Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/3/7)-(2/4/1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/9/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/9/6)-(7/9/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(5/4/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(5/4/7)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/3/1)-(5/4/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(7/2)-(7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(7/2/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(7/2/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4/8/5)-(7/2/4/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESMYBROKER Feb24 Feb04 Jan07 Dec15 Nov18 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 123 3.50 5% 17.20    
2  SHE'S FIRE AND ICE Feb12 Nov03 Sep04 Aug19 Jul11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  HIGH VALUE TARGET Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 Dec07 Nov12 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 ★    
4  PAINTBRUSH Feb24 Feb11 May06 Apr10 Mar02 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 17% 4.90    
5  SUFFRAGETTE Mar10 Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 Jan06 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 12.00    
6  NORA'S LEGACY Feb19 Sep15 Aug28 Jul31 Jul03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
7  BOWS N LACE Feb24 Dec18 Dec04 Sep17 Sep03 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-2   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Feb12 Jan13 Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 119 4.00    
SCR  PLATINUM QUEEN Feb25 Sep27 Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00 15% 5.60    
3  FADED MEMORIES Mar05 Feb20 Jan07 Nov04 Oct19 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
SCR  PRESSLY'S HOPE Feb20 Dec09 Oct15 Jul08 Jun23 (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
SCR  LEGENDARYS FIRST Feb12 Oct23 Oct05 Sep20 Sep13 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  PRETTY IN PINK Feb12 Jan15 Dec17 Oct20 Sep03 (ashford ray)ELLIOTT S 119 20.00 ★    
7  SKYKAT Feb20 Feb12 Jan07 Oct22 Oct13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.00 32% 2.10    
8  LIL ASHLEY B. Feb12 Jan07 Sep19 Aug01 May30 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
9  SUPER LEGS Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL THE THRILL Feb25 Feb03 Jan22 Sep08 Aug26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 ★    
2  EUROROCKSTAR Mar03 Feb11 Jan15 Feb12 Jan28 (rossi j)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
3  LUCKY PROMISE Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 Oct14 Sep18 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 6.00 ★    
4  JOSH'S DREAM Mar03 Mar11 Feb19     (love alan)DIEGO V 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  VILLAGE WAY Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Sep08 Jul17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 113 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Feb25 Jan21 Jan13 Oct20 Sep12 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
7  STANS HOME RUN Jul24 Jun23 May29 Apr28 Feb11 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00 7% 13.00    
 
HOU-4   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L L COOL GREY Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 118 4.50 ★    
2  WINGS FOR ENO Jan27 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul22 (payne w)LUZZI J 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
3  GIST Jan15 Dec14 Dec08 Nov19 Nov11 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
4  REQUISITION Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Jun11 May21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 ★    
5  LIBERTY SPIRIT Feb20 Feb04 Dec16 Nov30 Nov03 (horton linda)JUDE JOHN 123 12.00    
SCR  ACCRUAL Jan20 Oct21 Sep03 Aug16   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 115 30.00 14% 6.20    
7  BRAZIL NUT Mar04 Jan20 Dec10 Sep14 Aug24 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Feb18 Jan21 Nov25 Oct28   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 8.00    
 
HOU-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEQUILA EMPIRE Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 Nov17 Sep29 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 30.00 6% 16.70    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SWEET LADY by SCAT DADDY)
2  NUBILITY Feb09         (davis s)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
3  BREEZY BAY Mar04         (russell rac)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of BREEZY KNOWL by VAN NISTELROOY)
4  LO PROFILE Mar03         (rossi j)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  BOBBIE O Jul09         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 30.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of MILLENIA by UNFUWAIN)
SCR  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Feb17 Jan27       (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
7  OIL N CANDY Jan27         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
SCR  FAME STREET Feb17 Jan27 Oct08 Sep14 Aug20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.60 6% 16.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NEWSREEL (IRE) by A.P. INDY)
SCR  GOLD MEMORIES Jan06 Oct05 Sep14 Jul10 Jun19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
10  DASHYNS DREAM Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov02 Oct12 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
 
HOU-6   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. VALENTINO Feb24         (keen dallas)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
  (by REVOLVING out of FLAIR FOR FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
2  FARM DOG Jul23 Jun05 May15     (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of PEEKER'S MELODY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  XANDER S         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
4  HARD GOLD Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
5  HYPERION NORTH Mar05 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07   (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 ★    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
6  LITTLE JONY Jan28 Jan07 Dec19 Jul17 Jun19 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 122 30.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of ELLE STORMY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  MY BOY BLING Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Nov22 Nov07 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 1.50 33% 2.10    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GURLIN by CURLIN)
8  AMERICAN FOREST Mar05 Jun26 Jun10     (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of THE CAT WHO by MAGIC CAT)
 
HOU-7   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOKOKOMO Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov04 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREEDOM FACTOR Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Nov24 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  CLIFF DIVER Mar04 Feb20 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  GORDON ANTHONY Jan20 Nov08 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 4.50    
5  NEWPORT BEACH Feb10 Oct20 Sep25 Sep08 Aug07 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Mar03 Dec22 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
7  CELERITY Mar03 Feb05 Dec11 Nov16 Oct09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00    
SCR  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Mar05 Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  WITCH'S VOW Mar04 Feb17 Dec08 Nov25 Nov02 (alberto antonio)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY NOT WINE Feb19 Jan14 Nov03 Oct26 Sep24 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.