Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAEME'S DEAL Jun25         (johnson b)COTTO L 116 15.00    
A MILLION STARS Oct14 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (johnson henry)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 36% 1.70    
A'DEBRIS Dec01 Nov09       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 119 4.50    
SCR  REAL ACTION Oct08 Jun04 May19     (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
MANGUM Nov12 Oct20       (delhomme jeff)MAGNON H 119 1.80 16% 5.20    
MOR BIG LEE Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Jul17 Jun25 (gelner j)BARRERA J 114 8.00    
BENOIT Nov11 Sep27       (tracy greg)BIRZER E 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
DED-2   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTA VALENTINE Jul08 Jun10 May11 Apr22 Apr07 (castille ricke)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
PROUDTOWN Nov25 Nov09 Oct20 Aug12 Jul30 (west henry)FUSILIER C 119 8.00    
WAR ZONG Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Sep24 Sep10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Nov09 Oct20 Sep12 Aug26 May11 (zeno ben)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 15.00    
LOWER CRETACEOUS Nov25 Nov02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul26 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Nov19 Nov02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 (beavin judy)FLORES S 120 3.50 11% 8.40    
MONITOR MILLS Oct12 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00    
CHAPEL OF DREAMS Nov19 Nov09 Oct20 Aug11 Jul22 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50    
C. F. CONGRESS Nov25 Nov09 Sep24 Aug30 Aug15 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 119 10.00    
10  A STAR IS BORN NOW Jun25 May21 Mar04 Jan05   (de beauv)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  TED STRIKER Dec01 Nov17 Oct26 Oct12 Jul18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
SCR  FORGED IN STEEL Nov02 Jun04 May11 Mar16 Feb19 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
DED-3   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONG WAVE         (dison mar)POMPELL L 123 8.00 7% 12.70    
AMELIES DREAMER Nov22 Nov03 Oct13     (segura k)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
PENNIE'S MAGIC Nov18 Oct19 Sep06 Aug27 Aug10 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CAT HAIR FLYING         (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
LOT'SA SILVER Nov09         (zenon shelton)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
SEEMYVALENTINE Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Aug27 Aug12 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
HAIRTRIGGER HEART Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 Jun09 May13 (zenon charles)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
ATLANTIC BAND Nov25 Oct28 Sep27 Aug27 Aug06 (gallaway eddi)FLORES S 123 15.00    
COUSIN VICKIE Nov18 Oct28 Sep19 Sep05 Aug09 (de beauville )RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 6.00    
10  LUCKY DEAL Nov11 Oct19 Aug30 Jul26   (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50    
SCR  ASHLEY'S GIRL Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep19 (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MISS YELLOW MEADOW Dec02 Nov11       (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
 
DED-4   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLOS LOVES TEE Nov30 Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May26 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
FISH N CHICK Dec10 Nov10 Oct19 Aug11 Jul30 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 117 4.50 14% 6.20    
BECCA'S BOUQUET Dec03 Oct29 Aug05 Jul02 Jun08 (turner patti)THORNTON G 118 4.00 8% 11.50    
HAMAZING LACE Dec07 Nov19 Oct15 Sep08 Aug14 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 8% 11.10    
CYBER SNEAKER Nov09 Oct19 Sep16 Aug28 Aug20 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
RUN NATALIE RUN Nov10 Jul11 Jun03 Apr15 Mar25 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 114 12.00    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Nov23 Nov09 Aug28 Aug11 Jul09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
DED-5   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET PRESENT Oct29 Sep18 Sep10 Jul22 Jun19 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
BELLA'S GATSBY Nov22 Sep18 Jul23     (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00    
LONG WARRIOR Nov12 Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Jul23 (garcia luis)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00    
SCR  NEPHI Nov26         (west henry)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
WHEELS TURNING Dec01 Nov22 Nov02 Oct05 Jun22 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
MIDNIGHT OIL Oct21 Sep10 Jul26 Jul03 May15 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
CATINANDSCATIN Nov23 Nov12 Oct19 Sep18 Aug27 (richard )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 10% 9.10    
SHOETRICK Nov22 Oct21 Aug17 Jul22 May18 (brinkman brett)MAGNON H 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
 
DED-6   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABO SUNSET Nov23 Nov09 Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MIRACLE GIRL Nov18 Oct07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  AWESOME ARCH Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep19   (bruno roland )LEDET THEODRICK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SARATOGA KAREN Oct26 Sep07 Aug21 Jul08 Jun16 (cox l)THORNTON G 122 6.00    
CASHEW Oct14 Jun25 May28     (gelner j)BARRERA J 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
ABSOLUTELY MINDY Dec07 Nov19 Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 (charles jonathan)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
MY LITTLE GUERA Dec09 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 12.00    
ST MARIA Dec09 Nov26 Nov18 Oct27 Oct07 (da walt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  MIGHTY HAPPY Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 Jul24 Jun11 (pish danny)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
10  TIME TO SLEEP Nov18 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jun23 (bernard john)FLORES S 120 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRIPLE RED ACES         (landry ray)THORNTON G 122 6.00    
LITTLE JONY Jul17 Jun19 May24     (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
GOLDEN REMEDY Sep27 Aug27       (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
OH SEAN         (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
HALF BROTHER Oct27 Oct06 Sep17     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  COOL SPIRIT Oct28 Aug03 May24 May05   (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 122 4.50    
IN DETAIL Oct20 Sep10 Jul21     (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00 19% 4.20    
HALO MOON Nov16 Oct21 Sep25     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
DED-8   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE O ONE Nov25 Nov05 Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
MAXI MOON Oct20 Sep22 Sep15 Aug16 Aug02 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
CORVETTE SPIRIT Nov25 Oct27 Oct14     (melancon dona)FLORES S 120 12.00    
DEALIN' STELEN Nov04 Oct14 Jun10 May21 Apr29 (toups brent)STOKES A 120 5.00    
CONATIVE Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Aug06 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 5% 17.80    
SILVER N LAI Oct27 Sep03 Jul11 May05 Mar11 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
HUMPHREY Nov25 Nov09 Oct27 Aug24 Jul29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
GOBLER Oct27 Sep27 Aug20 Aug02 Jul10 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 12.00    
RANCHO BARGO Oct08 Aug08 Jul09 Jun19 May14 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SUCH Dec02 Nov12 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 (lorefice matt)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00    
SCR  RIFLE MAN Dec03 Nov05 Jul08 Apr28   (weeks kenneth)BARRERA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING FORD Dec09 Nov23 Oct27 Mar05 Feb19 (dixon tim)FLORES S 120 12.00    
 
DED-9   12/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE Z Dec08 Nov05 Oct12 Sep05   (nelson r)STOKES J 119 5.00    
NOWNOWDANCER Nov26         (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
BELL PEPPER Nov25 Oct22       (winslow janin)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 8.00    
SERENGETI SIX Dec08         (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
MADAME RUE Jul09 Jun11 May14 Mar25 Mar02 (butler w)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
TIME TO CLOSE         (celestin)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
ARMS APRIORITY Dec10 Nov18 Jul18 Jun13   (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  LIL MISS SUNSHINE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
CHERRY STAR Nov26 Oct27       (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
10  TALKATIVE         (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.