Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/7)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(2/3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/1)-(2/3/8/1)-(6/2/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-4   WIN (2/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/1)-(6/2/3/7)-(8/5/3/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/7)-(8/5/3/6/7)-(5/9/6/7/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/5/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/6/7)-(8/5/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/6/7)-(8/5/3/6/7)-(8/5/3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (5/9/6/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/7/10)-(5/9/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/7/10)-(5/9/6/7/10)-(5/9/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-8   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(1/9/7/4/8)-(2/8/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-9   WIN (1/9/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/4/8)-(1/9/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/4/8)-(1/9/7/4/8)-(1/9/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/7/4/8)-(2/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-10   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUGIE JOE May27 Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Dec10 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  SHOTSHELL May07         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
3  GOLDEN FLASH May27 Apr15 Mar22 Feb20 Jul24 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRUHL'S GOLD by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
4  KENTUCKY ICE May21 Mar31 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00 14% 6.30    
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
5  RANSAM PAYNTER May21 May06 Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL VIE by THE FACTOR)
6  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ May27 May13 Apr08     (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 118 5.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PRIVATE OFFERING by PULPIT)
7  NORBERT         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OH WHAT A PRIZE by BLAME)
 
LS-2   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY RIDGE Jun02 May11 Apr08 Mar24 Mar03 (s)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WITT AMERICA Jun11 May28 May07 Apr14 Mar31 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
3  MALORIE'S BIG BOY May27 May11 Apr30 Apr08 Mar05 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.60    
4  SWEET TAPIN MORO Jun02 May06 Apr21 Mar18 Feb19 (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 123 4.50    
5  TEXAS HOLDEM May07 Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  FANDO May28 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Jul22 (uriegas hen)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 4.50    
 
LS-3   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMOST DIALED OUT Apr22         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 9% 10.00    
2  SUNNY SAN LEON Apr07 Feb12 Jan16 Nov21 Nov02 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  WIKI LIO May12 Mar26 Mar03     (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00    
4  LUCKY DEPUTY Apr07 Mar18 Feb11 Jan16 Dec17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  PERFECT WISH May28 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  SCARLETTA May13 Apr22       (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 122 5.00    
7  SWEET SLEW May11 Apr30 Apr23 Mar03 Jan14 (g)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
 
LS-4   06/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MOSCO May06 Apr15 Mar12 Jan24 Dec01 (green greg)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00 8% 11.70    
2  DEVAMANI (FR) Jun02 Apr13 Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
3  EASTER SNAP Jun03 May14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar10 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 2.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  NEW YEAR Feb17         (montano wilfr)DUMONT RAFAEL 116 20.00    
5  BLING'S BELLWETHER Jun03 May27 May13 Apr29 Apr08 (tuley rho)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 15.00    
6  DARE TO BE WILD May20 May05 Apr08 Mar12 Feb10 (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
7  MIDAS CAT Jun04 May14 Mar11 Mar03 Feb10 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 121 8.00    
8  CATHOLIC GUILT Jun12 Jun02 May08 Mar24 Mar02 (b)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  HAMAZING WISDOM Jun15 May13 Apr27 Apr14 Mar23 (b)DE CRUZ 121 5.00    
 
LS-5   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUMBLEBEE Jun05 May04 Mar26 Mar10 Feb17 (broberg kar)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 8.00    
2  NORA'S LEGACY Jun03 May21 May05 Apr14 Apr01 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
3  GRAN MANNA May21 May05 Mar19 Jan31 Jan24 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  SIMPLE PLEASURE Jun03 May05 Apr23 Apr14 Feb15 (b)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
5  MAZI Jun03 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 3.00    
6  CATO'S LADY Jun09 May14 Apr23 Apr01 Feb26 (whitelaw michael )DIAZ RENE 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  MATH MYSTERY Jun10 May12 Mar16 Feb25 Jan06 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
LS-6   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEACON JONES Jun05         (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LADY HEATHER by BRAHMS)
2  COASTAL BRINK Jun08         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
3  GREYDINI         (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SARALA by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
4  DELTA FRONT         (gelner ja)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MEKONG DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  CAT STORM         (diodoro robert)QUINONEZ S 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
6  THE OX         (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OXBOW out of JUMPED THE HARBOR by JUMP START)
7  MACHO GRANDE         (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
8  ROUGHNECK May21         (b)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SHE'S ROUGHIN IT by FOREST CAMP)
9  WINDY O K C         (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
 
