Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/7/5)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/1/4)-(4/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/8/2)-(7/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2)-(7/1/5)-(5/3/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(5/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(5/3/8/9)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (5/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/6)-(1/6/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/6/3/7)-(2/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/7)-(2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/7)-(2/9/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7)-(2/9/7/4/8)-(2/9/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   02/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRALINEPOPSBOTTLES Jan24 Nov07 Aug26 Jun19   (bullock jor)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 10.00    
LOVE IS FOREVER Oct24 Oct10       (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 116 8.00    
FREE BIRD BORDO Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 Oct23   (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
GOLD DILEMMA Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov28 Oct20 (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.00    
CHIPANDAPUTT Dec20 Dec02 Oct12 Aug25 Aug04 (woolley ti)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIR PALACE PRINCE Feb03 Dec20 Nov28 Oct31 Oct03 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 1.80 18% 4.60    
WONTCATCHHIMTODAY Jan24 Oct17 Sep18     (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
 
PRX-2   02/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOKE UP A DIVA Jan29 Jan13       (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00    
SCR  NONESUCH GIRL         (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
OVERTHEBLUESKY Jan29 Jan09 Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 (bullock jorda)RIVERA D 124 3.50    
MISS HOPPERTUNITY Jan09 Jul05 Jun10 May16   (velazquez )ROWLAND MADELINE 124 4.00    
YELOMA Jan29 Dec20 Nov07 Sep16 Jul30 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
THREE CUPS FULL Jan29 Dec26 Nov01 Oct09 Aug30 (mccaslin jo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
ONLY GIRL Jan29 Jan03 Dec20 Dec06 Nov21 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
PRX-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENWICK JACK         (guerrero j)SANCHEZ J 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
I DON'T SEE COLORS Jul12 Jun14       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
GOLD BLING Jan01 Dec12 Nov22 Sep27   (carango ant)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.00    
BRASS MONKEY Feb07 Jan02 Jul09 Jun18 Apr21 (maymo alejandro)BOWMAN ADAM 124 6.00    
KNOCKOUT WIN Feb07 Jan01 Dec13 Nov01   (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MCCHAYNE Feb05         (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
 
PRX-4   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM BIG DREAMS Feb05 Dec19 Nov20 Oct04 Jan14 (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
KEANU Nov05 Oct07 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 (velazquez )RIVERA R 116 2.00 48% 1.10    
DISTURBED Feb05 Dec19 Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 121 5.00    
EDDIEMUSH Jan30 Jan10 Jan02 Dec06 Nov15 (ashton patrick)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNIN JOKE Feb05 Dec19 Nov20 Oct30 Oct11 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.00    
W. P. CADET Feb05 Jan02 Sep19 Sep11 Sep01 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
STAFF SERGEANT Jan24 Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Oct20 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 12.00    
 
PRX-5   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA SWEETS Jan31 Oct31 Oct02 Sep04 Jul17 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00    
ROCK TUNE         (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
A PHILLY THING Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Nov06   (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 5.00    
BONNIE PARKER Jan31 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08   (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
GYPSY WANDERER Jan31 Jan12 Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
LADY SHEBOYGAN Jan31 Nov29       (chacon gustavo)CORREA JULIO 121 15.00    
HURRICANE BON Feb01 Jan11 Nov22 Oct26   (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50    
DRIVEN TO SUCCESS Feb06         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
PRX-6   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOM BOOM KABOOM Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Dec05 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.50 33% 2.00    
STARSHIP GOTHAM Jan10 Dec06 Nov20 Oct12 Sep28 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 121 10.00    
KAIQUE Dec13 Nov14 Oct31 Sep06 Aug23 (linder loui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 3.00    
HE'S PURE TALENT Jan29 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May05 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 124 3.50    
GIVE ME MY MONEY Jan30 Oct02 Sep18 Aug06 Jul07 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIL DOSCIENTOS Jan30 Jan02 Jul05 Jun10 May10 (soto c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
DISCO DEVIL Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 114 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
PRX-7   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPIRATOR Feb05 Nov28 Nov19 Oct25 Sep26 (jones c)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)
MAGIC EXPRESS         (russell b)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ASK THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
BRUSHBACK Jan09 Dec30       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of SUMMER'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
TREBLE CLEF Nov16 Oct20 Sep17     (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNO DUO by MACHO UNO)
CONFIRMED STAR Jan11 Dec20 Nov28 Oct18 Sep01 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ITS MY TOWN by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  R ROOSTER Feb06 Dec27       (hawthorne bo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of WITCH WOMAN by AWESOME AGAIN)
BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB) Feb05 Jan08 Nov01 Jul02 Apr19 (leung a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of FILADY by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
COALVILLE Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Aug26 Jul21 (crook-dema)RIVERA R 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATHRYN SOPHIA by STREET BOSS)
CAVENDISH Dec26 Apr08       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of BENNETT JEAN by SMART STRIKE)
 
PRX-8   02/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUIKO Jan01 Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Sep06 (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 6.00    
WONDER CITY Oct10 Aug30 Aug22 Jul10 Jun21 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 5.00    
SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jan30 Dec27 Dec05 Nov13 Oct25 (ramirez silvi)MARTIN MATTIE 114 8.00 12% 7.00    
CAGED PIXIE Dec30 Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 Sep27 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50    
FLASHNDYNAMITE Jan01 Dec18 Dec06 Oct09 Jul24 (velazquez da)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 1.20 35% 1.80    
JUST STAY HOME Jan30 Nov27 Jul26 Jun28 May31 (dunn felissa)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00 11% 8.20    
KENTUCKY PRIDE Jan30 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 Oct10 (dandy ronald)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
 
PRX-9   02/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KING CHEEK Jan01 Dec04 Nov06 Sep15 Aug18 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
CATCH THE SMOKE Dec26 Nov21 Nov07 Oct18 Sep26 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
JARDANI Jan05 Dec03 Oct26 Sep10 Aug29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
ROAN MOUNTAIN Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 Oct17 Sep26 (velazquez d)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 5.00    
JAA MODE Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 May24 May06 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50    
KINGSVILLE Jan29 Jan01 Dec13 Nov01 Oct18 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
DEPLANE Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Dec13 Dec04 (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   02/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND A MILLION Feb07 Jan09 Dec04 Nov13 Nov01 (velazquez alfr)AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00    
ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Jan29 Jan01 Dec06 Nov21 Oct09 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50 41% 1.40    
JULIET'S MUSIC Jan31 Nov07 Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 (smith evert)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 15.00    
SCR  CATTI LA BELLE Jan01 Dec18 Dec05 Nov06 Oct09 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 5.00    
LULI'S DANCER Jan02 Dec12 Nov28 Oct16 Oct02 (pollara l)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
TOMARIE Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Aug30 Aug22 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 121 8.00    
TIZ A SHARPIE Jan01 Dec11 Nov01 Jun28 May09 (pattershal)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIKE A PRO May01 Apr14 Mar18 Jan17 Dec21 (st u)HENRY JR 121 6.00    
SHINY SLAM Dec22 Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 Sep04 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
10  NOT A TRACE Jan30 Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 Oct11 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.