Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(8/4/9)-(2/3/4/1/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CTM-6   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/9)-(2/3/4/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CTM-7   WIN (2/3/4/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1/9)-(2/3/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1/9)-(2/3/4/1/9)-(2/3/4/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOW Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOB BOSS May04 Mar09 Feb25 Feb03 Dec08 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  PUMP THE BRAKES Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Aug25 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 5.00    
3  COOLCROSS Mar09 Feb01 Jan20 Jan06 Dec18 (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 125 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  SHORTY THE SWEDE Jul23 Jul01 Jun16 May26 May06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN Oct17 Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEHIND THE CURTAIN May04 Feb11 Jan19 Dec01 Oct14 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
7  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Dec09 Nov17 Oct14 Oct07 Sep17 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00    
 
CTM-4   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKOBS ROCKET BOY May04 Sep16 Aug05 Jul21   (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
SCR  TAYLOR FIELD Sep23         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KEEP IT A SECRET by THUNDER GULCH)
3  HARD DIAMOND May04 Nov17 Oct15 Sep17   (rycroft tom)BRYAN D 120 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ISABEL'S ON IT by DUBAWI)
4  CAPE'S LEGACY May04 Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 120 4.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
5  NORTHERN FORCE Oct14 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07   (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NORTHERN STORM by ROSBERG)
6  CHARLIE'S COPY Apr12 Mar22 Feb17 Jan31   (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of INSTANT COPY by INVISIBLE INK)
7  CHICKS DIG CAPES Sep01 Aug04 Jul21     (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CHECKPLUSCHICK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  HARBOR DANCER         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of DANZINGWITHZDEVIL by POLISH)
 
CTM-5   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOW Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN JEWEL May04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00    
SCR  KYSTONE Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 Oct15 Oct01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00    
SCR  RIVERSIDE Apr24 Apr04 Feb20 Feb06 Jan25 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
4  PARKING PERMIT Aug25 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May26 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
5  DERZKII Dec15 Nov25 Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50    
6  H K RAPPER May04 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 (c)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jan13 Dec31 Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  KEEN FLATTER May04 Dec03 Aug06 Jun11 May21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00    
 
CTM-6   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOW Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRATTON Mar10 Feb23 Aug06 May28 May12 (z)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00    
SCR  STONE CARVER Apr11 Mar20 Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 3.00    
3  FLASHFORDANI Oct21 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 12.00    
4  DRINKING AGAIN Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00 12% 7.70    
5  SMART PLAY Oct15 Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 4.00    
6  RAILWAY Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  TOOL TIME May04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 123 5.00    
8  FOUR O SIX CREED Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 65% 0.50    
9  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 Aug11 Jul30 (rycroft tom)BRYAN D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA'S WILD CHILD         (humbke ch)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 25.00 10% 9.30    
2  MILITARY SASS Oct22 Sep24 Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  BURNING UP May04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  ANNA'S GIRL Mar16 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01   (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.50 10% 9.10    
5  PARZANNI Sep04 Aug21       (davies dean)PERIBAN ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEETSINGINGANGEL Sep23         (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 120 10.00    
SCR  SALTY CAT Sep01         (nicholson david)BRYAN D 120 15.00    
8  CINNAMON SAINT Jun09         (humbke cher)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 125 20.00    
9  LOVEMOR Oct07         (heggie )CHASE RICHARD 115 25.00 5% 19.00    
10  COOL MOOD (BRZ) Oct15         (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 15.00    
SCR  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.