LS-7   06/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE'S RANSOM May13 Mar10 Feb23 Jan06 Dec21 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
2  GRAY ZONE May27 Mar18 Sep14 Jul24 Jun11 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 124 10.00    
3  GETONOUTTAHERE Feb20 Feb05 Jan14 Nov14 Nov02 (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 124 20.00    
4  LET FREEDOM BLING May14 May05 Apr13 Mar05 Feb11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00    
5  FLY CONDOR Jun03 May11 Apr02 Mar10 Feb05 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  THINKITASADONATION May27 May07 Apr29 Apr02 Feb22 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  QUEEN GLADYS Feb19 Jan15 Dec20 Oct18 Jan30 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 20.00 11% 8.40    
8  AMERICAN COALMINER Apr02 Jan16 Nov22 Oct06 Sep03 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
9  ZINASDESTINYVIRAGO May27 Nov07 Nov02 Sep28 Sep13 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
10  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar23 Jan20 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 7% 14.10    
 
LS-8   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING SAUL         (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
2  TEXAS CLUBMAN May27 Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  CAJUN FIRE Jun02 Feb10 Jan07 Nov26   (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY RUN Jun04 May18 Apr07 Feb26 Jul08 (gelner ja)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 8.00    
5  MORO BEARD Jul22         (ruiz fern)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  HOLIDAY HOAX         (davidson m )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  FLYING IN HOT         (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00 17% 5.00    
8  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jun02 May11 Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
9  SPARRA Jun04 May07 Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 (bryant george)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50    
SCR  XANDER S Jun04 May21 Apr15 Mar31   (padilla carl)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
 
LS-9   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVACIOUSLY May29 Apr29 Feb17 Dec31 Nov26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
2  A LITTLE GOOD NEWS Mar31 Mar17 Feb10     (asmusse)GONCALVES R 119 4.50    
  (by TAPIT out of NIGHT SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  GILDED GHOST         (ritter shanno)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HIGH AUTHORITY by UNCLE MO)
4  OCCURRENCE May29 May18 Apr14 Mar21 Oct24 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
5  MISS LONG LEGS May10 Apr26 Mar27 Dec09 Oct27 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of IT'SNOSMALLWONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
6  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE) May29 May09       (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
7  NUBILITY May29 Apr14 Mar17 Feb09   (davis h)DIEGO V 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
8  NICAMINE May29         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of EARLY FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
9  SAN MATEO KAT May28 Apr22 Mar19     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN AWAY'S SIS by CITY ZIP)
 
LS-10   06/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA MAE Apr28 Apr01 Mar18 Feb18 Jan08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of CLASSY CORINTHIAN by CORINTHIAN)
2  D'ORO STREET May28 Apr22 Mar17 Feb03 Dec11 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 119 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STREET SHOW by STREET BOSS)
3  SASSY CHASSIE         (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 119 30.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of ALYSILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
SCR  ANYBODY'S GUESS         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
  (by OL' SARGE out of A TOUCH OF TEXAS by MAZEL TRICK)
5  MY BUTTERFLY Apr25 Jun25       (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUTLEDGE BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
6  ACCELERATE JUDY May28 Apr22       (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 3.00 8% 12.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MERRYLAND MONROE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
7  HIGINIA Jan27 Jan06       (bravenec )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
8  MASTER SOM Apr30 Mar25 Nov19 Oct27 Sep01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 9% 10.20    
  (by MASTERY out of VERONIQUE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  LUCKY GIN         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SLOW GIN by PULPIT)
10  LOANA May12 Mar21 Feb10 Oct23 Sep24 (hone bart)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.