Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(3/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(1/2/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/1)-(1/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/1)-(1/2/3/7)-(3/8/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/7)-(3/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/7)-(3/8/7/5)-(4/8/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/5)-(4/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/5)-(4/8/6/7)-(4/7/3/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/3/7)-(4/8/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/7)-(4/7/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/7)-(4/7/3/8/9)-(7/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/7/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/8/9)-(4/7/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/8/9)-(4/7/3/8/9)-(4/7/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/3/8/9)-(7/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/8/9)-(7/3/5)-(4/8/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL STORMY Feb08 Dec08 Nov24     (chatters benar)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 10% 8.70    
  (by GET STORMY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
2  SNOW KING Feb09 Jan05 Dec14     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPIT out of FIFTY FOOT WOMAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  WRINKLE ROAD Feb04 Dec07 Nov18     (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by SATURDAY LAUNCH out of ZELNA J by ROY)
4  HOLD MY BEER BRO Feb04 Nov10 Oct24 Sep15   (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 4.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
5  KENTUCKY DAWN Feb04 Jan07 Sep28 Aug31   (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of EARNINGS RELEASE by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  PHILANTHROPER Feb04 Jan07 Dec14 Oct20   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.60    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
7  PAYNT         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CANADIAN SUNSET by CONGRATS)
8  SKI CAT Feb04 Jan07 Nov04 Oct21   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
 
HOU-3   03/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEANOS CAPE Feb09 Jan27 Dec09 Nov29 Nov17 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABSAROKA Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 Oct20 Sep27 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
3  PRINCE RAMA Feb09 Jan19 Dec07 Oct27 Oct06 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
4  CLIFF DIVER Jan26 Jan06 Dec16 Nov01 Oct06 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
5  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Feb18 Jan28 Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  GIST Feb02 Dec09 Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
7  CATHOLIC GUILT Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Oct12 Sep29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00    
 
HOU-4   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH'S CANDY Dec08 Nov13 Nov01 Sep30 Sep08 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
2  RECLUSIVE Feb09 Jan20 Jul01 Jun09 May20 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  YVONNE'S MISS Feb19 Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
4  ACCELERATE JUDY Feb09 Jan20 Dec01 Nov02 Sep27 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
5  EAGLE EXPRESS Feb04 Jan06 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00    
6  BLUSHING BELLE Jan28 Jan20 Sep18 Aug08 May23 (love alan)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
7  ELLE OF THE BALL Dec15 Nov21 Oct25 May03 Mar31 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 7% 13.40    
 
HOU-5   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDEERESS Nov30         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of THE CAT'S REACH by BERNSTEIN)
2  MAGENS BAY Dec14         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CABANA by FLATTER)
3  PRONUNCIATION Feb04 Nov10 Oct21     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by QURBAAN out of SARAAMA by BAHRI)
4  PROSSIMO Feb04         (young bob)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of RUN ROSIE by CHEROKEE RUN)
5  FLAT OUT FANCY Sep01         (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STORMQUILITY by AFTER MARKET)
6  MADE AN OFFER Jan27         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNCONTROLLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Feb10 Jan05       (whitelaw michael )DIEGO V 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
8  STRIKE THE BELL Feb04         (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STRIKING BELLA by SMART STRIKE)
 
HOU-6   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OZZIES WINGS Y G Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 Jul03 (mend)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 12.00    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb19 Feb09 Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00    
3  CINCO MAJESTIC Jan19 Jan12 Nov20 Nov04 Sep29 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 ★    
4  CASTILLE Nov16 Oct26 Sep06 Aug08   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 4.50 62% 0.60    
5  BOLD EXCAPER Feb19 Jan20 Jan05 Dec13 Nov17 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
6  LOVE SPELL Feb19 Jan13 Jan05 Nov15 Sep30 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 6% 15.40    
7  WINDY O K C Feb10 Dec16 Oct06 Sep13 Aug31 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Jan27 Jan05 Sep02 Aug07 Jul30 (hebert ma)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 3.50 9% 9.60    
SCR  CINCO EL SOVEREIGN Feb10 Jan12 Dec16 Oct26   (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00    
10  FROM PIT TO PALACE Feb16 Jan27 Nov10 Oct14 Sep14 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 30.00    
 
HOU-7   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 35 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS Feb19 Feb03 Jan05     (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of TO MUCH CHITCHAT by FROST GIANT)
2  SUMMER HELP Feb02 Jan12 May27 May11   (p)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HARLAN HELPER by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  ALL MIGHT Feb02 Jan20       (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by BRADESTER out of SWEET MISS LOU by SUPER SAVER)
4  TOO INTIMIDATING Feb09 Jan21 Jun23 Jun04 May20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
5  DEVITO Jan13 Jun24 Jun04 May18 Apr23 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00    
  (by EAGLE out of LIFE IS SHORT by OLD FASHIONED)
6  XANDER S Feb02 Jan13 Jun04 May21 Apr15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 6.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
7  BAYOU BOY Feb19 Feb03 Jan21     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
8  RIPSTER Feb17 Feb09 Jan27 Jan21 Jan05 (george wayne)SALAZAR TERESA 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of MISS SECRET HEART by TINNERS WAY)
SCR  RICH MOUNTAIN         (guerra jim)MORALES X 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ALL AMERICAN BELLE by AMERICAN CHAMP)
 
HOU-8   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME PLATA Sep07 Aug24 Jul04 Jun11 May12 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 15.00    
2  TIZ LIFE Feb04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep23 Sep02 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 3.50    
3  MORELLO (NZ) Feb13 Jan19 May06 Mar18 Feb17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  CROOKED FELLOW Feb23 Feb04 Nov25 Oct26 Sep13 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
5  PRAYFORPEACE Feb04 Nov03 Oct14 Aug29 Aug22 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Feb04 Nov14 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 1.60    
7  RIGHT TONE Jan26 Dec17 Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
HOU-9   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Feb09 Jan21 Jul03 Jun04   (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COASTAL BRINK Feb04 Jan01 Nov19 Oct28 Sep13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00    
3  DEVIL'S MISCHIEF Feb10 Oct27 Oct13 Sep16 Sep01 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 120 12.00    
4  ILLUSTRATOR Jan27 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  DO YOUR JOB Feb18 Nov18 Sep02 Jul30 Jul12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
6  SPECIAL MEMORY Sep28 Sep01 Jul03 Jun04 May20 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUDGE MCBEE Feb09 Jan27 Dec31 Nov18 Nov03 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 4.00    
8  VICTORY FOR VETS Jan27 Dec22 Jul01 Jun04   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.