Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/6/1)-(3/4/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/3)-(6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/8/7)-(2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(2/7)-(3/10/2/7/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/8/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/8/1/4)-(2/7/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/10/2/7/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/10/2/7/4)-(7/4/9/11/10) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/10/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/7/4)-(3/10/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/7/4)-(3/10/2/7/4)-(3/10/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/2/7/4)-(7/4/9/11/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2/7/4)-(7/4/9/11/10)-(5/4/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (7/4/9/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/11/10)-(7/4/9/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/11/10)-(7/4/9/11/10)-(7/4/9/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/9/11/10)-(5/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/11/10)-(5/4/1/9)-(2/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/9)-(5/4/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/9)-(5/4/1/9/10)-(5/4/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/1/9)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/9)-(2/4)-(8/5/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(8/5/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2/1)-(8/5/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON OVER ICE Jan28 Jan11 Dec10 Oct27 Oct19 (lopez mario )BATISTA A 120 8.00    
I KICKN Jan25 Sep17 Aug24 Jun26 Jun04 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
ZAMFIR Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 (richards re)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
ARCADIA CALLS Jan25 Jan04 Aug26 Aug15 Aug01 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
LITIGANT Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 Jan21 Jan02 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00    
MR LIGHTNING BOY Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.50    
 
TAM-2   02/08/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO FILM Jan22 Dec22 Oct13 Sep23 Aug07 (amado enri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00    
LIZZ A BEE Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Oct23 Oct08 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
MIZZEN AIR Jan22 Dec22 Dec02 Sep29 Jun11 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
DANCIN DEE Jan13 Dec21 Dec09 Oct22 Oct01 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  THUNDER BUGGY Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
FOXGLOVE Jan18 Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 Jun30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Jan22 Jan08 Jan01 Dec24 Dec09 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
 
TAM-3   02/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
ROYAL DAME Jan14 Dec03 Oct22 Sep28   (lorito mario)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
MOST DIVINE         (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 20.00    
GINETTES ON FIRE Dec16 Nov30 Oct23     (cruz jesus)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  TIZ A TEMPEST Jan06         (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 120 4.50 8% 12.00    
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Jan07 Dec22 Dec03 Sep11 Aug20 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
SWEET DESANTIS Jan07 Dec23 Nov08     (ferraro anth)COA J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LA TACHE Jan11 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 (sillaman richa)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-4   02/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVY WEIGHT Jan18 Jan06 Dec23 May06 Apr03 (negrete javie)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00    
CAJUN RED Jan18 Nov27 Oct29 Aug21 Jul29 (davis )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
SCR  IT'S ME AGAIN Jan22 Jan18 Dec31     (santillana fra)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
SONG OF THE HEART Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 Nov26 Oct28 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 117 15.00    
TAKEOVER KASH Jan18 Jan08 Mar19 Feb26   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00    
G BUSTER BROWN Jan28 Nov23       (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
STARSHIP MOZART Jan28 Jan20 Nov21 Nov09   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
PEINADITO Jan21 Jan08 Dec11     (laurato micha)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIMATED MISS Jan22 Dec21 Nov30 Oct08   (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
NEWYEARSPRESENT         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 8% 11.80    
SALIT Apr23 Feb10       (kintz s )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
RUDA         (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 15.00 6% 15.10    
SET SAIL CARLIN Jan07 Dec02       (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
STEPSTONES Aug09 Jul26 Jun17 Apr17 Mar31 (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.00    
SKYWARD PRINCESS Jan22 Jan01 Sep24 Aug05 Jul17 (lopez robe)FERRER C 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
SYLLABUS Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Dec07 Oct23 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
GET IT Jan29         (poole a)FELICIANO R 122 20.00    
10  HURRY UP DEAR Jan01 Dec07 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-6   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE FIRE Jan15 Jul01       (lopez robert)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Jan13 Dec28 Nov30 Nov06   (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
SCR  RED DELICIOUS Jan13 Dec30 Dec17 Jul15 May26 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
ESTILO AMOROSO         (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  LUVISANAKI Jan13 Nov04       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MADI Jan11 Dec03 Oct23 Aug17   (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
CHILD PROOF Dec14         (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
WISHIN N KISSIN Jan29         (ubide max)FERRER C 120 3.50    
LILLI ROSE         (bray micha)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00 7% 13.50    
10  KEEP ON ROCKIN         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 6% 16.90    
11  LUCKY VAN HEMEL         (posadas pedro)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
 
TAM-7   02/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYLASTREDCENT         (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00 11% 8.00    
POWERFUL NATIVE Jul09 Feb25 Jan30     (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 30.00    
UNKOALAFIED Jan22 Jan08 Nov21 Nov12 Oct13 (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Jan22 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 Aug30 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
GUIDANCE Jan22 Jan08 Nov25 Oct08   (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
LOOKIN AT KISSES Feb01 Dec30       (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
MORENA DANCER Jan22 Jan04 Dec07 Aug30 Aug09 (marre)DOMINGUEZ G 122 15.00    
LIGEIA Jan22 Jan01 Apr23 Mar10 Feb18 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50    
E M'S TREASUREGIRL         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
10  BRIENNE OF TARTH Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 Oct17 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00    
 
TAM-8   02/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPPING FISH Jan22 Jan04 Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 3.00    
TRAPPEZOID Jan14 Dec24 Dec09 Sep26 Aug19 (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 118 4.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  PEMAQUID PETE Jan27 Dec24 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 12.00 24% 3.10    
FORWARD MOTION Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 Jun22 May30 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 5% 18.00    
VINNIE VAN GO Jan22 Jan07 Dec09 Nov20 Oct29 (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 118 3.50    
TAPSOLUTION Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 Oct25 Oct11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00    
STRONG ENDING Dec22 Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Jun28 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jan27 Jan07 Dec21 Dec07 Nov23 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 111 8.00    
 
TAM-9   02/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS Z Jan25 Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 Feb11 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
MYSTIC DREAMS Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 Sep17 (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
MS BOOMBASTIC Jan28 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Dec09 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00    
OIL ON CANVAS Jan20 Dec30 Nov06 Aug22 Aug14 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
A RING THING Jan25 Jan13 Dec21 Dec02 Oct12 (delgado h)FERRER C 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
WINNING AT EASE Jan28 Dec30 Dec02 Oct23 Aug20 (banks chris)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 7% 13.70    
SUMMER AT THE SPA Jan25 Jan01 Oct22 Sep25 Aug28 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
PRUDENT SONG Jan01 Dec10 Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
STELLARATOR Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 Sep30 Sep17 (varsi anna)CENTENO E 123 10.00    
10  BIONDA SUPRISE Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 Nov23 Oct07 (yanez r)SPIETH S 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.