Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/5/4)-(6/7/2/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6/7/2/1)-(4/6/2/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/7/2/1)-(4/6/2/7)-(2/6/9/5) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(2/6/9/5)-(6/1/5/3/8) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5/7)-(2/6/9/5/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (2/6/9/5)-(6/1/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (6/1/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3/8)-(6/1/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3/8)-(6/1/5/3/8)-(6/1/5/3/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIA'S ON TUNE Aug02 Jul18 Jun06 Sep28 Aug30 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  MISS PARFAIT Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 Jun06 Sep28 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 10.00    
3  MISS M J Jul05 Jun14 May17 May08 May01 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 4.00    
4  CYCLONE SORORITY Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun14 May22 (keplin st)CHADEE JR 123 1.40 20% 4.10    
5  LADY NYLA Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep20 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00    
6  HARLONS COMMISION Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
ASD-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILAMARIA Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19   (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 114 5.00    
2  GOING SUCCESS Jul19 Jul05 Jun13     (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  AMMA'S STAR Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 Aug22 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 3.00    
4  G B'S TURBO Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May06 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 4.00 ★    
5  BIG BIG ENERGY Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 114 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  ROYAL COMMANDO Jul31 Jul17 Jun13 Jul27 Jul11 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  KEYSTONE CASH Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 Sep20 (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 15.00    
 
ASD-3   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAY ADMIRAL Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 Nov05 Oct15 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
2  PRAYFORPEACE Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun07 Aug20 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  VANGILDER Aug07 Jul24 Jun15 Apr29 Apr08 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 2.00    
4  GALLANT OAK Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  ITSTHATTIME Aug07 May22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
6  COURAGEOUS Aug07 Jul19 Apr29 Mar11 Feb07 (stanford maria)CARRENO J 122 25.00    
7  PLENTIFUL Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 Aug23 Aug01 (duncan murray)BALROOP SVEN 122 20.00    
 
ASD-4   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE CAFE Aug08 Sep25 Aug22 Aug01 Jul06 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 20.00 6% 14.90    
2  MR HANDS ON Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Dec03 Nov14 (gardipy j)TARASENCO P 124 20.00 12% 7.00    
3  PHANTOM DROP Jun24 Jun03 Apr30 Apr15 Mar26 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 117 2.00    
4  TECATE GOLD Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 114 25.00    
5  C C'S KITTEN Jul26 Jul05 May22 Apr09 Mar04 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 5.00    
6  TERAWATT Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 May09 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  BROWNING ISLAND Jul26 Jul10 Jul03 Jun19 Dec10 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HARRYKEEPTHECHANGE Sep13 Aug31 Jul26 Mar08 Feb15 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00    
 
ASD-5   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOTIN MONEY Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 May23 Sep20 (dickey elton)AEBLY FRASER 117 2.50    
2  GOLDENEYED Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May29 Sep12 (jordan jennif)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
3  DANZ A REBEL Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 May30 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00    
4  DROP A CARIBOU Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 Jun13 May29 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  EURONTHEMONEY Jul24 Jul13 Jul05 May16 May01 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00    
6  FRESH ONE Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May10 Apr12 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  TOP OF THE ROCK Jul30 Jul22 Jun10 Sep24 Sep18 (tourangea)CHADEE JR 124 25.00 5% 17.60    
8  CLUB CHAMP Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May30 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
 
ASD-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RON RON Aug01 Jul12 Jun20     (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 119 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of BEARS PRINCESS by OLMODAVOR)
2  ROUGH CUSTOMER Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 May27 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
3  THIRSTY EARS         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 30.00    
  (by DECLASSIFY out of PURPLENGOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
4  EL MUZN Mar31 Mar17 Feb22 Jan21 Dec29 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 119 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AROOSAH by DANSILI (GB))
5  FORITTABLE Aug09 Jul04 Jun06 Dec11 Dec02 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of RITTA by RIZZI)
6  VIRAL Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 May27 Oct28 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
7  WITT'S JERRY         (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 10.00 ★    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of QUEEN'S MEMORIES by INDYGO SHINER)
8  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
9  FINALIZE Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun14 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
ASD-7   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT UP NOW J T Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May22 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  HEY HEY RUN AWAY Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 Sep28 (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 50.00    
3  TAPITURE WAY Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00 7% 12.40    
4  SOME WOULD SAY Jul30 Jul15 Jul05 Jun18 May25 (cavanaugh)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
5  ENJAY'S BRASS Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 Sep28 Sep12 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 6.00 12% 7.00    
6  KNOW WHAT I MINA Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May22 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.80 34% 2.00    
7  VALLENTAY Aug01 Jul05 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 40.00    
8  MERMAID KISSES Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Sep28 Sep14 (tourangeau m)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADY SUNSET Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 Aug30 Aug16 (stanford maria)ALI RONALD 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.