Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - December 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/4/3)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/6/5)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/4/5)-(8/3/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(8/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(8/3/4/9)-(4/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/9)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/9)-(4/8/5)-(5/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(5/9/8)-(8/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/8)-(5/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/9/8)-(8/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8)-(8/1/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(4/3/1)-(6/2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   12/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CASEY Nov22 Oct23 Oct04 Aug19 Jul16 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SENSE A MILLION Nov07 Oct23 Sep20 Jul22 Jun23 (abrams jack)CASTILLO A 122 3.00    
3  CREME CARAMEL Nov28 Oct11 Oct02 Sep13 Aug05 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 125 2.00    
4  ISABELLA SMILE Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 Oct23 Oct04 (tapsas elias)OCASIO M 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  MISS ALEX Nov27 Nov01 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
6  RISQUE'S JEWEL Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 Jul26 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 122 8.00    
SCR  XENATOWN Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 Jul26 Jul04 (diaz jorge)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 12.00    
 
PRX-2   12/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHOS Nov13 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 (tapsas elias)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
2  ARTISTIC REASON Oct25 Sep29 Apr24 Apr17 Mar21 (troxell kristi)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
3  CAUSALISTIC Nov15 Oct31 Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 13% 7.00    
4  WIZARD SERRAT Nov21 Oct10 May20 May03 Apr12 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  EXCURSION Oct31 Oct10 Oct03 Jul18 Jul03 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
6  KODAPENDENT Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Jul10 Jun26 (solis jacinto)CASTILLO A 122 3.50    
7  MOLIERE Oct13 Sep27 Aug09 Jul08 Jun15 (truehart jenn)RANGEL JOEZER 122 10.00    
 
PRX-3   12/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONALA Nov27 Nov07 Oct09 Sep26 Sep12 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00    
2  A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Oct30 Oct10 Sep12 Aug05 Jun27 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
3  INSTINCTIVE Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 Aug31 (moore micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  NOT A TRACE Nov27 Oct30 Oct11 Sep13 Aug22 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 122 4.50    
5  TIZ A SHARPIE Nov01 Jun28 May09 Apr04 Feb13 (pattershall)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 6.00 6% 15.60    
6  MORE RANSOM Nov27 Nov13 Oct30 Oct18 Oct09 (diaz jorge)CORREA JULIO 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  KENTUCKY PRIDE Nov27 Oct10 Sep05 Aug09 Jun21 (dandy rona)RIVERA R 117 6.00    
 
PRX-4   12/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGA CHARLIE Nov21 Oct17 Sep27 Aug28 Aug04 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 122 6.00    
2  CELTIC TREASURE Nov21 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
3  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Oct30 Sep26 Aug28 Jul19 Jun13 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
4  SHIVAREE (GB) Nov20 Oct17 Oct04 Sep16 Dec22 (ness j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 14% 6.40    
5  RERALLY Nov29 Oct30 Oct04 Sep02 Aug06 (gelrod monte)ADORNO ABNER 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MORE THAN A DANCE Nov14 Oct04 Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 (kirby t)OCASIO M 122 6.00    
8  WE BE THERE Nov14 Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 Jul25 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 125 6.00    
 
PRX-5   12/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONDONDERRY Nov29 Oct28 Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  SNAPPY RIDE Nov20 Oct23 Oct04 Sep06 Jul27 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.00    
3  FAST INTENTIONS Nov29 Nov07 Oct11 Aug28 Jul10 (collazo lui)NUNEZ Y 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  WITHOUT A VIEW Jun20 May23 May01 Apr11 Mar22 (linder lou)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
5  OUI MADAME Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 Oct10 Aug23 (christman ki)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
6  FRAME THIS Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 (crowell l)CASTILLO A 122 20.00    
7  CARLY HUSTLE Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
8  STARSHIP BLANCA Nov29 Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 (mosco )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  J J LOVES BILLY Nov29 Sep26 Sep05 Jul25 Jul11 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   12/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO CHLOE GO Oct31         (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 114 6.00    
2  HYACINTH BUCKET Nov08         (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
3  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Nov29         (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00    
4  ALMA BRILHA Nov29         (velazquez dani)MOYA F 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  GYPSY WANDERER Nov29 Nov08 Oct09 Sep11 Aug21 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUMMALICIOUS Nov08         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 4.00    
7  MARIA SAYS SO Nov29 Nov06 Oct03 Aug31 Aug21 (krebs steven)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
8  BACALL         (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 32% 2.20    
 
PRX-7   12/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINALIST Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
2  HORNBEAM Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 Sep20 Aug23 (noble jame)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00    
3  SENIOR INVESTMENT Nov08 Oct23 Oct03 Sep20 Jul25 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00    
4  MAXIM MOMENT Nov28 Nov01 Oct23 Sep27 Sep18 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
5  OLYMPIC ROMP Nov21 Nov08 Oct03 Aug26 Jul25 (gelrod mont)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ET'S MAGIC MAN Nov29 Nov14 Oct17 Oct04 Sep22 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
SCR  SILVER EDGE Nov20 Sep23 Aug23 Jul25 Jul10 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.50    
8  VINE JET Oct25 Sep12 Aug04 Jul26 Nov01 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 12.00 17% 4.90    
9  PRACTICAL COACH Nov20 Oct16 Sep26 Aug28 May02 (reid rober)RIVERA R 117 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
PRX-8   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRUGAR Nov21 Oct27 Oct04 Sep06 Jul27 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  WORD ON A WING Nov20 Oct24 Sep25 Aug21 Jul26 (crook-demasi k)MOYA F 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  JEBOLOGIST Nov21 Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 Sep11 (mccaslin john)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00    
4  JARLIAN Nov07 Oct30 Oct17 Aug02 Jul24 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
5  HOTPOT Nov08 Mar14 Feb21 Jan17 Jan10 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
6  PARDSY Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 Sep18 Jan25 (soto c)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
SCR  BIG CITY BOB Nov28 Oct10 Sep11 Aug23 Aug12 (velazquez da)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.50    
8  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Nov06 Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 Sep20 (englehart jef)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
PRX-9   12/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEIGH DUDE Dec04 Nov22 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 (polachek ja)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PYLON Nov27 Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 Jun23 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 122 10.00    
3  MASROUR Nov20 Sep23 Sep06 Aug22 Jul24 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 2.00 13% 6.50    
4  GOLDEN CANDY Nov03 Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 Jul26 (neilson wa)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
5  AGGRANDIZE Oct21 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 Jun27 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50    
6  AKEMI Nov15 Oct19 Oct09 Sep09 May08 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00    
7  GENGHIS Nov07 Oct04 Sep23 Sep06 Aug23 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 5.00    
 
PRX-10   12/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LUISA Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 Sep04 Jul09 (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.00    
2  SUPER DUPER FLY Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 Sep14 Sep04 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CALIENTE RUM Nov29 Nov01 Oct02 Sep09 Aug27 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00    
4  BELLA MARIA Nov28 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 122 6.00    
5  JACKIE B GOOD Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (catalano l)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 5% 18.70    
6  BULLET ON TAP Nov29 Nov17 Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 (ramirez si)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
7  PEACH BE WITH Q Nov28 Nov08 Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 18.70    
8  NOW ACT SURPRISED Nov21 Oct23 Oct04 Aug29 Jul05 (coletti edw)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 6.00    
9  PRINCESS EMMA JO Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 Jun28 May06 (aro c)RANGEL JOEZER 122 20.00    
10  RIVERVIEW Nov28 Nov08 Oct23 Sep18 Aug29 (moore mich)RIVERA R 113 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.