Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/3/7)-(4/6/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(8/3/5)-(3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/7/1)-(8/3/5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(3/7)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(1/7/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(1/7/2/3)-(3/1/8/5/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(3/1/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3)-(3/1/8/5/7)-(8/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/1/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5/7)-(3/1/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5/7)-(3/1/8/5/7)-(3/1/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/5/7)-(8/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/5/7)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/1/7)-(8/3/5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/6/10)-(8/3/5/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(3/1/6)-(7/8/2/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6/5)-(3/1/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/8/2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/8/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/1/5)-(7/8/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/1/5)-(7/8/2/1/5)-(7/8/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAZZLING THE MOON Feb11         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
2  NOBLE ATTITUDE Feb12 Jan18       (manchan bertr)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
3  BEER BALI         (gulick jame)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 ★    
4  ZIP CODE ENVY Oct05 Sep05 Aug16     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  CLASSIC DREAMER Jan29 Dec28       (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 120 2.50 5% 17.70    
6  BON DIA         (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 8% 11.10    
7  BONNIE SANDRA         (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAIN OF BLESSING Feb04 Jan11 Dec23 Nov19 Sep16 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  POWERFUL NATIVE Feb08 Jul09 Feb25 Jan30   (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
3  SONGTELLER Jan20 Dec22 Dec09 Sep11 Aug10 (baker r)MARTIN MATTIE 115 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  OSTARA Aug16 Jul20 Feb20 Feb04   (dominguez )ORDONEZ R 122 15.00    
5  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 Nov26 Nov19 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
6  SONG OF THE HEART Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 Nov26 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00    
7  MY SONG AND MELODY Aug05         (davis richard)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 ★    
8  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 Aug13 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-3   02/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 Oct26 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  SEA SPLENDOR Feb10 Jan06 Aug20 Jul31 Jul22 (smith cr)GALLARDO A 123 3.00 ★    
3  SHOO SHINE Feb10 Jan14 Dec23 Dec07 Oct20 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
4  HONDO GUSTO Feb10 Jan25       (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 116 20.00    
5  KHOZANDO Feb10 Nov07 Oct24 Jan23 Jan15 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 6.00    
6  ESPECIALLEA Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00    
7  HOT AND HEAVY Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Feb10 Jan14 Jun26 Jun03 Apr16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   02/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S SPA Feb11 Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 (wilensky)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  UNLEVERAGED Feb11 Jan15 Dec10 Aug20 Jul23 (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 19% 4.20    
3  JOJO'S DREAM Dec10 May07 Jan12     (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 119 15.00 6% 15.80    
4  SIXTY ONE Feb05 Jan27 Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00    
5  SAVAGE (BRZ) Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 6.00    
6  GOLDEN TONE Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Nov22 Jun17 (ryan s)FERRER C 119 12.00    
7  KOBLA MAS Jan28 Jan15 Dec23 Nov26 Sep10 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
8  HOLD THE SPICE Jan15 Dec28 Nov25 Sep15 Aug31 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
9  ALBIE Jan04 Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 Feb13 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 12.00    
10  MARV'S MAGIC Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 Oct04 Sep23 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   02/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE)         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of NEWTON'S ANGEL by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
2  ELSINORE Dec03         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of QUEEN OF DENMARK by KINGMAMBO)
3  ENGLISHED         (brown c)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  MOST DIVINE Feb08         (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DIVINE INDY by MINESHAFT)
5  ROMAN FLAME Jan14 Nov10 Oct13     (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ROMANA RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  COFFEE HOUSE Dec23 Oct28 Sep23     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ZOFZIG by DANZIG)
7  FACCIA BELLA Feb11 Jan18 Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of WEST KENTUCKY by YANKEE VICTOR)
8  BENGALA JOY         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TAM-6   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOW DRAW Feb12 Jan14 Dec30 Nov25 Sep29 (mardif jame)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00 ★    
2  BAND SWEETHEART Feb03 Dec31 Oct08 Sep17 Jul30 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 8.00    
3  BEAUTY QUIST Jan25 Dec30 Nov25 Oct29 Oct07 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  RASMALAI Nov23 Jun30 May06     (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 119 12.00    
5  SHE'S REDNECKER Jan27 Jan01 Dec09 Oct20 Oct03 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 123 5.00 9% 10.00    
6  SO MOXIE Oct24 Oct03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 20.00    
7  KEKE KIMONO Jan25 Oct08 Sep18 Aug20 Jul29 (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 10.00 ★    
8  ABOVE PAR Jan20 Dec22 Nov25 Sep10 Aug20 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-7   02/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANOTTI Jan25 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
2  CINDY'S SONG Jan28 Jan01 Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 116 20.00    
3  LENTEN ROSE Feb11 Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  MIZZEN ASH Jan25 Jan11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug03 (granitz anth)ARROYO S 116 15.00    
5  PUGILIST Jan21 Nov26 Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 (cruz jesus)FERRER C 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  INANNA'S QUEST Feb11 Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 Oct01 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00 ★    
7  LULLABY LAND Jan21 Jan07 Dec14 Nov26 Oct21 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 116 8.00    
8  KATIES A LADY Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 Nov05 Sep24 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
9  FALL MOON Jan21 Nov26 Oct01 Sep07 Jul17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 15.00    
10  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Jan15 Nov26 Sep16 Aug13 Jul16 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   02/25/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIA DE SOL Jan27 Jan06 Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Feb01 Jan01 Dec10 Sep05 Aug17 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 ★    
3  GIRL PRO Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  MAY BEAU Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec23 Dec09 (wasiluk peter )COA J 119 20.00    
5  PRETTY FLATTERING Feb01 Dec02 Nov25 Mar03 Feb06 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.00 ★    
6  DISCO QUEEN Feb10 Jan26 Jan15 Dec23 Dec02 (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEESSE Mar26 Mar06 Feb23 Feb11 Jan23 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 112 30.00    
8  BRYCENS GOLD Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Jun10 May25 (tsirigotis ja)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
9  C'EST PARTI Feb04 Jan22 Jan07 Oct21 Sep28 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00    
 
TAM-9   02/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE COUCH Feb11 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 Sep30 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 117 6.00 8% 12.00    
2  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Jan21 Dec14 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  VAN DUSEN (GB) Jan27 Jan06 Dec03 Nov05 Sep22 (thomas j)GALLARDO A 116 12.00    
4  FIERCE WARRIOR Feb19 Jan21 Dec31 Dec21 Dec09 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 117 20.00    
5  SMALL HOPE Oct15 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun08 (sweez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AZURE SKY Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 12.00    
7  J BERESFORD TIPTON Jan21 Dec14 Oct23 Sep01 Jul21 (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  SANDY LANE KITTEN Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 Sep16 Jul13 (cruz jesus)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
9  FATIMA'S BLESSING Jan21 Nov25 Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
10  INITFORTHELOVE Feb11 Jan21 Sep16 Aug17 Jul13 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
SCR  GO MIKE Jan28 Dec28 Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 (richards ren)BATISTA A 116 10.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF Feb11 Jan06 Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 (wismer s)ALLEN D 116 10.00    
SCR  KING RAMOS Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 Nov27 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 116 15.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 (cascallares ne)CAMACHO SAMY 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.