Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LBG-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-5   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-7   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-8   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVERYMAN Sep24 Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
DOT AND DASH Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 (rowe michael)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
FORGOTTEN VOWS Sep17 Sep10 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 (fantin cai)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
HIGH KELLY SONG Sep17 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (daniels ant)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00    
SHINBORO Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (weaselhe)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
BOMEGA Sep23 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 Oct21 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
LBG-2   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL CONDITION Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 Jul15 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
MOORE'S MIRACLE Sep16 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Sep24 (rowe mic)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
MO ARETHA Sep12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun15 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
L L COOL GREY Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 Jun25 May20 (daniels antho)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
RUNNIN BABY J Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00    
 
LBG-3   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMAVEER Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun21 (daniels anth)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
SPEIGHTSFORCE Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
TEE CLASS Sep16 Sep09 Aug30 Aug01 Jul10 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
STEALING HEARTS Sep24 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 (conway laura )WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00 30% 2.30    
IMPERIAL GO BOY Sep23 Sep09 Sep03 Aug13 Aug06 (mcconaghie shaw)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
SMALL TOWN KID Sep09         (bensmiller bud)ALLEN LARRIS 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
WITT'S ROJO Sep20 Aug08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun28 (tourange)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00    
 
LBG-5   10/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Farewell Fillies Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEILAZIG Aug28 Jul25 Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 (constant gordo)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of VEILLIT' by LIT DE JUSTICE)
PRINCESS PAISLEY Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of GUILTYBYSUPISCION by CANDID CAMERON)
BELLA NOCHE Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jun04 (giesbrec)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
  (by MR. NIGHTLINGER out of MASCARA RUNNING by GILDED TIME)
ABRAA JABRAA Sep24 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 (birdrattler sha)APANGO JUAN 124 0.80 40% 1.50    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
CAUSIN MISCHIEF Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.20 38% 1.70    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DYNAMIC LADY by DYNAFORMER)
 
LBG-6   10/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET AT JAKES Sep30 Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
JAKE THE GREAT Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul30 Jun18 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
MCORO Sep23 Sep04 Aug14 Sep02 Aug07 (bensmill)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00    
MOURVEDRE Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jun25 (daniels anth)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 33% 2.10    
BEAR ME A MOMENT Sep23 Sep17 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 (brown joh)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ANELLO Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 (kinch bill)SIMPSON W 124 2.00    
 
LBG-7   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORMAL TUX Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00    
SOUL OBSESSION Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 (smith rusty)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
THORNISH Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 (bensmiller bud)ALLEN LARRIS 124 12.00    
EURONTHEMONEY Sep13 Sep04 Aug28 Jul24 Jul13 (tourange)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
THE HYBRID Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00    
YOU SPLIT TENS Sep02 Aug25 Aug06 Jul29 Jul09 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
CROWN RULER Aug27 Jun11 Oct10 Aug28 Aug14 (marks garry)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
LITTLE TOE Sep19 Sep13 Aug28 Aug22 Aug07 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
LBG-8   10/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Farewell Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER O'FLAHERTY Sep30 Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 Jun30 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 3.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DON'TTEASETHETIGER Sep24 Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MY CINSATION by CINDAGO)
GRAY GEM Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by MATTY G out of WHATDIDSHESAY by KNIGHT IN SAVANNAH)
OSCAR WINNER WALLY Sep25 Sep16 Sep02 Aug04 Jul22 (fike caitlin)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BRAVE LOVE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 (bigsky a)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of GO RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
BOURBON BANDIT Sep23 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by PARKER'S STORM CAT out of BOURBON BABY by SPEEDING LIGHT (ARG))
DEVIL'S TEETH Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (gwilliam bob)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ONE TOO MANY BLUES by BARKERVILLE)
HANDCARVED Sep11 Aug30 Jul31 Jun28 Jun06 (depew jim)ALLEN LARRIS 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WOODFORD COUNTY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.