Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(8/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(8/3/4/7)-(7/6/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/7)-(7/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/7)-(7/6/8/3)-(4/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/3)-(4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/3)-(4/3/8)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/2)-(4/3/8/2) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(2/3)-(2/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/8/4)-(1/4/3/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/9/7)-(2/8/4/9/7) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(1/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4)-(1/4/3/9)-(11/9/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/9)-(1/4/3/9/6)-(1/4/3/9/6) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/9)-(11/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/1)-(11/9/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/9/1)-(11/9/1/10)-(11/9/1/10) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 10.00 ★    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
2  IRISH ZAPPER Dec30 Dec04 Nov08     (samanie)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IRISH PRESENCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  SULTRY SALLY H Apr08 Feb25 Feb05 Dec16 Nov26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 116 5.00    
  (by BALTIMORE BOB out of ELEANOR'S EMPRESS by GREAT NOTION)
4  TALENTED CORINNA Apr15 Feb17 Jan13 Oct28 Oct05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
5  CLARIFICATION Apr15 Feb17       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
6  MYSTIC MALIBU         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 4.50 7% 14.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCENT OF SUMMER by ROCK HARD TEN)
7  MARQUET CLASSIC         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of MARQUET MADNESS by PICO CENTRAL (BRZ))
 
CT-2   05/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY'S LISTED NEXT Feb09 Jan13 Mar19     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
2  GARY DOING BIZ Apr13 Mar02 Nov10 Sep28 Sep02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40    
3  CAPTAIN SAM Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 Jun10 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  ADABEL Feb09 Jan12 Dec08 Nov23 Nov02 (garrido ra)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
6  NANCYSAIDSO Apr13 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 (spriggs toschia)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
7  AT THE HALF Apr13 Mar16 Jan21 Nov30 Nov23 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
8  SAFE REEZAN Apr13 Jan12 Nov24 Sep28 Aug12 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-3   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANNY'S WINKSTER Apr28 Mar02 Feb11 Feb01 Jan11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50    
2  BEFRIENDTHEENEMY Apr19 Mar22 Jan31 Jan23 Jan01 (flores-coba feli)ACOSTA D 118 12.00    
3  ONLY GET'N BETTER Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AFLEET AIRO Apr01 Mar17 Feb25     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
5  MR MAJESTIC Feb25 Feb08 Dec11 Oct18 Sep11 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
6  IRISH WARLOCK Apr01 Feb17       (walters jo)RIVERA R 115 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  COLONEL CAPPY Jan11 Dec03       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  ARTHUR S GOLD         (huet k)BAEZ M 115 15.00 7% 13.30    
 
CT-4   05/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKING TO MYSELF May17         (cuttino l)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
  (by STRAIGHT TALKING out of STAND ALONE by ROOT BOY)
2  IOLA'S BLACK         (stites fli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 ★    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of SIPPI FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
3  LEGENDAIRE         (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
4  SWIFT DANCER Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 Jan20 Aug24 (mcmahon thom)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
5  ATLANTIC VAQUERO Feb24         (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SUDDEN SNOWSTORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  SIX WHIPS Mar31 Mar09 Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 116 2.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of COMPLIMENTI by CONGRATS)
7  MONEY MAC Apr21 Apr08       (cruz jaime)WOODSON H 116 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SPRING FLING by LEMON DROP KID)
8  FRONT DANCER Mar23 Feb02 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 10% 9.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
 
CT-5   05/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIDGETMARIE Apr15 Mar30 Feb15 Jan25 Dec01 (huet k)BAEZ M 115 10.00    
2  DIAL HER Mar25 Feb04 Jan12 Nov17 Oct13 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  LIKELY CHOICE Mar18 Feb10 Nov12 Oct27 Sep24 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  MIDNIGHT REGRET Oct26 Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 Jun23 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
5  BIZZY GAL Feb26 Jan15 Dec03 Nov05 Oct28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00 ★    
6  SWEET SPIN Mar30 Feb09 Jul06 Jun09 May22 (locklear james)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
7  EXTRA CRUNCHY Apr07 Mar10 Jan25 Dec07 Nov19 (perri gina)RIVERA R 113 4.50 ★    
8  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Mar11 Feb19 Jan28 Nov27 Oct28 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00    
 
CT-6   05/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Apr13 Mar02 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00    
2  STOWE PATROL Mar23 Feb16       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.80 50% 1.00    
3  S S CASINO GIRL Apr07 Mar23 Feb16     (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
4  SWISS HORIZON Apr13 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRETTY CASTLE Apr13 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan25 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 15.00    
6  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15   (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 124 30.00    
7  SWEETSTREETDREAMS Mar23         (king yolonda)ADAMS L 117 30.00 ★    
8  BELIEVE I CAN         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
9  IMINCHARGENOW Apr13 Mar02 Feb02 Jan11 Dec17 (schott)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 ★    
 
CT-7   05/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESSICA Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul23 Jun16 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
2  GAVINERA Apr20 Mar23 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.00    
3  RUNNING FREE Mar23 Feb24       (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
4  COUSIN WINNIE Feb25 Jan25 Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
5  KILBRITTAIN'S RED Apr20 Mar03 Feb17 Jan22   (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00    
6  AMERICAN BOUND May10 May03 Apr18 Mar05 Jan14 (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00 ★    
7  SPENCERIAN Jul30 Jul08       (cuttino l)HO WESLEY 116 12.00    
8  TIMETOGETUP Apr21 Mar25 Mar10 Feb08 Jan14 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
9  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Apr14 Mar23 Feb25 Feb01 Jan14 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 7% 12.50    
 
CT-8   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA G Apr20 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Aug05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  SCOOTSCOOT Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 Dec02 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
3  ANGELUS DIAMOND Apr13 Feb22 Feb13 Jan02 Dec21 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00    
SCR  HELL'S KITTEN Apr15 Feb09 Jan14 Nov27 Oct16 (pennella)BUTTERFLY L 122 12.00    
5  CHERRYS CROSS Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan19 (huet k)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
SCR  PLAYBOY ROY Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
7  ROCKY DICE Apr20 Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
8  TRIPLE TITOS Feb26 Feb01 Jan20 Jan04 Dec20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
9  SLOE GIN BIZ Apr13 Mar23 Mar09 Feb09 Jan20 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
10  BET ON BITZ Apr13 Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 ★    
11  VIVE BIEN Apr02 Mar10 Feb09 Sep02 Jun17 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  NEVER SILENCED Apr14 Feb02 Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
SCR  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Mar10 Feb05 May22 Apr22 Apr01 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.