Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(2/6/5)-(6/11/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/11/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/11/10/8)-(4/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (6/11/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/8)-(6/11/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/8)-(6/11/10/8)-(6/11/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/10/8)-(4/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/11/10/8)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/7/9/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-4   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5)-(4/7/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(4/7/9/3)-(8/2/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-5   WIN (4/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/9/3)-(8/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/3)-(8/2/6/1)-(9/8/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-6   WIN (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/1)-(9/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/1)-(9/8/6/2)-(1/3/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-7   WIN (9/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/6/2)-(1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFESPAN Aug09 Jul22 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 2.50 7% 13.70    
2  ZIPPER ZAPPER Jul26 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 May25 (lopez mari)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 8.00    
3  TINY TIN Aug09 Jul12 Jun09 Oct12 Sep24 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
4  RACK GIN Aug05 Jul17 Nov30 Nov21 Oct01 (wyner harold)CASTILLO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Aug04 Jul05 Jun21 May27 Feb20 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 111 15.00    
6  CAPE HEDGE Jul22 Jul10 Jun14 May15 Apr25 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 120 4.50    
7  ROARING RIVER Aug04 Apr06 Mar20 Mar11 Feb09 (smith g)ROSE J 120 1.60 64% 0.60    
 
DEL-2   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HELEONORTIZ Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 May20 May03 (iannotti tho)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
2  ABIDALE Jul30 Jul14 Jun06 Mar20 Feb13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  SNAPPY RIDE Jul27 Jun10 May29 Apr24 Mar07 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00    
4  TONALA Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May23 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
5  MISS CHAMITA Jul19 Jun20 May24 May09 Apr06 (pino v)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 11% 8.10    
6  WHYISSHESOOLUCKY Jul26 May10 Mar29 Feb27 Feb07 (gonzalez-milia)CEDENO CAROL 120 1.80 17% 4.90    
7  SILVER GLEN Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 Apr16 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
 
DEL-3   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE THE COOKIES         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 5.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
2  TRENDY (ARG)         (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PATRICIA'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  A PRIMERA VISTA         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
SCR  TIZ RACE DAY Aug02         (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIZTITO by TIZNOW)
5  NAVANI         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of KINCORALYN by TWO PUNCH)
6  PANTHER CROSSING         (schistl raf)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PANTHER STRIKE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
SCR  GRACE REFORMED         (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SURFRIDER BEACH by BELLAMY ROAD)
8  UPTOWN JIVE Jul26         (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 119 15.00 17% 5.10    
  (by DORTMUND out of A JUMPINANDA JIVIN by JUMP START)
SCR  BAILINTIN         (pino v)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MANDOLIN by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  MEXICAN SUGAR Jul28         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 15.00 17% 4.90    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IRISH CONNECTION by MR. GREELEY)
11  MAYFLY Jun11         (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYSTAL MOONLIGHT by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
SCR  NEOLITHICA         (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of ECLIPTICALSPHARAOH by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE)
SCR  BAYNHAM         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MUST BE FATE by EUROSILVER)
 
DEL-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEAN VALJEAN Jul12 Sep26 Aug23 Jun03 Mar22 (hendriks mclan)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
2  SWIFTY DEVIL Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 May20 Apr15 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 117 8.00    
3  COMEDY ACT Jul02 Jun15 May21 Apr30 Mar16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 8.00    
4  TAKE A HINT Jul14 Jun17 Aug31 Aug06   (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  CAPT. CANDY Aug04 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr04 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAISE THE RENT Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar11 Jan01 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  RUN POPPY Jul21 Jun22 Jun09 Mar31 Mar11 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00    
SCR  DETROIT CITY Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 Dec22 (sisterson jack)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
 
DEL-5   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVE IN LOV Aug05         (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00    
2  SAVANNAH'S SUGAR Aug05 Jul08 Jun22     (lopez mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
3  EXPECTATIONS MET Jul09 Jun04 May06 Dec14 Nov19 (duarte jorge )OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 6% 14.90    
4  DELTA CHARM Aug04 Jul19 Jun22 Jun03   (smith g)CENTENO E 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Jul19 May06       (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
6  PRALINE PECAN Feb12         (rawles alc)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 20.00    
7  EVERY TIME Jul21 Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 Nov04 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
8  PINK SUNSET Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 Jun03 (pham van)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 20.00    
9  HITS DIFFERENT Jul14 Jun16 Apr15 Mar16   (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
DEL-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN CANDY Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 Dec10 Apr27 (neilson wallace)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00 14% 6.20    
2  IMPERIAL KING Apr29 Apr01 Feb17 Feb01 Dec16 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  MY HARBORS DREAM Jul29 Jun25 Apr21 Apr08 Mar12 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.80    
4  REBEL EMPIRE Jul26 Jun15 Apr22 Mar05 Jan15 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
5  SPOTTED BULL Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 Jun24 May27 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
6  SHACKS WAY Oct13 Aug26 Jul21 Jun23 Jun10 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  STRAWBERRY CONE Jul24 Jun19 May31 May23 May03 (jones carl)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
8  GOLDEN JUAN Jul26 Jul01 May29 Apr06 Mar15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
DEL-7   08/17/2023 5490ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRICKET WEST Jul29 Jul05 May26 May06 Apr15 (morzan e)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
2  IZZYBELLA Jul12 Jun10 May11 Mar26 Feb24 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAGTIME BELLE Jul15 Jun24 May24 Apr28 Mar12 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Jul15 Jun22 Mar10 Nov23   (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
5  COMPASS FIRE Aug12 Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 May12 (seale christoph)MENA E 116 8.00    
6  FACCIA BELLA Jul27 Jul15 Jun22 Apr15 Apr01 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 116 5.00 10% 9.00    
7  CORINNA Aug02 Jun22 Oct30 Sep29 Sep01 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
8  SHE'S A MIA Jul09 Nov13 Oct20 Oct08 Aug12 (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
9  SUN BEE Jul08 May24 Apr15 Mar05 Jan29 (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.00 54% 0.90    
 
DEL-8   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER CHANGE Aug12 Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 Jun09 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
2  KIDYOUNOT Jul22 Jul05 Jun23 May11 Mar22 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
3  GHOSTINYOU Jul25 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr15 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 8.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  SOCIAL GROUP Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 May16 (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00    
5  TEXTPECTATION Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun03 May13 (morzan e)CENTENO E 120 12.00    
6  BERMONDSEY Jul27 Jun21 Nov01 Sep07 Jul07 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  INSTIGATED Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 Feb24 Feb01 (ramirez jose )ALICEA JEREMY 113 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  GREAT FACES Aug04 Jun23 Jun09 Mar31 Mar18 (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.