Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - November 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1)-(8/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(1/7/4/3)-(11/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(11/5/3)-(8/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (11/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/5/3)-(11/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/5/3)-(11/5/1/3)-(11/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (11/5/3)-(8/5/2)-(7/6/4/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/2)-(8/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (7/6/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2/5)-(7/6/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2/5)-(7/6/4/2/5)-(7/6/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (6/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/9)-(6/3/7)-(12/8/3/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(12/8/3/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (12/8/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/8/3/6/10)-(12/8/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/8/3/6/10)-(12/8/3/6/10)-(12/8/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   11/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVIVAL Sep11 Aug12 Jul13 Jul05 May10 (green greg)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  BYE BYE BROOKY Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 12.00    
3  VODKA TWIST Sep09 Aug25 Jun04 Jan24 Jan08 (padilla fran)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 30.00    
4  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
5  SILVERWIND Sep17 Sep07 Aug04 May13 Apr29 (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI MIKE Sep16 Sep01 May14 Apr15 Feb21 (gomez alf)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00    
SCR  KELLER'S GOLD Sep11 Jul02 Apr26 Mar26 Feb27 (moreno carlos)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50    
8  IMA BLING CAT Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 Jun17 May18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
9  MOONLITE GRAHAM Oct15 Sep30 Aug12 Jul03 Apr22 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
ZIA-2   11/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 2 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYINGOFFMYMARKER Oct15 Sep24 Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  MARK THE WINNER Aug06 Jul21 Jun23     (buechler sim)FUENTES A 120 1.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  TAX FREE TEXAS Oct08 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (fincher todd)JORDAN R 120 5.00    
4  STORM IN THE VALLE Sep08 Aug06 Jul21     (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 120 10.00    
5  CHIPZ Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
6  NOT TO FANCY Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21   (danley fr)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JET N G Oct15 Jul22 May20 Apr22 Mar26 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 121 1.60    
2  THE LAST FEAT Oct06 Jul22 Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 (singh johnny)JAIME R 121 20.00    
3  ANCIENT LAND Sep03 Jul22 Jun11 Jan03 Oct01 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  THUNDER DOME Oct29 Oct04 Mar26 Feb28 Jan29 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  MCTHANKS Oct29 Oct08 Sep09 Jul14 May13 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 8% 10.90    
6  COMET CAUSEY Sep03 Feb28 Jan31 Dec12 Oct30 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
7  JET SET WARRIOR Jul22 Jun10 Mar28 May29 Mar27 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3 ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET HIM BE Oct07 Aug18 Jul09     (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 1.80 30% 2.30    
2  ANTONIOS MARK Oct07 Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 119 10.00    
3  THRUTHESTORM Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Mar26 Feb28 (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  STORM LEADER Sep24 Aug26 Oct30 Sep25 Sep10 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
5  SWEET MONEY Oct07 Sep20 Sep03 Feb28 Jan22 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
6  SMARTSREALGOOD Oct07 Sep10 Jul23 Jun23 Jun10 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
7  SAMBAS MARK Oct06 Sep16 Jul23 Jun25 Mar26 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
8  NEW MEXICO JEREMY Oct15 Sep24 Jul23 May07 Mar28 (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
9  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 50.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOOD GOOD BOY Oct14 Sep30       (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 ★    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  LT. NORM         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ANNADALE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  YO SOY ROY         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUALITY LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SURROUNDEDBYANGELS         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ANGEL OF BATTLE by DUNKIRK)
5  SON OF A BLING Jun03         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
SCR  DESPERATE MAN         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TAP TAP TAPAROO by TAPIT)
7  LOVESUNFAIR         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
8  CAPTAIN FABULOUS         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
  (by OM out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
9  SHUDDER Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 (barraza s)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
10  JOHN JOHN         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 20.00    
