Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/8/3/1)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/1)-(5/1/4)-(2/4/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/4/6/9/7)-(8/1/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LS-5   WIN (2/4/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/9/7)-(2/4/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/9/7)-(2/4/6/9/7)-(2/4/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (7/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/5/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/6)-(8/9/12)-(9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (8/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/12)-(8/9/12/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/12)-(8/9/12/7/6)-(8/9/12/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/9/12)-(9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-9   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/8/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/8/1/6)-(9/7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLOS LOVES TEE May05 Feb17 Feb04 Dec19 Nov30 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 4.50    
2  ICY CAPE Mar05 Feb05 Jan15 Dec14 Nov12 (smith a)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
3  FOREVER LIGHTS Apr21 Apr02 Feb25 Jan27 Dec15 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  NORA'S LEGACY May05 Apr14 Apr01 Mar17 Feb19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  TAILORBESWIFT Apr28 Mar03 Jan06 Dec17 Sep25 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
6  GRAN MANNA May05 Mar19 Jan31 Jan24 Jan08 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 6.00    
7  PAISLEY CROSS May07 Apr22 Dec30 Nov19 Mar05 (d)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 27% 2.80    
 
LS-2   05/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER Apr27 Apr01 Feb21 Jan20 Jan06 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TOWN CHAMP May06 Apr23 Mar26 Mar16 Feb20 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
SCR  SONGWRITER May07 Mar30 Feb22 Jan19 Dec28 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
4  GREYSTOKE May06 Apr22 Apr14 Mar11 Feb10 (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
5  FLIP THE COIN JAN May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
6  YANKEE INDIAN May06 Apr21 Apr01 Mar19 Feb05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  SALADO May01 Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.80    
8  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR May01 Apr12 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 (williams ste)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00    
 
LS-3   05/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Apr14 Mar11 Sep16 Jul17 Jun16 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 4.00 6% 16.30    
2  ROBO Apr15 Mar16 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  STANS HOOKIN BULL Apr02 Mar25 Feb18 Jan22 Aug02 (j)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
4  GUERO DINERO May05 May29 May01 Apr08 Mar10 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00    
5  BUBBA BLING May06 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 Jul17 (dupuy allen)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  WILL THE THRILL May13 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50    
7  JR'S PACIFICO May05 Apr16 Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
8  LET'S GO ALAMO Apr23 Apr01 Jan22 Oct14 Sep21 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
LS-4   05/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARSINVIEW Apr16 Mar31 Feb26 Feb11   (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 17% 5.00    
2  SON OF PREACHERMAN Apr12         (lewis jehu)BENAVIDES D 124 30.00 ★    
3  FEW WORDS Apr27 Feb10       (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 12.00    
4  LOOPY DUDE May07 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50 7% 13.20    
5  IMPOVERISHED Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 Feb12 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
6  XANDER S Apr15 Mar31       (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
7  YOU EFF OH Mar11         (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
8  MORO'S BULL CREEK Apr27 Apr16 Mar24 Feb17 Feb03 (m)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
 
LS-5   05/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROJECTION Apr02         (cappellucci)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 20.00    
2  KENTUCKY ICE Mar31 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 Sep07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  MICKEY GOLDMILL Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Feb03 Jan08 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 118 4.00    
4  WILD WING May13 Apr13 Mar24     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  RANSAM PAYNTER May06 Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 Feb24 (hewitt micha)ALVAREZ L 118 6.00    
6  FREE MAKER Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
7  LO PROFILE Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 Mar03   (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIXIE MOONSHINE May06 Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Dec09 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 12.00    
9  OFF TO THE RACES Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 (montano wilfr)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-6   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACK IT TO ME Apr21 Mar26       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of WISE DEAL by MONARCHOS)
2  BLOOD ORANGE May12 Apr30 Mar10 Feb10 Jan08 (h)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
3  S S TURBINIA Apr30 Apr07 Feb26     (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 118 30.00    
  (by FINAL ROW (GB) out of SADDLED BUT FREE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
4  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Feb26 Jan06       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 15.00 ★    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
5  LA VALEDORA Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 (coats t)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
6  JULIE'S PASSION Apr21 Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 Feb11 (scholl kevin)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
7  GOLD MEMORIES Apr30 Apr21 Mar24 Jan06 Oct05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.00 7% 13.20    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
8  SKY ROCKER May12 Mar10       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 1.00 48% 1.10    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
9  ALONG CAME THUNDER May12         (baldillez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00    
  (by MOON THUNDER out of ALONG CAME KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  NOMOROTHAT Mar19 Feb25 Feb10     (walke)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of MISS TWEE WIMB by WIMBLEDON)
 
