Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/8/7/1)-(1/3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/1)-(1/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/1)-(1/3/2/8)-(2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8)-(2/4)-(6/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/9/1)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/1)-(6/9/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1)-(6/9/1/3/7)-(6/9/1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1)-(2/4)-(3/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/5/8)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(5/3/8/6)-(7/9/3/11/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/6)-(7/9/3/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/9/3/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/11/8)-(7/9/3/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/11/8)-(7/9/3/11/8)-(7/9/3/11/8) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTAWAAFEQ Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 Jan06 Dec10 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00 ★    
2  COFFEE COUNTY Apr14 Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 Jan26 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  WITCH'S VOW Apr14 Mar04 Feb17 Dec08 Nov25 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
4  BARAHIN Apr14 Mar17 Feb01 Jan11 Dec31 (escobar alison)COTTO L 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
5  MACHINE GUN MAN Apr08 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28 Dec26 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 115 6.00    
6  CLARESTOWN Apr14 Feb26 Jan28 Dec22 Sep24 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  BONUS APPRECIATION Apr14 Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 Jan12 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Apr14 Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 Feb02 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 117 4.00    
 
EVD-2   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST LEX Mar08 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 6% 14.50    
2  APPLEWOOD Apr15 Feb03 Jan04 Oct19 Oct05 (matthieu ronald )STOKES A 120 10.00    
3  OVERTHOUGHT Apr15 Mar08 Feb10 Jan05 Dec19 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 115 2.00    
4  BODE'S LIGHT Feb22 Jan27 Dec21 Dec09 Nov11 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  TAPPED OUT Apr15 Feb22 Feb03 Jan25 Jan13 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
6  LATE NITE MISCHIEF Nov23 Nov04 Aug25 Apr23 Apr09 (zenon char)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
7  FOOLISH DREAMS Apr22 Apr12 Mar16 Feb23 Jan08 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
8  SOCIAL AFLEET Apr26 Apr15 Mar02 Nov27 Oct19 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 117 8.00 22% 3.50    
 
EVD-3   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUTZY Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  STEALING APRIORITY Apr15 Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  SADIE'S LIGHT Apr15 Feb16 Jan11 Nov04 Aug20 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
4  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Apr14 Mar24 Mar09 Jan27 Jan05 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
5  COLT'S BRIM Apr14 Mar25 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 4.00    
SCR  HOOSIER Apr12 Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 Dec23 (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 113 5.00    
SCR  BIG BOSS MAN Apr28 Apr13 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (ramirez ed)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
8  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 Jan13 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD EVD Classic Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED Mar03 Feb18 Jan28 Jan12   (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DOS LUNAS by HENNESSY)
2  TOUCHUPONASTAR Mar26 Feb04 Dec10 Oct13 Jul27 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 125 0.80 46% 1.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TOUCH MAGIC by LION HEART)
3  DOUBLE STAR Dec20 Nov11 Aug21 Jul12 Jun06 (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BOND QUEEN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  BEHEMAH STAR Mar26 Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 Aug06 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 116 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAINTLY JOAN by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  HIGHLAND CREEK Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Dec30 Dec10 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 6.00 ★    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
 
EVD-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST PIERRE Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 Jan26 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
2  GLITTER STORM Apr19 Feb02       (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
3  KATS PICK Apr07 Feb22 Feb11 Nov23 Oct29 (mason sha)THORNTON G 123 8.00 ★    
4  RICKY RIGHT Apr22 Dec17       (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 118 12.00    
5  KAT'S SOLDIER Apr19 Jan25 Dec14 Dec01 Nov12 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 10.00    
6  TSURIS Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Oct02 Sep03 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  CREOLE REB Apr27 Mar26 Mar09     (leonard kirby)STOKES J 123 4.00 ★    
8  CUSTOM DANCER Apr20 Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Nov22 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 20.00    
9  PLAY MASTER Apr21 Feb22 Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
EVD-6   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ragin Cajun Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING'S LUTE Feb04 Dec31 Nov19 Oct15 Aug06 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 5.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SARAHCAROLU by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Mar25 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MACHO BEANIE Mar25 Mar03 Feb10     (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MY PAL BEANIE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
4  LATE SEPTEMBER Mar25 Feb04 Dec26 Dec10 Nov19 (camejo m)THORNTON G 115 8.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HELLO MAGGIE MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  NOT ON HERB Apr08 Mar10 Dec10 Nov19 Oct07 (terre david)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.60 21% 3.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TOAST TO ASHLEY by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
EVD-7   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN WITH ANGELS Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 Nov11 Jul28 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
2  GOLD PUNCH Apr21 Feb11 Dec15 Nov24 Mar24 (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
3  SEAU Apr19 Feb10 Jan06 Nov26 Oct21 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  SPECTROLITE Mar05 Feb05 Sep20 Aug27 Aug16 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 ★    
5  WILD BERT Feb25 Jan27 Dec22 Dec01 Nov05 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 117 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  HAIL STATE Mar25 Jan27 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
7  A SONG FOR ARCH Apr19 Feb25 Mar26 Feb21 Jan09 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 4.50    
8  HALF AGAIN Mar01 Feb04 Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 (delany sara)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00 17% 4.90    
9  SCRAPPY ARTIE Apr19 Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 Dec01 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FIRE Feb25 Jan27 Dec10 Aug04 Jul21 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 10.00 ★    
 
EVD-8   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST King Creole Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIKE J Apr19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 116 2.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
2  NO PEDIGREE Apr13 Jan13 Dec15 Dec02 Nov05 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 116 20.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of ALL ABOUT JU JU by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  BIG CHOPPER Mar25 Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 125 2.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MISS WELL MOLDED by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  RELENTLESS DANCER Mar25 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Dec10 (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 116 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
5  BERTIE'S GALAXY Mar25 Dec10 Nov19 Jun04 Mar26 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 116 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by GREELEY'S GALAXY out of WILD BERTIE by WILD RUSH)
6  X CLOWN Apr20 Mar25 Feb16 Aug06 Jul12 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVENING MUSE by INVASOR (ARG))
SCR  CREOLE CHARLIE Apr13 Mar16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 116 15.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of CAJUN YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
8  BLACK SWORD Apr19 Feb04 Dec17 Oct08 Aug06 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.50 6% 14.40    
  (by AWESOME SWORD out of BLACK MARIAH by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
EVD-9   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-10:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY STARRY DAY Apr20 Feb16       (derousselle)BALTHAZAR JARED 115 20.00    
2  HERECOMESGOODBYE Apr15 Feb28       (zeno benja)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
3  LADY KRISTEN         (romero alvi)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 8% 11.00    
4  SWEETHEART VISION Apr15 Feb22       (garcia)RUIZ GARCIA 120 12.00    
5  SWAMP ROCK Feb22 Feb02       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
6  HIGHER NOTE Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec02 Mar18 (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 123 6.00    
7  FIRE VISION Apr07 Feb16 Jan25 Dec21 Dec08 (giangrosso r)BARRERA J 115 2.50 33% 2.00    
8  PORTO DEL ACE         (averett ronni)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 10.00 8% 11.70    
9  LA VIE EN ROUGE Aug26 Aug10 Jul15 Jun17   (landry ray)STOKES J 115 12.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS GEARS Oct12 Aug26       (mason shane)STOKES A 120 20.00    
11  ELLA'S BABY         (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00 8% 11.00    
12  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Apr07 Mar16 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.