Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(3/10/2)-(3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (3/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/2)-(3/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10/2)-(3/10/2)-(3/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2)-(3/6/4)-(5/9/4/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/9/4/3/6)-(2/12/3/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (5/9/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/3/6)-(5/9/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/3/6)-(5/9/4/3/6)-(5/9/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/12/3/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/3/13)-(2/12/3/8/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/3/13)-(2/12/3/8/13)-(2/12/3/8/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/3)-(10/4/8/7)-(10/7/12/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-8   WIN (10/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/7)-(10/4/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/7)-(10/4/8/3/7)-(10/4/8/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/8/7)-(10/7/12/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-9   WIN (10/7/12/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/12/5)-(10/7/12/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/12/5)-(10/7/12/5)-(10/7/12/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE TREE Mar24 Feb18 Jan19 Nov30   (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 4.00    
2  IMPOVERISHED Apr21 May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
3  TOOTHMAN Apr02 Mar15 Feb18 Aug19 Jul04 (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  MR. SHORTY Apr26 Jan11 Nov15 Oct20 Sep12 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.00 19% 4.10    
5  GIVE HIM TIME Apr21 Feb25 Dec29 Oct08   (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAPOTE'S GLITTER Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Mar24   (u)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
 
LS-2   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 34 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RINGSIDE Apr06 Feb22 Feb01 Nov11 Oct13 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  DARK RUM Apr06         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SENSE OF BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
3  YOUNG POPE Apr07 Mar15 Feb29     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MIND HUNTER Apr18 Apr06       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIPPERY by FOREST WILDCAT)
5  BISHOP CREEK Mar22         (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 119 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of STAMP by WAR FRONT)
6  PATRIOT HILLS Mar21 Feb18 Jan01 Oct14 Sep01 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TEMPERIT by TAPIT)
7  MACHO GRANDE Mar22 Feb25 Jan07 Nov24 Nov03 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 119 4.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
 
LS-3   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LO PROFILE Feb16 Jan28 Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 4.50    
2  PROSSIMO Mar29 Mar01 Feb04     (young bob)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  UTSIRA Apr21 Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.20 49% 1.00    
SCR  CHARMING LEAH Mar30 Feb16 Jan21 Nov10 Sep12 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
SCR  KOLLYNS JULIE Apr21 Mar29 Oct25 Sep22 Sep04 (m)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
6  IN A MINESHAFT Apr21 Mar24 Mar15 Feb19 Jan20 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
SCR  PLATINUM PHANTOM Mar03 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Jul23 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
8  FLYIN WITHTHE BOSS Mar29 Mar15 Feb19 Jan27 Sep30 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 118 5.00    
SCR  PALACSINTA Mar30 Mar03 Oct12 Sep09 Aug26 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 20.00    
SCR  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Feb24         (keithan racha)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
 
LS-4   05/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMSTONE GAL Nov28 Nov06 Sep03 May28 Apr02 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 120 5.00    
2  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Apr06 Mar10 Feb10 Dec15 Oct26 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 120 12.00    
3  OLIVIA G Mar20 Mar07 Feb08 Jan28 Dec29 (west g)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  RECLUSIVE Apr18 Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RANEEM Feb27 Jan19 Nov28 Nov06 Sep03 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00    
6  TIFFANY TWIST Apr15 Mar04 Dec15 Nov14 Oct25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 16% 5.10    
 
LS-5   05/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROZEY CHEEKS Apr05 Mar22 Feb16 Jan19 Nov02 (mendo)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 6.00    
2  BASKET CASE Apr26 Mar16 Feb03 Jan21 Jan13 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
3  WA WA WEE WA Apr19 Apr07 Mar29 Mar21 Feb23 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00 10% 9.40    
4  PUT A BOW ON IT Apr28 Mar17 Mar02 Feb16 Jan13 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
5  SIMPLE PLEASURE Apr19 Mar01 Feb22 Jan20 Dec13 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SHINING EXAMPLE Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SALTAMONTES DIVA Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
8  TEXAS RED BEL Mar17 Feb19 Jan26 Jan13 Oct26 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
9  SHELL SHOCK Apr26 Mar24 Feb25 Feb16 Feb02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.60 13% 6.60    
 
