Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/2/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/5)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/10/2)-(6/3/1/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(6/4/1)-(8/3/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/3/10/9)-(6/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (8/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/6)-(8/3/10/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-7   WIN (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/8)-(1/7/2/3)-(4/7/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(4/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/1/8)-(4/7/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN COLE         (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of VEGAMIN by STREET BOSS)
2  SOUPED UP WILDCAT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of FIRST TO BLUSH by JACK WILSON)
3  FAST MEDICINE         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CORRECT CALL by BUCKPOINT (FR))
4  TENSAS BOLT         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
5  BLINGSTER         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 5.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPLENDORED by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  GO LAUREN GO         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 8.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SWEETLY SASSY by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LS-2   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSTY GADGET Apr27 Apr05 Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  WILLIE'S POSSE Apr21 Apr05 Feb03 Jan05   (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  THRILL OF HOPE         (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 7% 13.20    
4  UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR Apr21 Apr05 Mar17 Feb03   (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 6.00    
5  DEVITO Apr21 Mar01 Jan13 Jun24 Jun04 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Mar23 Feb19 Feb09 Jan21   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00    
7  ALPHABET ADAMS Apr21 Mar24 Mar15     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 8.00    
 
LS-3   05/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVAILABLE STAR Apr07 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan21 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 7% 13.50    
2  BRUCELEA Apr19 Mar09 Feb17 Jul02 May05 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SATURDAY'S GOLD Apr07 Mar16 Feb17 Feb09 Jan11 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  TEAM LEADER Feb23 Oct19 Sep29 Sep06 Jun25 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00    
5  MY GOLDEN M Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 May27 May05 (sauceda jess)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 30.00    
6  JACKMAN'S RIDE Apr21 Feb04 Dec04 Oct13 Sep23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 54% 0.80    
7  STRAIGHT LUCK Feb17 Nov25 Aug20 Jun11 May12 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00    
8  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Apr19 Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 Jan05 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 5.00    
9  BRAHMS BOY Apr28 Apr07 Mar08 Feb11 Jan19 (sauceda jesse)DIEGO V 120 20.00    
10  ATRAS Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug19 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 ★    
 
LS-4   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPETOWN CANDY May03 Mar29 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (g)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Apr26 Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 Dec18 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
3  JUST ADORABLE May03 Apr06 Mar29 Feb19 Feb10 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 118 4.50    
4  MISCHIEF ANGEL Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 Dec13 Nov08 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.20 24% 3.20    
SCR  CATHOLIC SUE May04 Apr18 Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 (broberg karl)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00    
6  ART QUEEN May03 Mar21 Mar10 Feb25 Feb02 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  MIRACLE SHOES Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Mar01 Feb02 (rowland chris)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
 
LS-5   05/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIROSILVER AWAY Mar29 Oct21 Sep22     (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
2  CANDY OAK Mar03 Oct25 Aug04 Jun30   (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00    
3  SAY CHEEZ LOUISE Jan27         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  MARQUETTE WARRIOR Apr06 Feb10 Dec31 Dec03 Oct21 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
5  TEXAS MOON Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 Nov21 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 15.00    
6  GET READY GAL Apr21 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Feb04 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  KENTUCKY ANGEL Mar23 Mar03 Feb04 Nov10 Jul04 (bustamante ray)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
8  CONTOUR Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
9  KRIK TAK Mar03 Dec15 Nov10 Sep30 Aug31 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHAINSAW CITY Mar03 Feb10 Oct25 Sep22 Sep01 (davis shaw)ERAMIA E 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
LS-6   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE HORSESHOE Apr28 Dec30 Dec16 Nov17 Nov03 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  CANDY TAP Sep27 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun15 (triana jua)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
3  AZUNIA Mar23 Mar02 Jan28 Jan05 Dec01 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO HANDS FULL Apr28 Apr01 Mar08 Feb19 Jan26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
5  CONFLICTING TALES Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan21 Nov02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.50    
6  JULIARD HONOR Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Nov17 (hibdon n)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FREEZER BURN Dec02 Oct20 Aug12 Jun24 Jun02 (bryant georg)PIVARAL GERBER 124 10.00    
 
LS-7   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MONEY Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 May06 Feb24 (castellano)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
2  WIN WORTHY Apr19 Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BUY ME CANDY Feb16 Apr23 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 4.50    
4  WORDS OF WISDOM Apr18 Mar24 Mar10 Feb18 Dec07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
5  WITT'S TAQUITO Apr21 Apr07 Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 (sauc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
6  MOR VICTORY Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov03 Oct13 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
7  BROCK ON BY Feb24 Feb10 Nov04 Aug07 Jul24 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
8  GOOD SWIMMER Apr18 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TED Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Sep29 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  GEE GEE Mar25 Dec08 Nov11 Oct12 Jun16 (keithan racha)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00    
 
LS-8   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDERA AZTECA Apr27 Apr19 Apr06 Mar08 Feb02 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
2  SUMMER IN MALIBU Apr19 Mar02 Feb03 Dec17 Oct25 (diodoro robertino)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
3  BLING MOUNTAIN Apr28 Apr05 Mar09 Jan26 Jan05 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COUSIN LARRY Apr07 Mar24 Feb24 Dec14 Nov09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
5  LARRY'S LEGEND Apr28 Mar07 Jan05 Nov17 Oct07 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 120 8.00    
6  BALSA Apr14 Mar22 Mar10 Feb09 Nov02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
7  BOUGIE JOE Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 Jan19 (pish da)GONCALVES R 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
LS-9   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN SKY Apr21         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00 ★    
2  THREAD OF GOLD Apr19         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 5.00    
3  SHERRYS RIDGE         (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 20.00 15% 5.50    
4  SARAH P Apr19 Feb23 Jan25     (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  RUBY SOHO Apr19 Mar22 Apr30 Apr16 Feb26 (caldwell r)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
6  SOLECITA Apr27 Mar22 Feb24 Feb11 Feb03 (coats j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
7  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Apr19 Apr07 Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
8  TWILIGHT STORM Apr06 Jan20       (akin steven )PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  ANNA MARIE Apr27 Mar22 Feb11 Jul03   (dodson clifford)SANCHEZ M 124 15.00    
10  GHURAIR IS JIM Apr27 Mar22 Feb24 Jan05   (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.