  (by JAMES STREET out of JACKIE K by DANZATAME)
11  PAY RAISE Oct21 Sep13       (ashford tris)JORDAN R 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of COUP DE MAIN by CITY ZIP)
 
ZIA-6   11/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS HALO         (long vaughn)FUENTES A 120 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MY BETHANY by BERNSTEIN)
2  SIERRA BLANCA Aug14 Jul08       (l)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ELLA'S DREAMING by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  FLYING FIRST CLASS Jun03         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
4  LOTSA STEEL         (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
5  ONLY ONE AMERICA Sep30 Sep10 Jul29     (fincher todd)JORDAN R 120 3.00 12% 7.70    
  (by MARKING out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
6  GIRL COLLECTED         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SILLA MANILA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  ARIZONA LINDY Sep30 Jul30 Jul02     (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Aug28         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOUTHERN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Jun03         (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CALIBER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
ZIA-7   11/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAHAWK MARY Sep22 Aug13 Jul23 May05   (mendez luis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
2  BLUE BLAZES WHO Sep14 Mar21 Mar07 Feb05 Dec20 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
3  NOBLE MISS Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 Jul23 Jan08 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 123 10.00    
4  BYE BYE BRANDI Sep04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan29 Dec19 (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  CAYCEE'S MARK Sep23 Mar21 Mar07 Jan17 Dec19 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 7% 14.30    
6  HALOSNHEAVEN Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 Jul02 Jun04 (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  BRASHANKNOWIT Oct13         (long vaughn)VALDEZ S 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  GEE ETTA Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jun17 May06 (van crowe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 20.00    
9  SHE HIT A HOMER Oct18 Oct01 Sep02 Jul08 Apr22 (chavez artur)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 20.00    
10  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Oct06 Sep27 Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 15.00    
11  BROADWAY DISH Sep21 Aug25 Jul04 May20 Apr29 (smith a)VILLANUEVA C 119 10.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINEARSPEED Oct21 Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul10 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  OHHH DADDY Oct13 Sep23 Sep08 Jul16 Apr02 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 119 15.00    
3  ZIA ZAPPER Feb28 Jan29 Nov22 Oct28 Sep18 (marr h)TOHILL S 119 20.00    
4  ORTH Oct01 Sep16 Apr07 Feb19 Dec02 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 123 4.50    
5  LOCO LUNA Oct13 Sep11 Aug26 Jul30 Jul10 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
6  GOZILLA Sep23 Sep09 Jun09 Mar10 Jan14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
7  JOHNNY Oct18 May13 May01 Apr12 Mar25 (a)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
8  CHIEF BRADY Sep23 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr29 (davis h)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
9  CREATIVE BID Oct04 Sep03 Oct05 Aug28 Jul30 (hone bart)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITYONTHENILE Oct11 Sep27 Sep03 May21 Mar26 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
2  CHARLEE MAE Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 Aug05 Jun24 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121 3.50    
3  RANEEM Sep03 Jul16 Jun17 Apr02 Dec20 (c)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  STACI'S RED DRESS Apr23 Apr02 Dec20 Sep30 Aug24 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
5  DANNYBOB Sep03 Jul16 May06 Apr25 Mar18 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
6  FLYIN FALYNN Sep03 Jul16 Mar26 Jan08 Dec20 (zamora chris)JORDAN R 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
7  GEMSTONE GAL Sep03 May28 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
 
ZIA-10   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNSCREEN Apr02 Feb12 Dec05 Oct25 Jul04 (wool)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
2  PROBATE Oct06 May20 Apr22 Mar28 Feb21 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
3  DIABOLICAL STORM Oct15 Sep16 Jul22 Jun11 Oct30 (fincher w)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 13% 6.60    
4  TUCUM Sep16 Aug04 Jul14 Jun11 May20 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 6.00    
SCR  IZERIGHT Oct15 Aug26 Apr22 Mar26 Feb12 (c)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
6  LARIAT Feb21 Jan15 Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 123 15.00 7% 13.90    
7  HENRY ON THE RUN Oct20 Sep08 Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 123 20.00    
8  STRAWBERRY WHISKY Oct29 Sep16 Apr08 Mar26 Feb28 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 15% 5.90    
9  ALL CHROME Jun11 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00    
10  DIABOLICAL RULER Oct15 Sep17 Jul14 Jun16 May07 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BODIE GOT GOLD Oct06 Apr22 Feb28 Jan29 Jan03 (hone bart)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
12  MASSIVE ROAR Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 Feb12 Jan24 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 2.00 44% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.