Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(5/4/2)-(7/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/5/1/4)-(3/8/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/4)-(3/8/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/4)-(3/8/11/6)-(1/4/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/8/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/11/6)-(3/8/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/11/6)-(3/8/11/6)-(3/8/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/11/6)-(1/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/11/6)-(1/4/6/7)-(2/5/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(2/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/7)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/7/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(2/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(2/7/5/9)-(8/6/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/9)-(8/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SAINT         (spraggins ken)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of PASSAGE OF TIME by EL CORREDOR)
2  RUMBRANDT         (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
3  RICHIE'S GAL         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  DEVIL         (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
5  DOROTHY CROWFOOT         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENJOY THIS MOMENT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  DANCIN' MOLLY         (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 6.00 5% 17.70    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
 
HAW-2   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY RICHIE Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr13 Apr02 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
2  GAGOOTS Jun14 May21 May07 Apr20 Dec31 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.50 8% 12.00    
3  C F V RED NOVA May31 Apr20 Mar26 Mar09 Dec30 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  BEHAVIN MYSELF Jun14 May31 May21 May07 Apr20 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00 12% 7.30    
5  BIG BLUE Jun11 Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 Dec09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  NOT VERY GENTLE Jun21 May31 May21 Apr30 Apr16 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
HAW-3   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNNY SHINE Jun22 May31       (campbell joel)MOJICA O 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  VELVET SEASON Jun29 Jun15 May31     (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 15.00    
3  FEATURED POWER Jun25 Jun25 Jun10 May20 Apr30 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 20.00    
4  EVIE JEAN Jun29 Jun15 May31 May14 Apr30 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 6% 15.80    
5  TWICK OR TWEAT Jun15 Jun04 May11 Apr20 Mar19 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  DILLYDILLY DIAMOND Jun25 May11       (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
7  GO ON GIRL Jun21 May25 May04 Dec11 Dec03 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 119 0.60 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-4   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH BROW Jun29 May31 May04 Apr06 Mar19 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 122 3.50    
2  UNCLE HEADLEY May11 Apr08 Mar09 Feb10 Jan19 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 8.00    
3  RIVZONAROLL Jun25 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 Sep25 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 117 1.40 26% 2.80    
SCR  GALLANT BUCK Jun07 May11 Feb17 Jan06 Dec16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 117 15.00    
SCR  CYCLONE ATTACK Jun15 May31 Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
6  ON K P Jun15 May19 Apr30 Apr06 Mar18 (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TABLE MONEY Jun07 May06 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 8.00    
8  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Jun07 May18 Apr30 Apr15 Mar28 (reavis l)MOJICA O 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
9  TEE BURNS May31 May18 May09 Apr16 Mar19 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50    
10  RACARINO May31 Apr16 Mar05 Apr20 Apr03 (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 15.00    
11  TWIRLING ROSES May31 May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar05 (rodriguez ed)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
12  MANTA REY Jun18 May05 Apr15 Apr01 Mar12 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 10.00    
 
HAW-5   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZE BEAUTY Jun07 May21 Apr06 Mar16 Nov12 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  VOSTRA Jun22 Jun03 May14 Dec16 Nov26 (jones jeff )SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
3  J Z'S FINE WINE Jun22 Jun07 May21 Dec16 Nov26 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of JO JO'S WINE by D'WILDCAT)
4  PACIFIC VIEW Jun07 May21 May11 Dec31   (clay pat)FELIX E 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  WICKED SKY Jun13 Apr23 Apr02 Dec03 Oct14 (wainwright jo)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
6  LUTION Jun13 May30 May16 May02 Apr09 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of LILY LUNA by SAARLAND)
7  HOLY STAR Jun22 Jun15 May31     (weir george)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LINE OF DAVID out of HOLY CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
 
HAW-6   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO SUCCESS Jun18 May31 May04 Apr13 Mar18 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jun25 Jun04 May06 Apr15 Mar10 (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  SLAVA UKRAINI Jun18 Jun04 May28 Apr30 Apr18 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 117 10.00    
4  CONI'S COUP Sep23 Aug22 Aug01 Jun17 May06 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 9% 10.30    
5  TAHOE RUN Jun15 May28 May06 Apr01 Mar11 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 1.80 21% 3.80    
6  ROCKET HOTSHOT Jun04 May14 Apr27 Apr16 Mar16 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 5.00    
7  WESLAN Jun10 May27 May04 Apr09 Mar26 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 117 20.00    
 
HAW-7   07/09/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYSTART Apr27 Mar30 Mar19 Nov25 Nov11 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 5.00    
2  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Jun13 Apr26 Nov22 Oct26 Oct06 (reid r)COLON H 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  GHAALEB'S DREAMS May18         (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
SCR  NIFF Jun11 May25 May07 Apr29 Apr13 (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00    
5  ZENCHUA SKY Jun07 May23 Apr27 Mar26 Mar09 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN Jun04 May18 Apr27 Jan20 Dec31 (cristel j)FELIX E 122 12.00    
7  IZZY'S MONSTER Jun22 May25 Oct15 Sep15 Aug20 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
8  FREE LOVE Jun21 May25 May04 Apr11 Dec22 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
9  BALI BABY Mar17 Feb22 Jan19 Nov13 Aug29 (quinonez max)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   07/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROPE         (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 119 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  CHISPARRAJOS         (gutierrez fa)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE May29 May11       (spraggins ken)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
4  STANCE         (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
SCR  AUTUMN NIGHTS         (reavis l)FELIX E 119 12.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of GLAMALA by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  CLASSIC RICHIE Jun14         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MY SAVING GRACE by SUPER SAVER)
7  NATIONS DREAM Jun06         (martin dawn)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DREAM INDY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
8  RAVIN'S TOWN         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.