Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3/4)-(7/1/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(4/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(4/1/9/6)-(1/6/7/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/9/6)-(1/6/7/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/6)-(1/6/7/8/2)-(7/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/6/7/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8/2)-(1/6/7/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8/2)-(1/6/7/8/2)-(1/6/7/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8/2)-(7/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8/2)-(7/3)-(8/2/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/4/2/5)-(7/3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(8/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(8/2/6)-(4/6/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(4/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(4/6/8/5)-(10/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/7/5)-(4/6/8/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/8/5)-(10/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/5)-(10/5/6/3)-(5/8/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (10/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/6/3)-(10/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/6/3)-(10/5/6/3)-(10/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/6/3)-(5/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4/2)-(5/8/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURGEE Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  INDIANA RED Jan12 Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 Apr23 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
3  DOLICE VITA Dec31 Dec18 Nov23 Nov05 Oct08 (capuano phill)ALVELO C 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
4  BLUEBERRY MASH Jan18 Dec16 Nov22 Oct25 Oct04 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 ★    
5  TIZBIT Jan19 Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 115 30.00    
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct25 Sep30 (morrell ju)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
7  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Oct06 Sep18 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
CT-2   02/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE AIM Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
2  ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec08 Nov17 Oct27     (viands gregor)ADAMS L 111 12.00    
3  LOOKA LOOKA Jan11 Dec04 Jul16     (mcentee pau)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
4  BODYSLAM Dec09 Nov25       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
5  BRISTOL CHANNEL Nov13 Oct13       (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
6  DANNY'S WINKSTER Jan11 Dec03 Nov04 Oct01   (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  SUPER DREAMER Jan11 Dec30 Dec03 Nov11   (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 20.00    
8  UNKNOWN AGENDA Jan22 Jan07 Oct28 Sep16   (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
9  WESRIGHT Jan11 Nov20 Nov04     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SLINGSHOT BOY Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct26 (allard t)ACOSTA D 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
CT-3   02/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jan07 Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 28% 2.60    
2  ROYAL THUNDER Jan16 Dec04 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  CLASSY SOLUTION Jan05 Nov17 Nov03 Oct18 Oct01 (castro jeremi)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 10.00    
4  INSTIGATED Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov02 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
5  MEGA MILLIONS Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Oct15 Sep30 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
6  JUNGLE WARRIOR Jan05 Dec17 Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 25% 3.10    
7  NEVER COMPROMISE Jan05 Dec08 Oct27 Aug25 Aug06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
8  ELVIRUS Jan05 Dec13 Nov13 Oct22 Sep29 (gazzier kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
CT-4   02/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EX RATED Jan06 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
2  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Jan14 Dec15 Nov19 Nov11 Oct20 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 5.00 ★    
3  SAYYESTOTHELADY Jan14 Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 Aug18 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug26 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 ★    
5  WHALE OF A TIME Jan14 Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 ★    
6  BAYS CASTLE Jan19 Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
7  MIDNIGHT BRASS Jan19 Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 47% 1.10    
 
CT-5   02/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOSE THE CASE Jan11 Nov24 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
2  RIDICULOUS Jan11 Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 8% 11.40    
3  MANOLITO Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 Sep24 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 ★    
4  BRIGHT DAWN Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 Oct05 May05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 ★    
5  MARK DID IT Jan19 Jan07 Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
6  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan19 Jan11 Nov24 Oct21 Sep03 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIDGET FACTORY Jan14 Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
8  POSITIVE PHIL Jan19 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
CT-6   02/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Dec17 Nov23 Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
2  COLT ROCK Jan07 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 4.50    
3  LORD OF CORK Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
4  SPARKED A NOTION Jan07 Nov26 Nov02 Oct15   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  LITTLE ROO ROO Jan04 Dec14 Nov23     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  XCELLENT START Jan07 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13   (runco c)LEWIS M 111 5.00 15% 5.50    
7  PINNACLE REEF Jan07 Dec03 Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 ★    
8  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 Oct08 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
CT-7   02/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET CASTLE Jan07 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Oct22 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50    
2  LOVE TO ZOOM Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Oct01 Sep15 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
3  MISS WAVE Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 Oct25 Aug19 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHEESE LOUISE Jan07 Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  MY JUBA Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Nov04 Sep21 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 6.00 6% 15.40    
7  LADY MADISON Nov27 Nov03 Oct05 Aug01 Jun24 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
8  FEEL THE LOVE Dec10 Nov03 Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
9  ARROWWOOD Dec10 Nov18 Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
10  COACH RUBE Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 Nov03 Oct22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
 
CT-8   02/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNLUCE CAISSLE Oct26 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 Jun03 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
2  CANTAKEITANYMORE Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 ★    
3  MY CANDY BIZ Jan12 Nov17 Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
4  ROYAL CRUSADER Jan22 Jan11 Dec11 Nov18 Oct16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
5  AUTS REVOLUTION Jan11 Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 Sep15 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  RESPECT FOR ALL Jan11 Dec17 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
7  CHARITABLE VISIT Jan11 Sep30 Sep24 Sep08 Aug19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
8  DR. FERBER Nov19 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug20 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.