Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4/6)-(7/1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(2/3)-(4/3/2/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/3/2/6)-(1/9/3/4/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6/5)-(4/3/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(1/9/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(1/9/3/4/6)-(6/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/9/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/4/6)-(9/3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/4/6)-(9/3/4/6)-(9/3/4/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (1/9/3/4/6)-(6/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/4/6)-(6/8)-(1/9/7/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/1/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/1/3/5)-(6/8/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8)-(1/9/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(1/9/7/8)-(1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/8)-(1/9/7/8/3)-(1/9/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/7/8)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/8)-(1)-(6/9/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/2/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(6/9/8/2/3) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (1)-(6/9/8/2/3)-(6/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/9/8/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/2/3)-(6/9/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/2/3)-(6/9/8/2/3)-(6/9/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/8/2/3)-(6/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/2)-(6/10/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/10/2)-(6/10/2/3)-(6/10/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT CROWN         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  MY UNCLE BILLY         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 8.00 12% 7.10    
3  CHILI RED Nov09 Oct14       (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 2.50    
4  TEXAS ADOPTER         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
5  STEP ON IT Dec20 Dec08 Oct06     (pike arthur)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
6  BUCK'S GLORY Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 6.00 ★    
7  LUNAR MODULE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
DED-2   02/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING HART Feb01 Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct15 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
2  TIZ HOPPIN Nov11 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  MISS MELODY Sep11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 May27 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 3.50 10% 8.90    
SCR  HALF PAGE Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  CATCAKE Dec16 Nov23 Oct22 Aug20 Jul29 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 6.00 ★    
6  LADY HOPPER Feb04 Jan12 Nov16 Jun16 Jun04 (ludwig b)STOKES J 114 8.00    
7  BIND ON EARTH Feb01 Jan19 Apr15 Apr06 Mar03 (west henry)MCMAHON J 114 8.00 ★    
 
DED-3   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT B CAUSE Jan27         (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
2  GATSBY'S GIFT Dec10 Nov12       (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  DREAMED I AM FAST Jan19 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Oct21 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  R T'S GEM Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 (sam thomas )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  MOSHINYFUTURE Jan19 Dec02 Oct15 Sep04   (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 10.00 ★    
6  CREEK RAIN Jan26 Dec09 Nov30     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 7% 13.10    
 
DED-4   02/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDURING PEACE Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 Nov16 Oct27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  TENSAS VIRGINIA Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50 ★    
SCR  PUZZLING PRIORITY Jan28 Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 114 3.50    
3  ROSE CROWN Jan26 Nov09 Oct13 Jul30 Jun18 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 12.00 8% 12.20    
4  MY KIKI Jan18 Jul18 Jun17 May21 Apr12 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HURRICANE TIZWAY Jan26 Jan13 Dec30 Nov02 Aug13 (turner patti)BACA L 117 10.00    
6  PRAYERS SAVED Jan18 Dec10 Dec01 Nov11 Oct29 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACTION POTENTIAL Nov19 Oct27 Sep24 Jul21 May27 (brown i)STOKES A 117 6.00    
8  FIRE OF GOLD Feb04 Jan13 Dec17 Nov23 Oct27 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 8.00    
9  MADAME JANE Feb04 Dec28 Dec03 Oct20 Oct08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 5.00 21% 3.80    
10  TIDDLY Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 (melancon donald)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
 
