Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(8/9)-(3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-2   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/5)-(8/9/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/9)-(3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/9)-(3/8)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/7/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/7/5/6)-(3/8/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(1/3)-(8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(8/6/5)-(9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/3/1/5)-(8/6/3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/5)-(9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5)-(9/3)-(7/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-6   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/5)-(9/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (9/3)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(7/4/5)-(2/7/11/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-7   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/10)-(7/4/5/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(2/7/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(2/7/11/10)-(8/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/7/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/11/10)-(2/7/11/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/11/10)-(2/7/11/6/10)-(2/7/11/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/11/10)-(8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/10)-(8/10/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10)-(8/10/4/1)-(8/10/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   03/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIFTY Feb18         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 1.60    
PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Feb20 Jul03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
BAYRON Feb18 Jan15 Dec14 Dec03 Nov14 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50    
IT MAKES SENSE Nov22 Sep25 Sep01 May30 May06 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
IMPRESSED Mar03 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.00 14% 6.40    
FIRST AVENUE Feb23 Jan21 Jan07 Aug08 Jul25 (h)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
HOU-2   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCORKED HUMOR Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 Sep14 Aug27 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
GRAZEN IN THE PARK Feb25 Feb03 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  SPORTS FAN Feb25 Mar31 Mar17 Feb20 Jan16 (a)DE CRUZ 123 1.60 60% 0.70    
BEHIND THE CURTAIN Mar11 Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Jul21 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00    
BREW CREW Mar11 Feb17 Feb03 Nov22 Nov07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
SCR  RYE RUNNER Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov30 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 7% 13.10    
DELIRIUM Feb25 Feb03 May08 Apr01 Mar16 (torrez jeren)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
TENOR Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 Oct15 Sep12 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SACRED SUNDAY Feb04 Jan14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   03/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP COP Mar04         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of TOP SPIN by STREET CRY (IRE))
CLASSIC RUNNER Mar15 Feb25 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
GOLD PRIZE Mar04 Nov12 Sep30 Sep07 Aug19 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  FREE MAKER Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 (ashford ray)LUZZI J 115 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CAMILLI by TAPIT)
UPTOWN BIGBADJON Mar04 Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 Apr28 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of MERRIWEATHER by OPENING VERSE)
RAIL TOWN Feb12 Jul24       (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 2.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMING BECKY by DIXIE UNION)
WILD WING         (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 115 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TAIL FEATHER by WAR FRONT)
FABLED RULER Feb24         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of COMEDIA by SMART STRIKE)
 
HOU-4   03/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREETSTER Feb10 Jan07 Jul08 Jun19   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
HARRY Feb19 Feb03 Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 (asmus)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00    
NOAH Feb19 Jan21 Jul23 Jun24 May22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
REYNARDINE Feb10 Jan15 Jul17 Jun23 May29 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50    
BRADSTREET Jan14 Jun05       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 8.00    
RED BIRD'S STORM Mar10 Feb17 Jan13 Nov03 Oct22 (g)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
SHANGHAI GOLD Feb25 Feb03 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
SCR  HEDARESTHEDEVIL Feb11 Jan13 Dec15 Nov18 Nov04 (dodwell car)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
HOU-5   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPERLE Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 Nov03 Sep05 (rossi j)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
DISCO DANZING Feb10 Jan08 Dec16 Dec10 Dec02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 10.00    
CHARLIECANDO Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 (davidson sarah)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
SONNEMAN Mar03 Feb11 Sep28 Sep01 Jul16 (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00    
VIM AND VIGOR Mar04 Jan28 Dec29 Dec04 Nov03 (wilson )GONCALVES R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
VANGILDER Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 Dec01 Oct15 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00 10% 8.80    
HERN Mar05 Jan28 Dec02 Nov07 Oct14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00    
OLIVER Feb10 Jan20 Nov19 Oct27 Oct12 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 56% 0.80    
 
HOU-6   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVIE'S PRINCE Feb26 Jun04 May19 Mar10 Feb25 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
THUNDER ROAD Jan15 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00    
WOHLGEMUTH (ITY) Mar04         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
WEST TEXAS BOB Mar04 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 (butler w)PIVARAL GERBER 123 50.00    
AIR FORCE ANGEL Feb26 Feb03 Jan20 Sep10 Aug16 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Feb26 Jan27 Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
HEMPSTEAD Feb26 Jan15 Sep26 Aug16 Jul16 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  LARIDAE Mar04 Feb03 Dec17 Nov15 Oct28 (willis )GONCALVES R 123 6.00    
READY TO ROLL (IRE) Feb25 Jan21 Aug27 Jun25 May13 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
HOU-7   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO'S BULL CREEK Feb17 Feb03       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of MARRYBELLANIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
SCR  TITO Feb19 Jan13 Jul22     (chaparro gayla)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
SMARTY RIDGE Mar03 Feb17 Dec15 Nov22 Oct26 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of RUN SMARTY by RUN PRODUCTION)
TEXAS HOLDEM Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Oct22 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of LIL SWEET SEA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
VALDINA DREAMS Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 6% 17.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Mar12 Mar03 Nov03 Oct22 Oct14 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 10.00    
  (by JOHN LOUIS' MONEY out of JOHN LOUIS' PENNY by CHIEF THREE SOX)
IBERIAN RUNNER Apr01 Mar23       (g)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 52% 0.90    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
CAPOTE'S GLITTER         (uriegas joe)VERA T 123 30.00    
  (by FLATTERING REPORT out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
SCR  STRIKEWHILEURHOT         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of COWGIRL N UP by MY GOLDEN SONG)
10  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
 
HOU-8   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EZMOSH Feb17 Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Mar12 (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00    
FRA MAURO Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
DRUM AND BASS Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Jan06 Dec07 (d)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
TURN ON THE MAGIC Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 Jan14 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
CROCODILE JACQUES Mar04 Feb03 Oct22 Apr09 Feb16 (zenon alvin)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
FOREVAMO Feb19 Jan08 Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
BIG POWER RED Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Oct14 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Sep01 Aug14 (castellanos)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
LAB RAT Feb17 Jan21 Nov14 Oct26 Oct08 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 123 4.50    
10  TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Jul02 Jun18 May01 Mar25 Mar11 (uriegas joe)VERA T 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  BIG MONEY MACHINE Mar10 Jan27 Dec15 Nov11 Oct28 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 9% 10.60    
 
HOU-9   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SI QUERE Mar10 Jan15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00    
  (by RIVER SQUALL out of BUDDY'S EAGLETTE by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Feb26 Jan06       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 30.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
MADAME RUE Feb25 Dec19 Jul09 Jun11 May14 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
BRADEE CASH Feb25 Feb10 Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
SCR  GRACIE'S KITTEN Mar10 Oct05 Aug19 Jul17 Jul04 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 115 4.50 13% 6.50    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of EVEN WITH ODDS by EVEN THE SCORE)
GOLD MEMORIES Jan06 Oct05 Sep14 Jul10 Jun19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 12.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  CLASSICALLY WICKED Mar10 Jan22       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 115 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of E CLASSIC by E DUBAI)
MORO NALA Mar10 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 Jul22 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 51% 0.90    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
TERRI N MARY Feb17 Jan15 Sep23 Sep01   (roberts bla)SANCHEZ M 115 30.00    
  (by REVOLVING out of DONT TOUCH MY CAPE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
10  FLAT OUT FREDA Mar10 Feb26 Nov10 Oct26 Oct13 (love alan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
11  LA VALEDORA Feb25 Feb10 Jan08     (coats t)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.