Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-2   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-4   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-5   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-7   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-8   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   08/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun12 May22 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
MISTY GALE Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May31 May15 (falk jacqu)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
CAPITAL GAL Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 Nov27 Nov06 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00    
SILENT INVASION Jul19 Jul04 Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
CROSS ISLAND Jul04 Jun20 Apr28 Apr01 Feb11 (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 4.50    
VINTAGE Jul30 Jun04 May11 Apr15 Mar24 (englehart jeff)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
FL-2   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT ESCORT Jul11 Jun20 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
BEACHSIDE Aug07 Jul05 Jun19 May30 May15 (schudlick michae)COA J 124 6.00    
QUAD PARTY Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 May17 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE Jul18 Jun27 May24 May08 Mar24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50    
NUTSIE Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 May15 (loaiza ilm)DAVIS A 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  OLD MAN WINTER Jul12 May30 Apr25 Nov15 Nov02 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 2.00    
 
FL-3   08/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG GEORGES KINGDM Jul25 Apr08 Mar18 Dec30 Nov14 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
ASAP RESTORATION Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 Jun27 Jun02 (ronen assa)DAVIS A 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
INTERSTATE Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 May29 (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Aug02 Jul25 Jul10 Jun21 May15 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
WYNN GIANT Jul17 Jun27 May22 Mar26 Jan28 (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 118 2.50    
MOUNT VERNON BOY Aug09 Oct26 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 (ashley ju)NAVARRO J 122 10.00    
 
FL-4   08/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 May22 Nov21 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00    
GUIDANCE Jul25 Jun27 Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 8.00 12% 7.70    
AVID SUCINORI Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May22 May08 (dominguez carlo)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
TOWERING GAZE Aug09 Jul25 Jul09 Jun01 Apr21 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
STAY HOME MAMA Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May31 (huertas nirka)CAMILO D 122 5.00    
 
FL-5   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORWARD MOTION Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 May30 Mar24 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
CONFORMIST Jul12 Jul03 Jun14 May23 Nov16 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
FIERY HEART Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 Sep14 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
HORSE BE WITH YOU Apr05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb21 Jan23 (englehart ch)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
MIAMI CHROME Aug16 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun14 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00    
SAMAY (PER) Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
 
FL-6   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIAMI TWOFER         (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 10.00 8% 11.10    
SHEZA BERNARDINI Aug01 Jun15       (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
GOOD BYE NEW YORK Aug01         (barrow paul)FRET STEVEN 120 15.00    
DORTH'S SOL DANCER Aug09         (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 3.00    
EQUINAMOUS Jun12         (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 120 20.00 7% 14.40    
IDA DE NILE         (falk jacqueline)DAVILA A 120 20.00    
SCR  INCA MUMMY Jul26         (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 5.00    
DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Jul08 Jun18       (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
SPEED UP         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 8.00    
 
FL-7   08/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIJEMINI SLEW Aug07 Jul12 Jun28 May17 Aug24 (wright james)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
KHOZANDO Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Apr16 Mar31 (ferraro anthon)COA J 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
FLAT BILL Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May23 (gutterson katl)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
TRIVISTA Aug02 Jul11 May23 May14 Apr30 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.00 41% 1.50    
PARADE FIELD Jul31 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 Nov07 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Aug16 Aug01 Jun14 May30 Nov14 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
STARINTHEMAKING Jul31 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Sep14 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE MISSION Aug09 Jul10 Jun12 May14 Mar11 (breed jr)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
MATT DOYLE Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 Feb11 Jan22 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
CLINGMAN Aug14 Jul12 Jun12 Nov22 Nov08 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
LIEUTENANT SAM Jul10 Jun21 May02 Apr24 Feb11 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
SUPERB SURPRISE Aug07 Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
ANGELIC MISSION Jul31 Jun28 Jun12 Nov15 Oct19 (ferraro michael)COA J 120 4.00 6% 14.80    
CAPTAINOFMYHEART Aug15 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00    
SORPRESO Aug14 Jul25 Jun25 Jun01 Apr27 (ferraro michae)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.