DED-5   02/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR LEO Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 Nov26 Nov17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 ★    
2  FAR BEYOND Jan26 Dec10 Nov11 Oct27 Oct15 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
3  UNFATHOMED Jan18 Dec27 Dec10 Nov03 Oct13 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  TEXAS RULE Jan26 Jan07       (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
5  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Jan28 Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Mar27 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 ★    
6  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Jan25 Nov30 Nov19 Sep20 Aug21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 45% 1.20    
7  INTIMIDATION Jan25 Dec22 Dec03 Nov03 Oct20 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 117 10.00    
8  UNION STATION Jan12 Dec27 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 (magnon rylee)BIRZER E 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
DED-6   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLOS LOVES TEE Feb04 Dec19 Nov30 Aug06 Jul01 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  FINNLEYS ENCORE Jan26 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 Oct22 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 4.00    
3  SMOK'N RITA Jul20 Jun23 Jun02 Apr23 Feb23 (guidry conni)BARRERA J 112 6.00 ★    
4  SASSY SUE'S BAND Dec17 Dec07 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
5  BIGJIM'S SILVERGAL Dec29 Oct29 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 (patt rolan)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
6  MY REBEL GIRL Feb01 Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 Aug18 (landry jacoby)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
7  HIDDEN EXPECTATION Feb03 Jan18 Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 6.00 8% 11.90    
8  GRACESSPECIALTOUCH Jan28 Dec28 Dec07 Oct12 Jul22 (dixon tim)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00 6% 14.50    
9  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Jan26 Jan12 Dec27 Dec07 Nov19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
DED-7   02/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARREN'S FORTUNE Jan28 Dec16 Nov03 Oct19 Oct05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 ★    
1A  GRACIDA Feb02 Jan12 Dec28 Dec03 Oct28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  MEDITATE (IRE) Jan26 Jan11 Dec14 Nov16 Nov04 (lara jorge)BARRERA J 112 4.00 ★    
SCR  INCORRIGIBLE Feb04 Dec22 May30 May10 Apr02 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  SOUTHPINE GIFT Jan19 Jan04 Nov09 Oct14 Aug24 (west henry)BOURQUE J 114 12.00    
5  CORVETTE SPIRIT Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Oct27 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.50 ★    
6  SUCH Jan19 Dec02 Nov12 Aug24 Aug06 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00 ★    
7  HIP FOUR O FOUR Jan13 Dec14 Jul05 Jun18 May22 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
 
DED-8   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DAT GINGER Jan27 Jan14 Dec22     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
2  GLORY TO ME Feb03 Jan13 Jan04 Dec16 Nov30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 5.00 11% 8.00    
3  EMMAS RULER Feb04 Dec22 Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 (de al)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 6% 15.40    
4  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Feb03 Jan14 Dec22 Mar05 Feb12 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
5  MY SWEET SOPHIA Feb03 Jan04 Dec10 Nov18 Oct12 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 6.00    
6  HERE COMES LOVIE Feb03 Jan06 Dec08 Nov26 Jul29 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Jan21 Jan04 Dec08 Oct26 Sep19 (antwine michae)BACA L 117 15.00    
8  L G GIRL Dec16 Nov22 Oct21 Aug26 Aug11 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 6.00 14% 6.10    
9  OUR LITTLE GIRL Feb04 Dec29 Dec16 Nov22 Nov04 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
DED-9   02/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACE DAY MAE Jan19 Dec27       (garza joaq)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
2  CHAOS MAGIC Jan19 Dec27 Dec14 Dec02 Nov16 (hibdon n)TORRES HUGO 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
3  YES I'M A LADY Jan19 Jan06 Dec27 Dec08 Nov18 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00 ★    
4  THURSDAY MORNING Jan20 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 (espino)RUIZ GARCIA 123 15.00    
5  ROADSIDE GIRL Jan20 Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Nov03 (latour nichola)BACA L 120 12.00    
6  SUMMER IS HOT Jan20 Dec27 Dec09 May26 Apr30 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  BOSTON BELLE Jan06 Dec14 Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 6.00    
8  ROARING QUINN Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 (gustafson austi)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
9  FANCY BLAZE Jan20 Dec27 Dec02 Apr28 Apr08 (guillory j)FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
10  ZERO POINT ZERO Feb10 Jan21       (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MO DIXIE DIVA Jan20 Jan06 Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 (melancon don)EDISON JOCELYN 115 20.00    
SCR  MOODY RAFAELA Feb02 Jan06 Dec07 Nov16 Sep12 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 20.00 11% 8.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.