Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/1)-(5/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/1)-(5/4/8/7)-(4/8/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/7)-(4/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/7)-(4/8/7/5)-(6/3/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/5)-(6/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/5)-(6/3/8/7)-(8/5/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(8/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(8/5/9/6)-(4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/6)-(8/5/9/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/6)-(8/5/9/6/10)-(8/5/9/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/9/6)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/9/6)-(4/5/3)-(4/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/11/10)-(4/5/3/11/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/6/5/1)-(2/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-8   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/1)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5/10)-(2/6/4/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VARNISHED Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug19 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 1.20 49% 1.00    
3  SNIVELING Jan06 Dec14 Nov23 Sep09 Jul14 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
SCR  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Feb02 Jan13 Dec13 Dec07 Dec01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50    
5  KAZAN (IRE) Jan06 Nov23 Aug27 Aug12 Jul02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 20.00    
SCR  SOUL SACRIFICE Dec15 Nov17 Oct11 Sep08 Aug26 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 3.00    
7  SEDUCTIVE U S A Jan27 Jan05 Dec01 Nov23 Oct28 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
8  BROCK ON BY Nov04 Aug07 Jul24 May29 May11 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  CROOKED FELLOW Feb04 Nov25 Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.50    
10  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Jan06 Nov11 Sep29 Aug31 Aug19 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   02/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL COUNTRY Jan12 Dec20 Dec02 Oct26 Aug10 (laday ashton)GILES EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
2  CAT CODE Jan27         (p)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
3  SHARMA'D Jan12 Dec14       (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00    
4  ENANO CARO         (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  AUTOCRAT Sep02 Jul22       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.20 28% 2.60    
6  WISHERT Nov04 Oct07 Sep22 Sep01 Feb23 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 123 3.50    
7  BAFFIN'S BEST SHOT Jan13         (george wayne)SALAZAR TERESA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLYING J RAGNAR         (johnson th)MORALES X 123 15.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ALL SAINTS Nov04 Oct21 Oct06 Sep13   (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 12.00    
 
HOU-4   02/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY RUN Jan13 Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 Aug11 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
2  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jan12 Aug07 Jun09 May13 Apr30 (k)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
3  SPARRA Jan26 Jun18 Jun04 May07 Mar19 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 5.00    
4  DOC'S BOLERO Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct06 Sep21 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  GOLD CAPO Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jun04 May07 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 121 20.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 Jun24 Jun04 (swift )HERNANDEZ A 116 30.00    
7  MY FAVORITE SONG Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 Jan28 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
8  VALDINA DREAMS Jan05 Oct19 Sep12 Jul24 Jun22 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
9  RICHARD'S TX BLING Jun22 Jun09 May06 Apr21 Apr08 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
 
HOU-5   02/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLACZAR Nov04 Sep24 Aug18 Jun24 Jun10 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
SCR  DISCREET SMILE Feb02 Sep09 Aug20 Jul01 Jun03 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
3  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10 Aug26 (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
4  ALTERNATIVE SLEW Jan20 Nov29 Oct20 Sep15   (gelner jayde )JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00    
5  TEMPLAR RED Nov04 Oct25 Sep24 Sep09 Aug18 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 1.80    
6  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Dec08 Nov04 Oct25 Sep09 Aug18 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  MISSION BELLE Jan20 Sep13 Aug25 Aug07 Jun27 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Dec15 Oct26 Aug31 May28 Apr07 (baldillez a)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
HOU-6   02/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICKLICKOFALIVING         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BUSKINFOALIVIN by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  OKIE BLING Jan07 Nov30 Oct28 Sep30   (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 5.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BOSTONIAN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  SHE'S CANDIFIED         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WHAT LOLA WANTS by DON'T GET MAD)
4  RUBIES Jan27         (hurley tina )SALAZAR TERESA 117 30.00    
  (by PICK SIX out of DIAMOND THIEF by SIGHTSEEING)
5  ANTIFREEZE Jan05 Aug31 Aug14     (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by MITOLE out of QUEEB by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  FLYING FIRST CLASS Jan07 Nov28 Jun03     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  RUNWAY HIT Jan05 Jul02 Jun16     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
8  BLUEBONNET GIRL Jan07         (s)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
9  SHE SPEAKS May01         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 6% 16.60    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of KALYANI by SMART STRIKE)
10  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Jan05         (whitelaw mi)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 20.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
SCR  ATHENA D'ORO Feb04 Jun17       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of FALLEN ARCHES by ARCH)
 
HOU-7   02/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA'S ANGEL Jan20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Sep09 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
2  TOO MUCH GUITAR Jan27 Jan05       (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00    
3  EAST COAST COWGIRL Jan27         (young bob)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPECIAL NOTE Jan06 Jul02 Jun03     (knudsen kent)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
5  LOFTY HEIGHTS         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  HOT CHOCOLATE Nov30         (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00    
7  CINCO GAL Jan20 Nov10 Oct21 Oct11 Aug28 (uriegas joe)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
8  MEDAGLIA'S SONG Jan27         (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
9  BOLD BREAK Jan20 Dec08 Nov29 Sep02   (mckinney ky)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 30.00    
10  AUNT KENDRA         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00 ★    
11  JUST ADORABLE Jan20 Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 Sep30 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00 ★    
12  SO THEY SAY Jan20         (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
 
HOU-8   02/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CATCHER Dec16 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
2  WINDY O K C Dec16 Oct06 Sep13 Aug31 Jul31 (davidson sarah )WADE LYNDIE 122 30.00    
SCR  CRAKEN JAX Jan04 Dec07 Nov03 Oct13   (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 6.00    
4  LAKE BEE Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Sep22 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
5  CLASSIC RICK Oct13 Sep24 Jul01 May21   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
6  SAFARINFAS Jan18 Dec16       (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  CINCO EL SOVEREIGN Jan12 Dec16 Oct26     (s)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
8  DEVIL'S MISCHIEF Oct27 Oct13 Sep16 Sep01   (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 20.00    
 
HOU-9   02/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA UP Nov17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep16 Aug31 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 120 30.00    
2  MILLIE G Nov21 Jul01 Jun04     (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  CHAINSAW CITY Oct25 Sep22 Sep01 Jul04 Jun04 (davis)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00    
4  HAYAI UMA Jan13         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
5  GYPSAN Jan21 Dec29 Dec15 Nov21 Oct25 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
6  CONTOUR Jan28 Jan12 Nov25     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  MARQUETTE WARRIOR Dec31 Dec03 Oct21 Sep02   (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 120 15.00    
8  MISS GOLD Jan21 Dec01 Nov10 Oct11   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
9  BLUE HEAVENLY Jan27 Jan07       (govea c)GONCALVES R 120 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT LADY Jan21 Dec15 Nov18 Nov08   (davidson n)BRACHO A 122 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.