LS-6   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb02 (saavedra mary)GLASS DERBE 115 20.00    
2  GRACIE'S KITTEN Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Nov10 Nov01 (maker michael)CABRERA DAVID 120 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  COPPER KAN Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 Jul01 Jun16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  ATHENA D'ORO Mar29 Feb24 Feb04 Jun17   (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 118 6.00    
5  TEXAS TWINKIES Mar22 Dec17 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 12.00    
6  MOLA MIA Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
7  WICKED SONG Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb25 Jan26 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 20.00    
8  TAKE MY PICTURE Apr06 Feb24 Jan05     (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  THE NEXT BIG BLING Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 (jacks e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
10  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (youn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00    
11  CROSS CLAIM Apr19 Mar30 Feb16 Jul01 Jun23 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
12  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Apr06 Mar24 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 118 4.50 12% 7.20    
13  DULCE AMANECER YG Apr21 Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 (m)DE CRUZ 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
14  BLUE HEAVENLY Apr21 Mar30 Mar20 Mar03 Feb10 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 12.00    
 
LS-7   05/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Apr07 Mar24 Mar16 Mar03 Feb17 (schneider w)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
2  NORTHWIND Apr26 Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Feb09 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  CLASSIC RUNNER Apr18 Apr05 Mar09 Mar01 Feb19 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  IOWA HAWKEYE Mar19 Feb20 Jan30 Aug19 Aug05 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
5  CAPTAINS COVE Apr18 Mar24 Jan12 Dec19 Nov22 (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
6  KENTUCKY ICE Apr18 Mar30 Mar15 Jan28 Dec08 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50    
SCR  KITTER KAT Apr05 Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 Dec07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00    
8  KENTUCKY BOURBON Dec08 Nov15 Sep30 Aug04 Jul01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
9  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jan12 Aug07 Jul03 Jun02 May07 (m)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   05/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL AMERICAN LADY Mar22 Mar08 Feb24 Jan28 Jan05 (eoff terry)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  DIVERTIDA Mar22 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Dec01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GET TIED ON by TASSO)
3  BUBBLES AND BLING Mar29 Mar16 Feb03 Feb18 Jan28 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 6.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
4  TAPS MISTRESS Mar29 Feb18 Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  ALONG CAME THUNDER May21 May12       (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
  (by MOON THUNDER out of ALONG CAME KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  LAVENDER WILL Apr21         (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 118 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
7  INDY LA PRIMERA Mar16 Feb17 Jun03     (rangel raul)DIEGO V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of I'M INDY HAVIN FUN by INDYGO MOUNTAIN)
8  AVALING Apr06 Mar16       (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.50 7% 13.50    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of ZERLINA by HANSEN)
9  MIZZ FACTOR Mar29 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Dec07 (padi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
10  BLUEBONNET GIRL Apr21 Feb10 Jan07     (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 118 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
11  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Mar30 Feb11 Jan26 Jul01 Jun23 (chaparro gay)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
  (by CORD'S KOKO NIGHT out of EMBRACETHELADY by EMBRACE THE STORM)
 
LS-9   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS REIGN Apr05 Mar15 Feb19     (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00    
2  GWYNETH'S MALIBU Mar30 Mar03 Jan20 May06 Mar11 (hjort don)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00    
3  FLYING J RAGNAR Apr06 Feb10       (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
4  CISCO KID Mar21         (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00    
5  SHARP SPARK Feb29 Jan13       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR SNERDLY Mar30 Sep24 Sep09     (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 30.00    
7  PEARSE Apr06 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Nov09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MR INSENSITIVE Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Oct18 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
SCR  R R EMPIRE Feb25 Jan28 May05 Apr16 Mar09 (k)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
10  DARING REASON Mar24 Mar08 Feb01     (rossi j)DIEGO V 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  CARGO PANTS Apr07 Mar09 Feb11 Jan19   (triana ju)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00    
12  IN FORM Apr12 Mar09       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.50 7% 12.50    
SCR  SILENT REASON Apr05 Feb07 Jan07     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.