Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/1/5)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/2)-(6/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(7/9/5/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/9/5/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/4/10)-(7/9/5/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/4/10)-(7/9/5/4/10)-(7/9/5/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/5/4/10)-(8/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5/4/10)-(8/7/6)-(7/1/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/6)-(8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/6)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE IT IN NY Jul04 Jun12 May24 Oct31 Sep07 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 6.00    
2  CRISTIANO'S DREAM Mar21 Mar08 Feb21 Jan04 Dec21 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May24 Nov02 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
4  C J'S GRAND SLAM Jul31 Oct18 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
5  HOLEY MATRIMONY Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec16 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  CENTRAL LOVE Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 May15 (englehart c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50    
 
FL-2   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBLES Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 May29 (iorio jr)COA J 120 2.50 13% 6.40    
2  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Jul17 Jun20 May12 Mar29 Feb09 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 5.00    
3  MISSION CAT Jul04 Sep19 Aug29 Jul27 Jun22 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
4  EVER GRACEFUL Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 May20 Apr16 (dixon linda )BARBOSA CARLOS 113 4.00 11% 8.30    
5  SWEET TOOTH SUE Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
6  SUBTLE GIANT Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
 
FL-3   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STORMY'S IN STYLE Jul25 Jun12 May16 Apr16 Mar24 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SUPER SLIDE Jul18 Jun21 May15 Apr25 Mar24 (barrow paul)DAVILA R 120 5.00    
2  BECKY'S MISSION Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
SCR  BUSTINROXY Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 May12 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50    
4  FREE SHOT Jul24 Jul11 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Aug02 Jul10 Jun06 May16 Nov01 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
6  SUMMER NITRO May16 May08 Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
7  GEORGIE'S LADIES Jul04 May31 May18 Apr16 Mar24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPRESS PALPATINE Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 Nov08 (henry ortis)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 6.00    
2  ALBANY YATES Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
3  M. A. S. SCRUVES Aug09 Jul19 Nov20 Nov07 Oct04 (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 3.50    
4  REGAL REBEL Aug02 Jul04 Jun13 Oct15 Aug05 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MOOLAH ROUGE Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May08 (lecesse )DAVIS A 120 5.00    
6  KITTY TIN TIN Jul18 Jun13 Nov01 Sep06 Aug23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S MAGA Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
2  STABILIZE Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 Jun06 May24 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
3  RIDING ON A WINNER Jul05 May15 May02 Mar05 Feb11 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May30 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 8.00    
5  BAYOU MELODY Jul24 Jul04 May24 Apr30 Jan15 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Jul05 Jun27 Apr13 Jan18 Dec28 (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  SHANE'S RISK Jul24 Jul10 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (d'alessandro ra)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
 
FL-6   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZA BROWN May23 May15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
2  THE LAST SHEEK Aug07 Jul17 Jun28     (progno christ)DAVILA A 120 12.00    
3  BAY BANK Jul08         (englehart jere)COA J 120 6.00    
4  MICRODEMPSEY         (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
5  LOZ Aug07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Aug18 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Aug09 Jul09 Jul01 Jun01 Apr26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00    
7  UNCLE TACO Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May19   (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  BANCO MEDICI Aug09 Jul04 Jun12 May24 May15 (sparling wa)PAREDES JHOVANY 124 15.00    
9  ZUCCARACE Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 May15 Apr24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
10  PALACE BEE Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun12 Nov15 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  BRIT'S UNION Aug09         (dixon l)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
 
FL-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKERS RUN Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Nov23 Nov07 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  BEHIND THE COUCH Aug08 Jun26 May16 Mar05 Feb18 (gutterson kat)DAVILA R 122 3.00    
3  GOING GOING GONE Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 May31 (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
4  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May22 May08 (sabine mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
5  IN TRAFFIC Aug07 Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 May24 (rivera m)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
6  MIND OF GOLD Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May22 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
7  TRIVIA Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun19 May29 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
8  CROSSTALK Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 May22 (sells rachel)COA J 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
FL-8   08/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN THE RULES Aug08 Jul05 Jun20 Feb05 Jan14 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  NO LIME Aug07 Jul17 May15 Apr25 Oct26 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50    
2  DREMAS BOY Aug07 Jul18 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
3  SNEADS Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Nov22 Nov14 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MARBLE MOON Jul17 Jun19 May23 Oct04 Sep19 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
5  MANDATORY PAYOUT Aug07 Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 Oct31 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
6  INALIENABLE RIGHTS Aug07 Nov14 Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00    
7  KINGFISH Aug14 Jul17 Jul04 Nov16 Oct31 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  EASY SHOT Aug07 Jul17 Jun14 May29 Aug22 (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.