Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/1/6)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/4/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/1/6)-(5/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(7/5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(7/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   06/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEQUAYA Jun08 May18 Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 3.50    
2  BELLS OF JOY Jun08 May25 May07 Apr16 Mar30 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 5% 18.10    
3  C C'S WORLD May23 May06 Apr18 Mar16 Jun12 (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
4  GYURZA Jun01 May14 Apr27 Apr20 Sep17 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80 9% 10.50    
5  QUEEN EKATI Apr20 Apr09 Mar02 Feb08 Dec30 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
HAW-2   06/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERRY ORCHARD Jun07 May21 May04 Apr13 Mar19 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Jun07 May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb16 (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 2.50    
3  KING ZION Apr27 Apr02 Mar23 Dec04 Nov18 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00    
4  ONE ACE Jun07 May21 Feb17     (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 6.00 41% 1.40    
5  WICKED SUPRISE May21 May04 Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00    
6  JACKPOT BOY Jun07 Apr02 Mar16 Mar05 Nov19 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.50 9% 10.40    
 
HAW-3   06/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S SOLUTION May28 May11 Apr16 Dec30 Dec10 (rednour john)GILES EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
2  RUSSIAN STANDARD May28 May11       (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00 13% 6.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
3  TAHOE RUN May28 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
4  ICE AXE May18 Mar15 Mar01 Jan13 Jan01 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
5  LARRY THE POET May28         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by VIOLENCE out of OCTAVIA by SWAIN (IRE))
6  GONE AGAIN May28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb10   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ISTAN AGAIN by ISTAN)
 
HAW-4   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVER QUARTERS Jun01 May11 Apr16 Dec11 Nov20 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
2  CADET CORPS May06 Apr23 Mar09 Feb26 Jan21 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 10.00 21% 3.90    
3  SAILING SOLO Mar09 Nov26       (roussel j)FELIX E 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  TEMPER TANTRUM Dec26 Oct15 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 1.80    
5  CAPTIVATING MOON May21 Jan14 Dec26 Nov13 Jun25 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  PROTONIC POWER May21 Apr16 Mar10 Feb04 Jan07 (hernandez ar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00    
 
HAW-5   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE MILLS Apr30 Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 10% 9.10    
2  MISTER KELLY Jun01 Nov18 Sep25 Aug22 Aug02 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 5.00    
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN Jun04 Apr01 Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 (villa francisco)LOPEZ A 122 6.00    
4  MALPAIS May25 Apr30 Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 (villa francis)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00 11% 8.30    
5  MEDAL OF FACT May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 Dec31 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
6  LATIN CASINO Jun03 Apr25 Apr13 Mar16 Dec11 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
HAW-6   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER THE MAINE May28 Mar16 Feb17 Feb02 Jan11 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  DEORA STORE May25 May14 Apr30 Apr13 Mar30 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
3  HATCHET CREEK May04 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00    
4  IMPERIAL MOMENT Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
5  GOOD ONE May20 Apr07 Feb11 Dec21 Nov30 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
6  RISKY BOY May28 May11 Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 (shephard john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 9% 9.90    
 
HAW-7   06/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERUVIAN LUCKY May20 Apr01 Mar17 Oct08 Aug31 (correas igna)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  HURTS SO BAD May28 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Jan16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 6% 14.60    
3  CYCLONE ATTACK May31 Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 Aug23 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
4  FREDDY J May26 Apr06 Oct01 Aug01 Jul04 (tracy tanne)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
5  FAITHFUL RULER May19 Apr25 Mar18 Feb18 Jul29 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  BALADINE May31 May14 Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ON K P May19 Apr30 Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
HAW-8   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELVET SEASON May31         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 15.00    
2  TWICK OR TWEAT Jun04 May11 Apr20 Mar19 Mar05 (villa franc)ORTEGA O 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLY STAR May31         (weir l)FELIX E 124 20.00    
4  SHORT STRAW Apr27 Apr06       (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 114 5.00    
5  EVIE JEAN May31 May14 Apr30 Apr20 Apr06 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  SANGFROID May31 May21 May04 Apr10 Feb17 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 6% 14.80    
7  GETTIN DOWN May25 Apr27       (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  CUPID'S HOPE         (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.