Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CBY-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/5/1)-(5/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/3/4)-(3/5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/5/7/1)-(2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CBY-5   WIN (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/1)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CBY-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   07/27/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 35 M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS DAMSEL MAYFLY         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 8.00    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of MISS SEVENTY FIVE by BIRDSTONE)
2  MISS POLO BAR Jul02 Jun02 Apr21 Mar25   (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISSBELLE O'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  CLIMB TO GLORY Jul14 Jul03 Jun09 Apr06 Mar02 (spencer robin)WADE LYNDIE 119 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  I'M BLEU TOO         (quinonez na)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ROCKIN THE BLEU'S by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  MISSY PIGGY         (cline n)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00    
  (by FIVE IRON out of FLEETING MOMENT by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
6  BOARDWALK QUEEN Nov24 Oct30 Sep25     (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TOAST OF MAYFAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  ALLOTROPE Jul08 Jun18 May27 May14 Apr27 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of ADIOS VICKY by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
CBY-2   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM SEZ Jul12 Jun21 May27 Oct28 Sep10 (biehler micha)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  BIRDIE MACHINE Jun28 May27 May14 Apr27 Nov04 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.50    
3  WITHSTANDTHESTORM Jun17 May28 Apr01 Sep10 Jul28 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00    
4  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Jul15 Jun18 May27 Sep15 Aug13 (rhone berne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  WIN OVER WYATT Jul03 Jun17 May28     (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Jul13 Jun28 May27 May04 Apr20 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
CBY-3   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S NOT FUNNY Jul16 Sep10 Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  TEMPTED MISSION Jun16 Apr29 Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
3  THOUGHT Jun25 May29 May08 Mar21 Feb20 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
4  PAPA RIZZO Jul12 Jun24 Mar10 Oct01 Sep08 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
5  CASHANOVA Jul16 Apr29 Apr17 Apr05 Mar29 (asprin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.50 24% 3.10    
6  STAGECOACH BOYS Jul15 Jun21 Jun03 Sep08 Aug17 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
CBY-4   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWANAGE Jul03 Jun25 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 8.00    
2  LATIN NIKKITA Jul09 Jun14 May29 May05 Aug11 (sweere sandra)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50    
3  LOCK IT DOWN Jul19 Jun24 Jun07 Oct22 Sep14 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 1.40 28% 2.50    
4  DESERT GLOW Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Apr21 Sep04 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GYPSY WIFE Jul09 Jun14 May02 Apr19 Mar26 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
CBY-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jul13 Jun11 Jun03 May06 Apr25 (asprino a)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 7% 14.30    
2  SAILSINTHESUNSET Jun21 Jun10 May29 May01 Apr10 (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.50    
3  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Jul01 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 (quinonez n)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  SUNDANCE STAR Jun24 May28 Jan14 Dec17 Nov16 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
5  PEPPERMINT SISTER Jul08 May29 May01 Apr12 Mar28 (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  FLASH FLOOD Apr01 Mar13 Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 (asprin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00    
7  BRAHMS IS WHO Jul08 Jun24 May29 Sep15 Sep04 (tranquilin)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 8% 12.10    
 
CBY-6   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIDING THE TRAIN Jun03 Mar19 Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 (spencer r)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
2  BARNFIELD Jul02 Jun10 Apr12 Apr03 Mar15 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED Jul08 Jun18 May29 Apr12 Feb16 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50    
SCR  CARMENOOTZ Jul16 Jun24 May27 Apr29 Feb10 (carmichael mi)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00    
5  SARGE'S SERMON Jul08 Jun17 May28 May05 Apr11 (biehler mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
6  BEAT THE HEAT Jul12 Jun25       (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  HOT SHOT KID Jul16 May27 Nov13 Oct20 Sep10 (quinonez n)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50    
8  MAKE NOISE Jul16 Jun25 Jun14 May29 May05 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.