Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - April 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (3/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/5)-(6/7/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/3/7)-(8/6/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7)-(1/8/6/4)-(2/6/4/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-7   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(2/6/4/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-8   WIN (2/6/4/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/8/10)-(2/6/4/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/8/10)-(2/6/4/8/10)-(2/6/4/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARA SMILES Mar24 Feb25       (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of LIGHT DEELITES by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
R R JUDE Apr07         (dieter dalton)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 6% 16.10    
  (by BRAHMS out of MS DIXIE GIRL by EVEN THE SCORE)
NONA Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Oct21 Sep30 (hoffman robert)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.80 54% 0.80    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of ELUSIVE VACATION by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  EYE EYE BIRDIE Mar24         (emerson elisabet)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of P R KIPLING'S GOLD by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
SHE AINT A BEAUTY Apr19         (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DISTANT DELTA by DECARCHY)
DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Apr12 Mar22 Feb25     (mcclain stanl)BACON W 120 10.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
ALL LEGS Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25   (musquiz j)DELORME L 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
 
FON-2   04/26/2024 2640ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD AS YOU Apr13 Mar29 Mar10 Nov30 Oct29 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00    
ALWAYS A TIZ Apr06 Mar10 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Apr07 Mar17 Mar01 Aug13 Jul27 (gourneau jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
DONNAS FINAL WORD Apr13 Mar29 Mar10 Mar01 Feb17 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
OUR PETUNIA Apr19 Sep19 Sep06 Aug29 Jul29 (cavanaugh per)BACON W 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
GEORGIANO Apr07 Mar17 Oct28 Oct22 Sep15 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
LONG MONDAY Apr12 Mar29 Mar10 Feb25 Oct29 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
FON-3   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME SUGAR Apr12 Mar24       (thomsen paula)BACON W 120 20.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of GOLDEN BROWN SUGAR by MINE FOR GOLD)
RUN FOR MRS RIGGS Apr12 Mar24 Jun17 May12 Apr29 (black marissa)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 13% 7.00    
  (by BANDWIDTH out of BACKINTHEGAME by LANGFUHR)
TRAINCY Apr12 Mar24 Mar10     (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  ROSIE TWO SOCKS Apr07         (dieter dalton)DELORME L 121 15.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of IMPEACHMENT'S ROSE by IMPEACHMENT)
GO LILLY GO Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25   (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ANOTHER VEGAN by ISTAN)
P R POSIE GAME Apr12 Mar15 Mar10 Feb25 May20 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of P R LYING HEART by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
SCR  R R MESA Apr05         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 121 20.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of MISS SKY ROCKET by SKY MESA)
DIAMOND GO GIRL Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25   (donlin d)RAMOS B 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SING BABY SING out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
 
FON-4   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NAPO Mar02 Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (ibanez albert)BACON W 120 20.00    
WANTABE Apr19 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
MOONSPLASH Mar22 Sep09 Aug19     (rushton stac)JOURNET JARRED 121 20.00    
KA POW Jun11 May28 May13     (smith r)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
ONE PRETTY GIRL Mar30 Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 Oct21 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 15.00    
DADSAMUMBLER Apr12 Mar30 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00    
JAMAICA MISTAICA Apr12 Jul02 May28 Apr29 Apr21 (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
WAR HAWK Apr12 Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Nov30 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 0.80 41% 1.50    
BENZ LAKE THUNDER Apr12 Mar22 Mar17 Sep09 Aug26 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 10.00    
 
FON-5   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTER MAZ Apr20 Apr14 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLUEGRASS BREEZE Apr14 Mar23 Feb25 Dec16 Nov18 (curran ra)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
MR CREED Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Dec13 Oct18 (martinez kell)BACON W 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
STAR OF STARS Mar29 Mar16 Feb25 Sep24 Sep10 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Apr07 Mar23 Mar05 Feb01 Dec14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
BRILLIANT COLORS Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
MONTEREY PENINSULA Apr14 Mar29 Mar16 Mar09 Oct21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
FON-6   04/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I GUESS NOT Mar22 Mar15 Oct28 Oct21 Sep08 (stivers ryan)BACON W 120 12.00    
HIT'EM UP Apr12 Apr06 Mar15 Mar02 Feb23 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
TERRI GOT A FRIEND Apr10 Feb07 Jan04 Dec18 Aug03 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
SAENGER STAR Apr20 Mar29 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
MISS GRAND SLAM Apr07 Mar22 Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
MINNIE'S READY Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Jan12 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.50 27% 2.70    
RICHIE'S GAL Apr20 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
KINGMAKING (GB) Apr12 Dec15 Sep21 Aug29 Jul27 (stivers ryan)DELORME L 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
PIZZA GIRL Mar30 Mar22 Oct28 Oct22 Oct07 (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
 
FON-7   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SPIRIT Apr12 Oct22 Aug19 May01   (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 2.00 65% 0.50    
MOR FOXY Mar29 Mar16 Feb25 Feb17 Dec23 (ramaekers eri)BACON W 116 12.00    
KONA KINLEY Apr14 Mar29 Mar08 Mar03 Dec14 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00    
DONNA LIRICA Apr14 Apr06 Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 Oct22 Oct01 (lemburg mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00    
BEULAH K Mar02 Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Dec15 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 5% 18.90    
CZECHITOUT Apr21 Apr06 Mar22 Mar10 Dec08 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
RUN FOR JOY Apr14 Mar29 Mar10 Mar03 Feb25 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 7% 13.80    
 
FON-8   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREY BEAUTY Apr12 Mar30 Feb23 Jan25 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
NORTHERN GEM Apr14 Mar15 Mar01 Oct27 Oct21 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
MRS. KRINKLES Mar29 Mar02 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 5.00    
STOLEN HALO Apr12 Mar29 Mar01 Oct29 Oct21 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  YANKEE PRIDE Apr21 Oct27 Oct08 Oct01 Sep11 (rhodes leste)JOURNET JARRED 125 20.00    
QUALITY BOW Apr12 Mar29 Mar16 Mar02 Feb18 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
T R'S FIRST Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan19 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
PICTORIAL Apr13 Mar23 Jul10 Jun17 May13 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 15% 5.60    
STREAMER Mar15 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 (gourneau jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 20.00    
10  AKASI Apr12 Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec13 (thompson grad)BACON W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.