Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/1)-(11/3/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LS-4   WIN (11/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/3/10)-(11/3/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/3/10)-(11/3/10)-(11/3/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(9/6)-(7/5/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6)-(9/6/3/1)-(9/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/6)-(7/5/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-7   WIN (7/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/10/2)-(7/5/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CROSS CLAIM         (hebert matt)DIEGO V 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DOUBLE FANCY by TRIBAL RULE)
2  MYRTLE BEACH Apr14         (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STROLLIN SOUTH by STROLL)
3  RON'S LAVENDER         (kotara rona)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 10% 8.60    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
4  RIVER'S END         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
5  MORE THAN SHAKIN Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
6  GOVERNOR ANN Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Sep09 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.40    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of VOLANT by WILD SURF (IRE))
 
LS-2   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LANGUAGE BARRIER Apr02 Mar18 Feb11 Jan22 Dec19 (sayre ronal)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 5.00    
2  DAAHERS BULLY Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Jan21 Jan04 (b)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  PLAY RULE Apr02 Mar10 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
4  CARBON STRYKER Apr01 Feb21 Jan20 Jan06 Dec15 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 0.80 36% 1.80    
5  MAGIC BOW Apr02 Mar04 Feb11 Jun05 May14 (stidham j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
6  SHANGHAI'S DREAM Apr14 Mar19 Sep05 Jul03 May24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.50    
 
LS-3   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER K Feb25 Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  CARPE EROS Feb17 Feb03 Dec14 Nov21 Nov03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Mar24 Mar11 Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
4  SR. BI BI Mar31 Mar11 Feb12 Jan07 Dec14 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S Apr15 Feb23 Jan26 Dec17 Oct17 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 1.20 27% 2.70    
6  PICKNNGRINN Mar11 Feb25 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
LS-4   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAME STREET Mar31 Feb17 Jan27 Oct08 Sep14 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00    
2  CHA CHA DANCER Apr07 Mar25 Feb12 Jan13 Dec15 (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
3  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Apr07 Feb24 Feb12 Jan16 Dec22 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  THE RAGE OF ART Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb04   (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
SCR  DRENCHED Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 Oct07 (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
SCR  LOVE TANK Mar26 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 Nov04 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
7  DASHYNS DREAM Apr07 Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  VIEWING TRAIL Feb25 Dec10 Nov11 Oct12 Sep23 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 15.00 ★    
9  WILD EXPRESS Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00    
10  OH DOO DAH DAY Apr07 Feb17       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
11  CRAFTY MONEY Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Jan22   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
LS-5   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Apr14 Mar03 Nov11 Sep23 Sep03 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 30.00    
2  TALKATIVE Jan16 Dec19       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 5% 18.80    
3  JAZZY LASSIE Feb26 Jan16       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
4  SIGNE Apr01 Feb26 Feb12 Aug28 Aug14 (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
SCR  SHEZA CAT Apr22 Apr01 Mar16 Feb10 Jan22 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOHNBOYS JENNY Feb14 Nov02 Sep24 Aug07   (smith a)DIEGO V 118 30.00    
7  SUMMEROSA Mar02 Feb05       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.40 13% 6.80    
8  SUPERCENTS Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Dec17 Nov11 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 15.00 ★    
9  MUCHO MAMA MIA Feb26 Oct08 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
 
LS-6   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO'S BULL CREEK Apr16 Mar24 Feb17 Feb03   (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 ★    
2  CAPO'S DREAM Apr02         (smith pau)TRIANA JR 118 15.00    
3  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Mar19 Feb23 Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 8.00 ★    
4  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Apr16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 Nov07 (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00    
SCR  BAJA BOOGIE Jan17         (smith a)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
6  IFFY ASSET CLASS Apr02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  BLACKHEATH Apr07 Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 Jun03 (castellano)PEREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
8  FEW WORDS Feb10         (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 6.00    
9  PRATHER Feb09 Jan16 Nov30 Mar12   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
LS-7   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLIATH RIDGE Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00    
2  BIG COUNTRY Apr08 Mar03 Feb11 Dec17 Sep28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRUCELEA Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 Jan22 Oct26 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 120 6.00    
4  HAMAZING WISDOM Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 Nov18 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
5  BIG BERNIE Mar31 Mar05 May21 Apr30 Mar25 (willis )GONCALVES R 120 20.00 14% 6.30    
6  SINGING DIXIE Mar25 Feb18 Jan27 Oct26 Oct01 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
7  OPTIMAL TRIP Apr15 Feb19 Jan28 Nov25 Nov12 (rossi j)DIEGO V 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  CANATLAN Mar31 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13   (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 4.50    
SCR  DRAKON Apr02 Feb26 Jan15 Nov13 Oct21 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
10  EXETER Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 Jan20 Nov07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA Mar22 Feb24 Jan28 Dec22 Jul03 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
12  MANOR BORN Apr02 Feb20 Jan08 Nov03 Oct05 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.