Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(2/7/4)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(3/4)-(10/1/2/6/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(10/1/2/6/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(10/1/2/6/5)-(2/9/3/10/4) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/1/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/2/6/5)-(10/1/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/2/6/5)-(10/1/2/6/5)-(10/1/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/2/6/5)-(2/9/3/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/1/2/6/5)-(2/9/3/10/4)-(1/5/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/9/3/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/10/4)-(2/9/3/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/10/4)-(2/9/3/10/4)-(2/9/3/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/3/10/4)-(1/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/10/4)-(1/5/4)-(5/4/2/9/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/4/2/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/4/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/9/6)-(5/4/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/9/6)-(5/4/2/9/6)-(5/4/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARMA BUS Jul01 Jun03       (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
2  VAGABOND VIRGIN         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GREY TRAFFIC by NUMEROUS)
3  JUST JUBA Jul01         (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of JUSTLOOKATMENOW by OLD FASHIONED)
4  B. J. MOOSE May20 Apr29 Mar16 Jan28 Nov09 (kopecki s)BOCACHICA J 114 6.00 8% 11.00    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul06 Apr22       (lewis r)LARROSA G 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
6  RAISE A RUCKUS Jul06 Jun10 Nov26     (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
7  MALEKES MAGIC         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
 
CT-2   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZZURRA Jun17 May05 Apr15 Jan18 Nov05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 11% 8.10    
2  BABY MAN Jun10 May05 Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.80 59% 0.70    
3  OCEAN LILLY Jun11 Apr15 Jan19 Jan07 Nov03 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
4  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Jun10 Apr13 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
5  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Jul14 Jul01 May18 Apr20 Apr01 (lee a)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
6  LACE REVOLUTION Jun10 May05 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 5% 18.30    
 
CT-3   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BIRDIE Jun23 May12 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
2  MOJO MATTERS Jul14 Jun15 Apr13 Mar30 Nov26 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  WEST VIRGINIA PAM May14 May05 Jan05 Dec03 Nov10 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 3.50    
4  CHANNEL SCENT Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Jan12 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SO RED THE ROSE Jul01 Jun15 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60    
SCR  MARY'S LISTED NEXT Jul06 May04 Feb09 Jan13 Mar19 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
7  MAP EM UP Jul07 Jun11 May27 May04 Dec02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-4   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMETOGETUP Jul01 Jun01 May20 May04 Apr21 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
2  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Jul01 Jun10 Jun01 May20 Mar09 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 124 30.00    
3  HESSICA Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 Oct08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  COUSIN WINNIE Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 Feb25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GILDED QUEST Jun22 Jun09 Apr28 Apr15 Dec14 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
6  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jul13 Jun22 May26 Apr28 Apr15 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Apr07 Mar05 Feb04 Dec31 Nov02 (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 116 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
CT-5   07/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Jul01 Jun10 May12 Apr28 Apr07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
2  CAJUN CASHEW         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of SOFIE S by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
3  VERY VENUS Jul01 Aug12 Jul22     (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  AUNT TOOTY         (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of THUMB RUN by PEAK DANCER)
5  LUZIA Jul01 Jun10 May12 Mar31   (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of GLORY GIRL by EDDINGTON)
6  BIT OF BLESSINGS         (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
7  SCARLET REBEL         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
8  MEGEEZER Jun23 Jun02 Apr20 Mar31   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 8.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
9  UNALTERED Jun23 Jun01 May11     (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 118 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
10  PHANTOM QUEEN Jul01 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-6   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY PEGGY Jul08 Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
2  LADRO DI FICHI Jul06 Jun10 May29 May13 Apr07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
3  BEST VIRGINIA Jul06 May05 Apr13 Mar04 Jan13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
4  KATALIMA Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  KELSEY'S ANGEL Jul06 Jun09 May25 May07 Apr08 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 118 12.00    
6  JACCACI Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Feb23 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
7  SWEET FACTOR Jun23 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
8  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Jun10 May27 May18 Apr14 Mar17 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
9  ARROWWOOD May25 Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 13% 7.00    
10  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul06 Jun19 May19 Apr21 Mar25 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
CT-7   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE ROO ROO Jun17 May13 Mar31 Feb16 Feb01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 46% 1.20    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
2  ROAD MINISTER Jun15 May24 Apr26 Apr08 Mar17 (chain pearl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DEVONSPAINTEDLADY by DEVON DEPUTY)
3  PAYMENGOLD Jul06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
5  JUBA'S NOTION Jun23 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
 
CT-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CICI UNIFIED Jul13 May02 Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
2  EMMA AND I Jul01 Jun10 May20 Nov23 Oct12 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHERIFF'S KID Jul08 Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar30 (price r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
4  MISS WILD Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
5  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Jul01 Jun10 May06 Apr15 Jan25 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 61% 0.60    
6  THUNDERTURTLE Jun17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 Nov24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jul01 Jun10 May25 Feb11 Jan14 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF TIME Jul01 May20 Apr29 Mar17 Feb25 (davis billy)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
9  ONEPRETTYTHING Jul01 Jun06 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (smith osborne)CULLUM W 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul08 Jun17 Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40    
11  SHEMADEMELUCKY Jun17 May06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 (pennella rh)ESQUILIN J 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.