Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(3/11/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/11/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/5/1)-(3/11/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/5/1)-(3/11/5/1)-(3/11/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11/5/1)-(8/5/2/3)-(6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8)-(1/9/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/8)-(3/7/6/8/9)-(7/5/4/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/7/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8/9)-(3/7/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8/9)-(3/7/6/8/9)-(3/7/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/6/8/9)-(7/5/4/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-7   WIN (7/5/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6/8)-(7/5/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6/8)-(7/5/4/6/8)-(7/5/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M CRENSHAW May09 Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Sep29 (bravo fran)ERAMIA E 122 3.50    
2  STOCKPILER Jun10 May22 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 3.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Apr30 Mar09 Feb20 Feb12 Dec17 (b)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
4  KING KONGO Mar05 Jul22 Jun25 May29 May08 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  MR. NIGHTBLINGER Jun15 May14 Mar18 Jan20 Sep07 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 5.00    
SCR  SOUL SACRIFICE May28 Apr30 Jan21 Nov11 Oct20 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 118 4.00    
7  WHITAKER May07 Apr14 Mar22 Feb10 Jan21 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
LS-2   06/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOOPING JAY Jun09 Apr30 Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 (petalino j)ERAMIA E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL May11 Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 Oct27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50    
3  COLOR FAST Jun16 May03 Apr22 Mar01 Feb16 (b)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 44% 1.20    
SCR  BUBBA BLING Jun02 May21 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
5  SIMPLY WICKED Jun11 Apr23 Mar16 Jan07 Dec17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 6% 16.50    
6  MAU MAU (BRZ) Jun04 May06 Apr13 Feb11 Dec17 (arey)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
7  RESOLVE NOW Apr29 Apr14 Feb03 Jan08 Dec14 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 30.00    
8  MOUNT KENYA Jun05 May28 Mar22 Feb24 Jan28 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  GO SPEED RACER GO May29 May06 Apr22 Feb24 Jan07 (scholl kevin)DIEGO V 121 5.00    
10  TED Jan22 Jan02 Nov04 Oct10 Aug27 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 8.00    
11  CLIFF DIVER Jun02 May06 Apr15 Mar17 Mar04 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
LS-3   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATTILA THE DUN Jun10 Apr30 Apr16 Feb10 Dec30 (c)DE CRUZ 119 1.80    
2  SLIM JIMMY Jun10 May13 Apr30 Apr15 Apr07 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  RED DRAW Jun10 May13 Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RICHARD'S TX BLING Jun09 May06 Apr21 Apr08 Feb25 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY May29 May18 May07 Apr23 Mar24 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  CAPTAINS COVE Jun10 Jun02 Apr21 Mar31 Mar03 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 5.00    
7  VICTOR VALENTINO Jun16 Jun10 May29 May13 Apr16 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
8  FLY'N SEXY Jun10 May13 Apr21 Mar31 Feb25 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
LS-4   06/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S GO ALAMO May21 Apr23 Apr01 Jan22 Oct14 (willis mindy)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
2  STAYED IN FOR HALF Apr01 Nov14 Oct14 Sep22 Aug27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  HE'S A BOMB May29 May22 May14 May05 Apr16 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
4  FAR FROM FINAL May27 May09 Apr16 Mar11 Feb10 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
5  UNION DATA May28 Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 (davidson sarah)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Jun17 May12 May06 Apr21 Apr13 (b)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  JACKMAN'S RIDE Apr16 Mar31 Feb25 Feb05 Jan22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00    
SCR  BRUCELEA May05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 Jan22 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  HOOVES YOUR DADDY Apr15 Mar19 Feb10 Dec16 Nov22 (young scot)ERAMIA E 121 20.00    
SCR  ROBO May29 May21 Apr15 Mar16 Mar05 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00    
SCR  I GOT NO MUNNY Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Jul23   (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 121 3.00    
 
LS-5   06/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSAN Jun04         (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by KHOZAN out of GYPSY GREY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  STORMY'S REVENGE         (d)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SERENA BALLERINA by CHEROKEE RUN)
3  MOON RIDGE         (montano w)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MOONSHOT by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  MIA MITOLE May20         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of WEALTH CREATION by SUPER SAVER)
5  HONOR AND FIRE         (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 119 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of HONORVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
6  KOLLYNS JULIE Jun04 May20       (mendoza edgar)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  GRACEOFCAROLINE         (bryant geor)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SIDE OF SASS by MINESHAFT)
8  HAULIN HAY         (roberson )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DONE SMOKING by SMOKE GLACKEN)
9  IN A MINESHAFT May20         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 3.00 6% 15.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
 
LS-6   06/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLYING IN HOT Jun18         (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HOT GLAM GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  HYPERION NORTH Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb26 Jan28 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 20.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
3  TIZ BODHI BOY Jun04 May27 May11 Mar12 Feb26 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
SCR  SUMMER HELP May27 May11       (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HARLAN HELPER by FRIENDS LAKE)
5  BLINGO May27 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BRICKYARD BABY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
6  TI CAILLOU         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 10.00 6% 16.00    
  (by STONESIDER out of CAJUN FRENCH by DYNAMEAUX)
7  HARPER HOUSE         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CONGAREE out of FUNNY TUNE by DOVE HUNT)
8  BINDING HEART Jun04 Jul09       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIND out of CASSIENGRACIE by ZANJERO)
9  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Jan16         (kotara rona)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
10  VALDINA DREAMS May27 May11 Apr29 Apr13 Mar24 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  TEXAN FARMER Jun16 Jun04 May07 Mar19   (t)DE CRUZ 118 3.50    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of PURE MOTHER by PURE PRIZE)
12  NATURAL HIGH May27 May07       (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
 
LS-7   06/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN EASY May27 Apr21       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BET TO WIN by PULPIT)
2  WOODY'S CHOICE May27 Apr23 Mar11 Feb03 Dec31 (davidson sarah)QUINONEZ S 119 3.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of MA PETITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MEDIMPACT May27         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIXBY LOU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  COOL BLUE         (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of ANOTHER WILD THING by WILD ZONE)
5  CHANGING TIMES         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of TIMELESSLY by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
6  EL SMOOCH         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of WILDHEARTSNEVERDIE by GATORS N BEARS)
7  FREEPORT Jun04 May27 May06 Apr16 Apr07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 53% 0.90    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SCARLETT'S IMAGE by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  DUSTINS DENILE         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CAT IN DE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  MINISTER MAZ May27 Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug20 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 2.50    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of DESTINY LEADS ME by CONGRATS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.