Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(4/2/1)-(1/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/5/6/3)-(5/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3)-(5/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(5/1/3/7)-(3/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7)-(3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/7)-(3/8)-(7/1/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/8)-(7/1/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(7/1/5/6)-(1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/6)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/6)-(1/2/6)-(6/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/2/8)-(6/9/7/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO DENYING DENIS Apr11 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
2  LUCKY BLONDE Apr11 Mar30 Dec02 Nov11 Nov04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 10.00    
3  CHANGE THE WORLD Apr13 Sep22 Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 4.50 14% 6.30    
4  THE SKY IS FALLING Apr13 Mar23 Feb17 Jan10 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  HESSICA Apr11 Oct14 Sep30 Aug25 Aug12 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 20% 4.00    
6  JUBA'S PARADE Apr13 Mar23 Jan27 Jan12 Nov04 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUBASLILBALLERINA Apr11 Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
SCR  DWELLING LEGACY Apr06 Feb21 Jan14 Dec16 Oct26 (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
 
CT-2   05/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINNACLE REEF Mar13 Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Dec01 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWILIGHT YEARS Feb09 Nov07 Oct16 Sep25 Aug13 (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  OCEAN STORM Apr19 Mar29 Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
4  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
5  DOCTOR PARDO Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
6  JACKSON MAN Oct27 Oct14 Sep04 Aug20 Jul12 (harrison glenn )PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
7  MEETMARYSMAN Apr26 Mar21 Mar13 Feb21 Feb02 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
8  NEVERFOLD Apr14 Nov30 Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL THUNDER Apr12 Mar21 Feb29 Feb10 Jan24 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 1.20 43% 1.30    
2  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Mar21 Feb01 Dec15 Dec07 Sep20 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
3  CAPE LOOKOUT Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 Dec13 (schottroffe edwa)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SETTLEMENT DATE Apr19 Apr13 Mar29 Mar13 Mar02 (gomez r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
5  MASAI MAN Mar23 Mar16 Mar08 Mar01 Feb02 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
6  MISTER WINSTON Mar21 Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 Dec08 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 9% 10.60    
7  HAPPY CHAMP Mar20 Feb28 Jan24 Nov29 Nov19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
8  FEARNOUGHT Apr19 Mar29 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 (clatterbuck f)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
 
CT-4   05/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BABY GIRL Apr12 Feb09 Jan27 Dec23 Oct29 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by OXBOW out of VUEMONT by A.P. INDY)
2  WAC IS FAST Apr20 Mar27 Mar02 Aug23   (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
3  CAST YOUR NET Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Dec20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
4  SUGAR MOMMA         (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 116 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHOCOLATE SMOOTHIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  JOLENES ECLIPTICAL Mar27         (stites w)ACOSTA D 116 3.50 38% 1.70    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COUNTRY WOLF by CITY WOLF)
6  MALTESE ROSE Mar22 Feb15 Nov24     (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  DEE DEE SIX Mar27 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (ciprian)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
8  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb15 Dec15 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
 
CT-5   05/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  XTENDED STREAK Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 Nov01 Oct19 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50    
2  GIRLS PERFUME Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Feb03 Jan13 (tuomisto cliffor)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
3  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Feb29 Jan10 Sep07 Jul15 Jun24 (bass curtis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
4  WINDSOR'S MEMORY Mar27 Mar21 Mar02 Jan26 Jan12 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00    
5  MAD SWANN Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 Nov04 Sep22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  PATTI BLUE EYES Mar09 Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 (brown a)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
7  DIXIE YODELER Mar27 Mar02 Feb08 Dec14 Nov25 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
8  JUBA'S PUNCH Apr18 Mar27 Mar14 Feb17 Jan27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
CT-6   05/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT ROCK Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  GOLD FIBER Mar16 Feb24 Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
3  MISSIONARY Mar30 Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50    
4  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Apr19 Mar28 Mar13 Mar02 Jan31 (rideout anthon)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
5  DE'S CASTLE Apr13 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Feb02 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 6% 15.00    
6  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Apr18 Feb24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PINK DINGHY Mar02 Feb03 Dec08 Aug18 Jul21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  REMYS GUNSMOKE Mar21 Feb23 Dec16 Jan19 Jan07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Apr04 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 60% 0.70    
2  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Apr04 Mar16 Feb07 Jan25 Nov22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
3  MACHEN'S RIDGE Apr20 Apr04 Mar29 Feb23 Dec09 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
4  SARGENT KOBE Apr04 Mar16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
5  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 Jan31 Nov30 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  ROCKET APPEAL Apr19 Mar20 Mar02 Feb07 Dec14 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MASTER THIS Apr04 Mar07 Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 ★    
8  HAPPY YEARS Nov06 Sep19 Aug22 Jul16 Jun20 (calhoun amanda)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK Mar28 Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Jan04 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEATTLE PRINCE Apr13 Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 Dec15 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  W V LAD         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of EASY MOVER by OUTFLANKER)
3  CANO'S BABY Apr11         (pennella m)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
4  A FAIR NOTION Mar13         (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of AUTUMN AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
5  SAN SEBASTIAN Jan24 Dec15       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
6  BIG BOY OVI Apr19         (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.60 53% 0.90    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
7  MAJESTY'S COWBOY         (shuler r)LARROSA G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of CITY BEAT by TEMPLE CITY)
8  DEVILS WAR CRY Apr22 Dec12       (cuttino l)MAWING A 122 12.00 ★    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of DEVIL'S FLAIR by TEUFLESBERG)
9  TUP'S TO TAKE Apr11 Mar21       (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 22% 3.40    
  (by TUP TAKE' PLEASE out of BRENDAS KISS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.