LS-7   05/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET TAVERN         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 8.00    
  (by SECRET HOUSE out of DOUBLE P'S TAVERN by PAYNTER)
SCR  HYMN FOR CARLOS         (deville c)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 6.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DIXIE HYMN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  CLASSIC RICK         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.50 6% 15.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ORB'S JOY by ORB)
4  VINO BIANCO         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PAINTED WOMAN by FOREST WILDCAT)
5  OVER PAID         (b)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 ★    
  (by APRIORITY out of MERCY SAKES ALIVE by WOODMAN)
6  JANET'S BROTHER         (deville c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
7  ROUGHNECK         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SHE'S ROUGHIN IT by FOREST CAMP)
8  LOUDERMILK May03 Apr20       (courville r)WETHEY JR 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
9  CAJUN CYCLONE         (courville ri)MAGNON H 119 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OFF CYCLE by HARBORAGE)
 
LS-8   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERCENTS Apr27 Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Dec17 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 4.00    
SCR  GRANTASTIC MARIA Apr15 Mar26       (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
3  DAPHNE'S FIRE Apr22 Mar18 Feb25     (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
4  SIGNE Apr27 Apr01 Feb26 Feb12 Aug28 (swift a)BENAVIDES D 124 10.00    
SCR  THE X FACTOR May04 Apr15 Mar16 Mar02 Feb05 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00    
6  VALLEY VERDE Apr22 Mar19 Mar07 Jan31 Dec15 (smith a)DIEGO V 124 8.00 ★    
7  MISCHIEF ANGEL May12 Apr30 Apr13 Mar03 Jan27 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 12.00 ★    
8  LEPRECHAUN CHARM May12 Apr29 Apr14 Feb22   (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50 54% 0.80    
9  TALKATIVE Apr27 Jan16 Dec19     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
10  TRUEBLUEGIRL Apr30 Apr14 Mar16 Mar02 Feb05 (r)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
11  HATZILU IVRIT May28 Apr28 Mar19     (castellano)PEREZ ANGEL 119 30.00    
12  TEQUILA EMPIRE Apr29 Apr14 Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 10% 9.00    
 
LS-9   05/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLS IN THE BRONX Apr29 Feb25 Jan27 Jul22 May15 (brav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 ★    
  (by COURT VISION out of CAPE TOWN BRIDE by CAPE TOWN)
2  FLYING G Mar19 Mar11 Feb12 Jan16 Dec07 (pish danny)SANCHEZ M 118 12.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of GALILEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
3  MODOC Apr23         (dodson clif)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 30.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
4  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
5  TITO Apr29 Apr13 Feb19 Jan13 Jul22 (chaparro )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
6  BRADEE CASH Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Oct13 Sep17 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
7  MORO TRENDSETTER Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
8  GOD'S GOLD Apr29 Apr07 Feb19 Feb03 Sep07 (martin james )CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00 ★    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
9  IBERIAN RUNNER Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 Mar24 Apr01 (g)DE CRUZ 123 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
10  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Apr23 Apr08       (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 118 30.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of WAR LASS by WAR CHANT)
SCR  OH SEAN Apr23 Apr07 Mar05 Jan14 Dec19 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of RHONIN VICTORIA by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.