Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/3)-(6/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/5/4)-(4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLEY MATRIMONY Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Mar19 Feb20 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 118 3.50    
1A  B C GLORY DAYS Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 Aug14 Jul24 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 3.50    
2  BANCO MEDICI Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun12 (sparling wayne)VENTURA JOSE 124 5.00    
3  MOON HUNTER Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Sep21 Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 Jun28 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
5  CLINGMAN Sep20 Aug28 Aug14 Jul12 Jun12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jun28 Jun12 May24 Nov14 Oct18 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
FL-2   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HOME MAMA Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  CROSSTALK Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
3  SHE'S GOT GAME Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
4  ALLURE FORTUNE Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  INOUAINTALKINTOME Sep20 Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 Jul17 (huertas)NAVARRO J 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  GUIDANCE Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 Feb08 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
 
FL-3   10/04/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGFISH Sep11 Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 (grabowski john)COA J 120 2.00    
2  FIRE'S FINALE Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 120 1.60    
3  HORSE BE WITH YOU Sep18 Aug28 Apr05 Mar22 Mar06 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  OUR MAN MIKE Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  COACH BAHE Aug29 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May30 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.50    
 
FL-4   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCKBOX Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 May22 May08 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 119 6.00    
2  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Aug21 Jul04 Jun21 May23 May08 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 3.50    
3  JACKSON AVENUE Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 Jul16 Jun06 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
4  WARTAPPED Sep06 Aug09 Jul04 Jun06 May23 (clarke dylan)COA J 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  WARSAICHI Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 May31 May17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  FANCY FELINE Sep02 Jul09 May21 Apr23 Mar26 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
FL-5   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TASTY WAVE Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 (ashley j)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
2  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Sep18 Jul05 Jun20 May31 May22 (sparling wayne)VENTURA JOSE 122 10.00    
3  LADY QUINN Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jul25 Apr27 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOTLEY SUE Jun06 May15 May02 Nov07 Oct10 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  AMORE FIRE Sep06 Jul18 Jun21 May15 Apr24 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MISTY GALE Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
7  GEORGIE'S LADIES Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul04 May31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
 
FL-6   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBLES Sep18 Aug23 Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 121 15.00 5% 18.10    
2  DEVILLY Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
3  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Sep20 Sep12 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
4  MA MI JO DREAMS Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
5  MY SWEET SUMMER Aug22 Jun23 May20 Mar19 Sep02 (englehart jere)COA J 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  STAR SPEAKER Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jun06 Nov21 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 12.00    
SCR  ADMIRE MY CROWN Aug29 Jul22 May04 Apr08 Nov17 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 124 2.50    
8  STARR'S DELIGHT Sep12 Aug22 Jul31     (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
FL-7   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA CAFETERA Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (loaiza ilmar)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
2  REMOANE Sep26 Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  WABAUNSEE Sep11 Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 5.00    
4  LEFT LEANING LUCY Aug29 Jul12 Jun19 May09 Apr13 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  STIMULUS CHECK Sep13 Aug21 Aug09 Nov16 Oct24 (iorio jr)COA J 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  TRIVIA Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun19 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
7  THE NEW MIAMI Sep18 Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 10.00    
 
FL-8   10/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICIA'S WAY Sep19 Aug21 Aug09 Jan15 Dec30 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Sep11 Aug21 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
3  CALL ME CARMELITA Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jul03 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
4  WINTER SIREN Sep19 Sep11 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 (lopez roberto )VENTURA JOSE 122 20.00    
5  TRUE DESTINY Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jun28 Jun14 (progno christo)COA J 121 8.00    
6  SALOON GIRL Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  KAUFY FUTURES Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul03 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
SCR  SWEET BLINDNESS Sep11 Aug09 Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.