Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-2   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-4   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-5   Win (10/1/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-6   Win (2/9/3/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-8   Win (5/4/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARMA BUS Jul01 Jun03       (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.00 54% 0.80    
VAGABOND VIRGIN         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00    
JUST JUBA Jul01         (meehan el)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00    
B. J. MOOSE May20 Apr29 Mar16 Jan28 Nov09 (kopecki sar)BOCACHICA J 114 6.00 8% 11.00    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul06 Apr22       (lewis r)LARROSA G 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
RAISE A RUCKUS Jul06 Jun10 Nov26     (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MALEKES MAGIC         (straughn william )RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
 
CT-2   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZZURRA Jun17 May05 Apr15 Jan18 Nov05 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 11% 8.10    
BABY MAN Jun10 May05 Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 (cash l)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.80 59% 0.70    
OCEAN LILLY Jun11 Apr15 Jan19 Jan07 Nov03 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Jun10 Apr13 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
BACKSTREET AFFAIR Jul14 Jul01 May18 Apr20 Apr01 (lee a)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
LACE REVOLUTION Jun10 May05 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (shanley mar)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 5% 18.30    
 
CT-3   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCA BIRDIE Jun23 May12 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (atkins michael )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
MOJO MATTERS Jul14 Jun15 Apr13 Mar30 Nov26 (davis e)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
WEST VIRGINIA PAM May14 May05 Jan05 Dec03 Nov10 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 3.50    
CHANNEL SCENT Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Jan12 (sewell lenw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Jul01 Jun15 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60    
SCR  MARY'S LISTED NEXT Jul06 May04 Feb09 Jan13 Mar19 (obed-letts ketu)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
MAP EM UP Jul07 Jun11 May27 May04 Dec02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-4   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMETOGETUP Jul01 Jun01 May20 May04 Apr21 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jul01 Jun10 Jun01 May20 Mar09 (jackson g)BOCACHICA O 124 30.00    
HESSICA Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 Oct08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
COUSIN WINNIE Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 Feb25 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
GILDED QUEST Jun22 Jun09 Apr28 Apr15 Dec14 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jul13 Jun22 May26 Apr28 Apr15 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Apr07 Mar05 Feb04 Dec31 Nov02 (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 116 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
CT-5   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Jul01 Jun10 May12 Apr28 Apr07 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
CAJUN CASHEW         (keller christophe)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
VERY VENUS Jul01 Aug12 Jul22     (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
AUNT TOOTY         (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00    
LUZIA Jul01 Jun10 May12 Mar31   (gazzier kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIT OF BLESSINGS         (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCARLET REBEL         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
MEGEEZER Jun23 Jun02 Apr20 Mar31   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 8.00    
UNALTERED Jun23 Jun01 May11     (stehr p)SIMPSON JASON 118 20.00    
10  PHANTOM QUEEN Jul01 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
CT-6   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY PEGGY Jul08 Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
LADRO DI FICHI Jul06 Jun10 May29 May13 Apr07 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
BEST VIRGINIA Jul06 May05 Apr13 Mar04 Jan13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
KATALIMA Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  KELSEY'S ANGEL Jul06 Jun09 May25 May07 Apr08 (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 118 12.00    
JACCACI Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Feb23 (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
SWEET FACTOR Jun23 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Jun10 May27 May18 Apr14 Mar17 (johnson d)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
ARROWWOOD May25 Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 13% 7.00    
10  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul06 Jun19 May19 Apr21 Mar25 (rideout m)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
CT-7   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE ROO ROO Jun17 May13 Mar31 Feb16 Feb01 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 46% 1.20    
ROAD MINISTER Jun15 May24 Apr26 Apr08 Mar17 (chain pearl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
PAYMENGOLD Jul06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
GRUMPY'S BUDDY Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
JUBA'S NOTION Jun23 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
CT-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CICI UNIFIED Jul13 May02 Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
EMMA AND I Jul01 Jun10 May20 Nov23 Oct12 (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Jul08 Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar30 (price r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
MISS WILD Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar24 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
CENTERFOLD ANGEL Jul01 Jun10 May06 Apr15 Jan25 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 61% 0.60    
THUNDERTURTLE Jun17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 Nov24 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jul01 Jun10 May25 Feb11 Jan14 (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF TIME Jul01 May20 Apr29 Mar17 Feb25 (davis billy)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
ONEPRETTYTHING Jul01 Jun06 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (smith osborne)CULLUM W 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul08 Jun17 Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 (cash norman)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40    
11  SHEMADEMELUCKY Jun17 May06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 (pennella rhea)ESQUILIN J 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.