Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (7/3/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4/2)-(7/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4/2)-(6/2/4)-(3/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/7/6/1)-(6/4/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/9)-(6/1)-(5/7/6/10/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/7/6/10/1)-(7/3/1/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/7/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/10/1)-(5/7/6/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/10/1)-(7/3/1/2)-(1/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(1/6)-(4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLASTONBURY Feb02 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (roadcap jer)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00    
2  FANEUIL HALL Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 Nov25 Nov04 (gazzier kristy)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00 5% 18.90    
3  HERE AND NOFURTHER Feb19 Jan28 Dec30 Nov25   (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  SWIFT DANCER Feb02 Jan20 Aug24 Aug02 Apr27 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  MOSES WATER Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 Dec09 Nov21 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  LUV YA BYE BYE Feb19 Dec30 Dec09 Jun24 Jun10 (mcmahon )BUTTERFLY L 126 6.00    
7  AMITY ROAD Jul30 Jul04 Jun26 Jun04 Apr09 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 126 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
LRL-2   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHIONATTA Feb03 Dec20 Sep09 Aug18 May24 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 15.00 ★    
2  BRZINA Feb11 Jan22 Jan13 Dec04 Nov26 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 23% 3.30    
3  WRITE THIS DOWN Feb11 Dec29 Nov06 Aug15 Jun17 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 ★    
4  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Feb24 Jan29 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 11% 8.40    
5  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 Oct29 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.50    
6  MUSICAL CAT Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Nov25 Nov07 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  TOSS A COIN Feb11 Jan01 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 126 12.00    
 
LRL-3   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH LACE Feb04 Jan21       (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
2  BLONDE SAMARITAN Feb23 Feb09 Dec04 Nov21 Oct28 (ramirez a)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
3  TITIAN TYRANT Feb18 Dec30 Nov24     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
4  MUNNIS PRETTY Oct16 Aug03 Jul12     (cooney sus)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
5  HAINT BLUE (FR) Aug17         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON null      
6  MAJOR HOULIHAN Feb05 Jan13 Dec04     (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Feb26 Feb05       (cash norman )LEWIS M 117 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILD BEHAVIOR Feb20 Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Oct27 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 10.00 7% 14.30    
2  MUCHACHO MACHO Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 Nov18 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
3  THE CAIRO KID Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 Oct14 Sep04 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00    
4  PIT STOP MAN Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 12% 7.30    
5  SPOTTED BULL Feb26 Feb20 Jan29 Jan07 Jan01 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOP BOSS Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 Jan20 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 51% 0.90    
7  MARVIN Feb26 Jan22 Nov10 Sep23 Aug14 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
8  BOWIE TWO STEP Feb08 Jan20 Dec29 Dec11 Dec04 (garibay a)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00    
9  INSIDE RISK Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 Jan01 (caison jody )LEWIS M 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSSYNESS Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 Oct16 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GOLDIENESS Feb10 Jan13 Aug25     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50    
2  NEED A MARKER Feb17 Jan29 Jan07 Sep18 Sep05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 ★    
3  LOVELY LIZA Feb05 Jan15 Jun01     (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 10.00    
4  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Feb19 Jan28 Nov27 Oct28 Aug05 (viands greg)RAMGEET R 121 6.00    
5  GOSHEN Jan23 Dec31 Dec07 Nov03 Sep15 (evans michae)LEWIS M 117 3.50 ★    
6  SHE'LL MAKE WAVES Feb25         (robb john )RIVERA R 114 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  ICESTORMING Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (smith d)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 ★    
 
LRL-6   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDEST SON Jan01 Dec02 Nov09 Oct01 Aug30 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THATAWAY Feb10         (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 12.00    
3  NO EASY DAYS Feb12 Jan27 Nov27 Oct23 Oct01 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00    
4  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 Nov26 Nov13 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 121 10.00    
5  OMO DADA Feb11 Jan15 Dec10     (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  B WEST Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Nov21 Nov04 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.00 10% 9.10    
7  LEONIDS Feb19 Jan20       (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
8  SPLENDOR BEAUTY Jan29 Dec30 Nov27 Nov13 Oct01 (gonzalez cl)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 111 20.00    
9  IT'S VIPER Jan29 Jan14 Dec17 Nov20 Nov04 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
10  COLLECTION DAY Feb11 Jan22 Nov27 Nov13 Sep29 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  ICE COLD FROSTY Feb12 Dec31 Jul09 Jun25   (gaudet lac)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
12  GENERAL NOOZ Feb12 Jan06 Nov20 Oct28   (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 117 15.00    
 
LRL-7   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOX N BEN Aug06 Jul01       (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50 15% 5.90    
  (by BANDBOX out of BEN'S GIRL by HERE COMES BEN)
2  NEW YORK PANTHER Aug04 Jul08 Jun03     (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00 12% 7.00    
  (by FREUD out of MO JUSTICE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  EL DE CHIREL         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLAY'S ROCKET by AMERICAN CHANCE)
4  ASSUME NOTHING Feb19 Jan11       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.80 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
5  GO TO THE KINGDOM         (lynch cathal)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
6  CATCHING STARS Feb10         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEMONDROPONTHEROX by LEMON DROP KID)
7  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Feb19 Jan27 Dec10     (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT HOSTESS by GREAT NOTION)
 
LRL-8   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHING BIG CHECKS Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Dec18 Nov23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  DATE NIGHT KISSES Feb13 Jan18 Dec21 Nov22 Oct04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 ★    
2  RUNAWAY MONET Feb18 Dec30 Nov13 Oct20 May27 (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00    
3  ACADIAN GIRL Jan27 Oct06 Sep04 Jul01 May05 (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 123 4.50 ★    
4  STAND BY YOU Jan27 Jan01 Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  MY FLICKER Feb20 Jan15 Dec16 Nov26 Nov09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  MIT MAZEL Feb03 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Nov21 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.80 7% 14.20    
 
LRL-9   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Feb12 Jan29 Dec31 Dec10 Nov11 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00 ★    
2  NEVER CHANGE Feb19 Feb07 Jan18 Dec17 Nov18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Feb26 Jan16 Dec02 Oct12 Sep11 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
4  ONLY CHILD Feb17 Jan27 Jan16 Dec29 Dec02 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  BOOK OF DELANCEY Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 Jan19 Dec20 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CASH KID Feb19 Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 Nov24 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 6.00    
7  BRANCO MARIA Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Nov25 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.