)-(6/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/9/2)-(6/3/4/9/2)-(6/3/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/4/9/2)-(9/2/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
CBY-8   WIN (9/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/6)-(9/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/6)-(9/2/3/6)-(9/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEALLIGATORHUNTER May01 Feb24 Oct21 Sep09 Aug12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  HAP HOT Apr30 Apr07 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (rengstorf )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
3  CROCODILEHUNTER Jan31 Dec22 Nov24 Oct08 Sep02 (padilla t)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00    
4  MINISTER OF SOUL Apr23 Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  EXXEL Apr17 Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 122 5.00    
6  PLANE TALK Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Dec21 Dec03 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 ★    
7  SEA TO SUCCESS Apr30 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CBY-2   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOILED BRAT Apr21 Apr06 Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 (bethke troy)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 15.00    
2  RUN BAMBI RUN Mar31 Jan11 Dec09 Nov21 Jul30 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  DIXIE GIRL TO May03 Apr20 Apr05 Mar10 Mar01 (westerman)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAGEANT PURRFECT Apr23 Apr01 Dec31 Oct03 Sep18 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 8.00    
5  BEE A BALI Jul29         (hanson vi)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  ALWAYS SMILING Apr06 Mar23 Feb16 Jan12 Dec03 (williams mat)FUENTES A 124 3.50    
SCR  I CAME TO SHAME Apr20 Mar22 Mar03 Sep07 Aug27 (smith r)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
8  EXTRA INDY Apr20 Apr12 Mar29 Nov17 Oct29 (westermann )QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 ★    
9  TWITTER TRAFFIC Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb23 (roberts)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
 
CBY-3   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVOTED TO YOU Apr04 Mar14 Feb17 Jan05 Nov22 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.00    
SCR  POLITICAL RIOT Apr26 Apr06 Feb25 Feb14 Jan20 (van tay)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
3  OVERLY LUCKY Jun24 Jun03       (donlin larr)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  THICK HAZE Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Feb03 Aug30 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  STAR OF STARS May04 Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Feb25 (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00    
6  KID'S INHERITANCE Oct28 Sep04 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 (bethke tr)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAPA RIZZO Apr16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun24 Mar10 (roberts)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
8  WAR CHEST Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Jan27 Sep03 (rengstorf to)FUENTES A 124 5.00    
 
CBY-4   05/18/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIR (FR) Apr18 Mar28 Mar12 Mar05 Feb20 (fuentes rube)FUENTES A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUN LEA RUN Apr21 Apr05 Feb16 Feb02 Jan14 (rarick lynn)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 12.00    
3  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Apr21 Mar31 Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
4  DA GHOST Aug26 Aug06 Jul26 Jun17 Sep15 (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 15.00    
5  BIG PETE Mar22 Feb25 Jan28 Nov03 Oct12 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
6  INFINITE MORO Mar29 Mar17 Mar03 Feb02 Aug12 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 6.00 ★    
7  TOTAL SURPRISE Apr27 Mar15 Feb21 Feb01 Jan06 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.00 10% 9.20    
8  CALZONE Apr20 Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 (rarick ly)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
9  KAL EL Apr20 Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 Sep04 (bethke a)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 12.00    
10  SHAKE UP Apr28 Apr19 Mar28 Mar09 Feb17 (westerman)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 ★    
 
