Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(5/6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/2)-(3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1/4/3)-(5/2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/5/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/5/6/1)-(1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1/7)-(3/5/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/1)-(1/3)-(3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3)-(5/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(5/9/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/9/7)-(11/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7)-(5/9/7/3/1)-(5/9/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/7)-(11/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7)-(11/6/3)-(5/4/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-8   WIN (11/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/3)-(11/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/6/3)-(11/6/3/4)-(11/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/6/3)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 45 M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO MOLLY Dec21         (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 ★    
2  TWO ANGELS Jul04 Jun18 May22 May12 Apr02 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 ★    
3  J M SKY CLASSIC Aug14 May12 Apr28 Mar18   (mejia jacob)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 20.00    
4  SI QUERE Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May22 Apr30 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 ★    
5  MORO SMOKE Nov17 Oct20       (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
6  MEMORABLE FLIGHT Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 3.50 16% 5.50    
 
HOU-3   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECLINED Dec16 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 Sep10 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
2  MALIBU THUNDER Nov19 Oct27 Aug26 Jul21 Jun26 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00 10% 9.30    
3  ERNIE BANKER Jan01 Nov07 Oct12 Sep29 Sep23 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 3.50 ★    
4  BAYRON Dec14 Dec03 Nov14 Oct10 Sep22 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 8.00 ★    
5  DEAN'S LIST May14 Apr09 Mar05 Jan08   (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 1.00 62% 0.60    
6  WISE ANCHOR Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct06 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 15.00    
 
HOU-4   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUNNING Dec11 Sep30 Sep07 Jul24 Jul16 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 6% 15.80    
  (by CONNECT out of PROPER MAD by BERNARDINI)
2  BLACKHEATH Jun03 May22 Apr18     (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 50.00    
  (by JUST A COINCIDENCE out of KATOOMBA by LONHRO (AUS))
3  FAR FROM FINAL Nov23 Oct22 Sep14     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 0.40 46% 1.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of THUNDER SHOWER by TIZNOW)
SCR  SMARTY RIDGE Dec15 Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 Sep26 (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of RUN SMARTY by RUN PRODUCTION)
5  MAYAN Dec09 Nov09 Sep22     (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LOST EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Nov21 Jun02       (martin steve)CIVACI SAHIN 123 12.00 12% 7.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of USRAH by TIZNOW)
7  WITHOUT A SONG Dec17 Nov19       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SERENA'S CAT by STORM CAT)
 
HOU-5   01/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOP ON IN Jun26 Jun05       (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 1.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  RABBIT HOLE Jul03 Jun09       (garza joa)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 12.00 10% 9.20    
3  RUBY SOHO Dec16         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  HAILEY'S JEWEL Nov26 Oct24 Oct11 Sep04 Jul21 (garza joaqu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00 ★    
5  JULIE'S PASSION Jul21         (scholl kevin)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 ★    
6  TERRI N MARY Sep23 Sep01       (roberts blai)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
7  WIN BABY WIN Jul21         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
 
HOU-6   01/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEMPSTEAD Sep26 Aug16 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (h)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
2  DRAGONFLY JACK Nov30 Nov03 Sep28 Sep02 Aug19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
3  DRAKON Nov13 Oct21 Aug24 Jul24 Jun11 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 123 0.50 50% 1.00    
4  THUNDER ROAD Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20 (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00 ★    
5  C. F. CONGRESS Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 Sep24 Aug30 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 30.00    
6  GIST Dec14 Dec08 Nov19 Nov11 Oct28 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
7  SHAMAYIM Dec08 Nov18 Oct22 Oct15 Sep24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 ★    
8  GOOD SWIMMER Nov05 Oct05 Sep08 Jun10 Feb24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
SCR  BRICK TOWN Dec16 Dec02 Nov22 Nov05 Oct05 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
SCR  WHITAKER Dec15 Nov10 Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 (fogarty d)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 8.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Nov25 Nov12 Nov05 Jul24 Jul04 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 Oct14 Sep09 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00    
 
HOU-7   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKSKI'S GOLD Dec14         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TRICKSKI by PETESKI)
2  AZUNIA         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
3  TWIN SOUL Dec16 Nov11 Oct19     (rugg)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 ★    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of OPENEDFORBUSINESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  AISHA R N Dec09 Nov12       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEMINI R N by MINESHAFT)
5  BIOGENIC BABE Dec14         (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by BIOGENIC out of HIDATSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  SPLITSECONDECISION Dec15 Dec03 Nov19 Nov11 Oct13 (d)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
7  DRENCHED Oct07         (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNBRIDLED MAGIC by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  MAREBELL Dec14 Nov11 Sep03     (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JAYCEE'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  HAPPY IN HEELS Nov03 Oct19 Sep26     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  CINNAMON FACE Dec14         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SALTY MO by UNCLE MO)
 
HOU-8   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORO WARRIOR Dec15 Nov11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
2  SCORE KEEPER Nov22 Nov10 Oct27 Mar26 Mar09 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
3  SWEET TAPIN MORO Aug13 Jul09 Jun18     (whitton mark)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLING MOUNTAIN Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 Sep17 Jul22 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 ★    
5  EUROROCKSTAR Feb12 Jan28       (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
6  GRAMI'S BOY May08 Mar23 Mar11 Feb19 Jan20 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 (schneider e)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00    
8  SPORTY FLYER Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 Nov04 Aug05 (birzer bonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
9  REYNARDINE Jul17 Jun23 May29 May06   (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
SCR  WILL THE THRILL Sep08 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 ★    
11  STAN'S MIRACLE MAN Dec15 Nov18 Oct22     (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
HOU-9   01/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTA Sep18 Aug21 Jul29 Jun11 May27 (modica oscar)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRANDONS BABE Jun18 May30 Apr30 Mar10 Jan30 (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
SCR  MISSION BELLE Jan06 Dec22 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.20 37% 1.70    
4  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Nov15 Oct13 Sep24 Jul21 Jun23 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  DISCREET SMILE Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 May19 Mar26 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  PRETTY IN PINK Dec17 Oct20 Sep03 Jul16 Jul02 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 12.00    
7  CHA CHA MISSION Oct13 Sep25 Aug26 Jul02 Jun05 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 8.00    
8  QUINN ELLA Jan06 Dec16 Sep03 Jul16 Jul01 (g)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.