Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/3/6)-(7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAN-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(7)-(3/4/6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
FAN-3   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7)-(3/4/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(3/4/6)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FAN-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/2/4/9)-(3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-5   WIN (1/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/9)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/9)-(3/2/7)-(6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(6/5)-(1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FAN-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FAN-8   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RA'DOM Sep09 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.00    
2  SENOR MIKE Sep26 Aug19 Mar19 Dec30 Dec10 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  BRIANS WAY Sep19 Aug08 Jul29 Sep24 Sep06 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 4.50    
SCR  BLEEDING BLUE Aug01 Jul11 May27 Apr29 Nov12 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 5.00    
5  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Sep19 Aug31 Jul19 Jun18 May28 (wittha)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.50    
6  TRUIST Sep19 Sep02 Aug19 Jul11 Jun24 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
FAN-2   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul18 (juarez)ORTEGA JOSEPH 110 3.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DEBU by BUDDHA)
2  DENNIS'S PRIDE Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May22   (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
3  ITS MAMBO Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of BROKEN FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
4  KRUELESS Sep05 Aug15 Dec10 Nov19   (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 10.00    
  (by GUEST STAR out of FT. MANN by FORT CHAFFEE)
SCR  GOD GUNS N GUTS Sep16 Aug17 Aug06 Jul13 Jun17 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
6  GRAYHOP Sep23 Jul15       (plasters l)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of OLD BLUE JEANS by GULCH)
7  BRUCE ATTACK Sep09 Aug26       (childers vance)REYES FRANK 120 8.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
 
FAN-3   10/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHMERE JUSTICE Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 110 12.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  W W LIGHTS OUT         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BOLD STRIKE by TAPIT)
3  MOONSHINE MOLLY Aug19         (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 3.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ATLANTIC HURRICANE by HALO'S IMAGE)
4  RARE BEAUTY Jul15 Jun27       (retana gab)SIMPSON M 120 12.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of INDIAN CONDUCT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE         (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of WHISTLEBERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
6  TOO MUCH TUESDAY Sep12 Aug08       (watkins m)ORM CORY 120 5.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MY LITTLE DARLINGS by PURIM)
7  TORTUGA ISLAND Aug19         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TORTOISESHELL by AFLEET ALEX)
8  BABAS GAL         (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of BABA LUCY by PEACE RULES)
 
FAN-4   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH Sep05 Aug19 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
2  NO NANNETTE NO Aug24 Jul30 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00    
3  FREE LOVE Sep23 Aug31 Aug20 Aug02 Jul20 (lopez elias)LOPEZ A 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  GHAALEB'S RANGER Sep23 Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jun20 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  JERSEY GOLD Aug28 Jul31 Jul08 Jun18 May30 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
6  PELLETIER Sep20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
FAN-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONACOUNTA Sep05 Aug26       (irion hea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  FAST KYLIE Sep23 Jul25 May04 Apr02   (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  KONA KONNECT Sep23 Jul16       (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 12.00    
4  W W VALID Sep05 Jul25 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  HARPER BRIANA Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Jun13   (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 8.00    
6  BRIANA HARPER Aug26 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (essenpreis)SIMPSON M 126 10.00    
SCR  DON'T TELL ALYCE Sep19 Sep02       (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 12.00    
8  FANCY HILL Aug29 Jul09 May26 Mar30 Mar05 (bahena fer)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.00    
9  RAIN ATTACK Aug27 Aug02 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (childe)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER MY BROTHER Sep24 Sep10 Aug23 Aug12 Jun28 (essenpreis e)GILES EMMANUEL 119 6.00    
2  HIGHLY PERFECT Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul25 Jul11 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
3  ST. LOUIE LOUIE Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul11 Jun27 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Sep19 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15   (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 4.50    
5  U S HONOUR NAP Sep09 Aug26 Aug08 Jul29 Jun24 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 126 8.00    
6  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00    
7  EMPTY HOLSTER Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul19 Jul04 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
FAN-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMISKEY PARK Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00    
SCR  MEGAN'S HONOR Apr16 Apr01 Mar03 Jan28 Dec11 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S TOWER Sep23 Aug20 Jul27 Jul13 May26 (hernandez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.00    
4  BEEASY Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 May25 (zawitz joel)ORM CORY 124 8.00    
5  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Sep29 Sep03 Aug16 Jul27 Jul01 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  W W HOTSHOT Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jun14 May28 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
FAN-8   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN RESPONSE Sep16 Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 May30 (mosier ha)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50 54% 0.90    
2  OKLAHOMA HEAT Sep05 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun24 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50    
3  OPTION Sep26 Sep05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul16 (bahena)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 15.00    
4  STAY STRONG Sep05 Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 Jul04 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.00 ★    
5  MEMPHIS PRAYER Sep03 Aug20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
6  FATHER PATRICK Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
SCR  BLOOMING GARDEN Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 3.00    
8  KANITHAPPEN Sep26 Aug26 Aug05 May23 May02 (randazzo f)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARGYBARGY BUCK Sep05 Aug26 Aug05 Jul11 Jun24 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.