CBY-5   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES TRAFFIC Sep01         (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BLUES EDGE by OBSTACLE)
2  BER CHER Sep03         (rhone ber)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of TAPITINTIME by TAPIT)
3  MACH TWO Apr01 Sep09 Aug10 Jul20   (biehler mich)FUENTES A 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of YANKEE SWEETHEART by LION HEARTED)
4  VICTORIOUS VANDA         (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of ORCHID LANE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  WILD THOR         (tr)DA FAUSTO 119 10.00 13% 7.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WILD PENNY by CONGRATS)
6  WYNN TRIP Jan13 Dec08 Nov22 Oct25 Oct05 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of FIVE STAR SWANK by FIVE STAR DAY)
7  B L'S CONCERTO Apr20 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (donlin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
  (by TIMBER LEGEND out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
8  MAKE IT BURN Sep09         (donlin la)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 20.00    
  (by TIMBER LEGEND out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
9  CARPE GOLD Aug26 Aug10       (bethke troy)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MINE O' MINE by MINESHAFT)
10  WILSON BAY Mar16         (robertson m)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by DANZA out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
11  MR INSENSITIVE Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Oct18 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
12  BURN BOSS Sep03 Aug24 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (bedford kat)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of ADORKABLE by SAM LORD'S CASTLE)
SCR  KA POW Apr26 Jun11 May28 May13   (smith r)HARR KELSI 124 15.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of LET'S WHOOP IT UP by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  STRAITFROMTHEDUECE Oct26 Sep09       (biehler m)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SONNY RO'S by RAHY)
SCR  JAMAICA MISTAICA Apr26 Apr12 Jul02 May28 Apr29 (smith george )SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 15.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of ENCHANTING IMPACT by WAR CHANT)
 
CBY-6   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES CROSS Sep02 Aug09       (rhone bernell)LINDSAY CHAD 119 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BLUES EDGE by OBSTACLE)
SCR  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH         (ashford r)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MINNESOTA ROSE Apr10 Mar09       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CONGRATS AND ROSES by CONGRATS)
4  SASSY MAMA Apr20 Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 Jul09 (bethke troy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 ★    
  (by GET STORMY out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
5  CHARLEY PAINTS Sep09         (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.50 5% 17.90    
  (by KLIMT out of EAST SIDE CHARLEY by MR. GREELEY)
6  BATTLIN C J Sep02         (berndt joel)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 8.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BATTLIN ADALYNN by AFLEET ALEX)
7  PEARL BUTTON Sep02         (biehler m)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of SHADOW DANCE by ALMANZOR)
8  SKY KID         (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of SKY AND SEA by SKY CLASSIC)
9  HONORABLE MISCHIEF Apr28 Mar22 Sep27 Sep02 Aug09 (rosin w)FUENTES A 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BADGE OF HONOR by HONOR GRADES)
10  DIGS AND DIAMONDS Sep13         (donlin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PERFECT FASHION by EDDINGTON)
 
CBY-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Mar30 Mar08 Sep09 Aug27 Aug17 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
2  GOT GHOSTED Sep09 Aug26 Aug10     (rhone bernel)FUENTES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAUGHT OFF GUARD Dec01 Nov10 Oct20     (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
4  SUPERSTAR SWANK Sep09 Aug10       (robertson)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 8.00 10% 8.60    
5  BIRDIE MACHINE Apr20 Aug17 Jul27 Jun28 May27 (berndt )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  DISTORTED PRO Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Jul15 Jun28 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
7  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Apr21 Mar08 Dec31 Dec08 Oct07 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
8  SAM SEZ May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 (roberts j)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
9  JONNY B GONEY Sep09 Aug26 Aug10     (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
CBY-8   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH ARM BAY Apr27 Apr07 Aug27 Jul22 Jul13 (be)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00    
2  TENTH STREET DON Apr17 Apr09 Mar11 Feb27 Jan26 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  MARTINI BLU May04 Mar22 Feb10 Aug03 Jul02 (robertson)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 Feb11 Jan12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
5  HI YAH May03 Apr19 Mar24 Feb10 Dec30 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 8.00    
6  CITRUS BAY Apr19 Mar22 Mar10 Feb19 Feb02 (tranquili)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Oct29 Oct21 (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00    
8  BOAT SONG May04 Feb11 Dec17 Oct28 Sep14 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50    
9  IN THE ARCH May03 Mar14 Dec29 Dec13 Nov30 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 6.00 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.