Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Nov09         (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  FLASHIN PASSION May08 Apr24       (davis c)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  GRANDIOSE SUMMER Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 Jul03 May12 (silva g)CARRENO J 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
4  MANDONA Nov09 Sep17 Aug27 Jul19 Jun28 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 2.00 ★    
5  FACE OF GRACE Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Jun27 (scott j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 ★    
6  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Nov09 Aug27 Jul01 Jun03 May07 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
 
TUP-2   11/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAANFOOLERY Sep22 Sep09 Jun26     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 ★    
2  DRAMA DIVA Nov04 Aug12 Jul31 Apr29   (silva l)CORBETT W 121 8.00 ★    
3  PAISLEY'S VISION Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 ★    
4  NEEDLES AND PINS Sep19         (zimmerman jon)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00 ★    
5  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Oct15         (howey quinn)VERGARA P 121 4.50    
6  LOTSA LOU Sep19 Aug20       (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 3.50    
7  RICHARDSBRIGHTSTAR Sep17         (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 73% 0.40    
 
TUP-3   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PUBLIC HALO Nov04 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul09 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  LUGIA Sep04 Aug22 Aug14 Jul19 Jun26 (silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 17% 4.70    
3  WICKED BLUE Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
4  FLOYD KNOWLES Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★    
5  SIDE STREET DAVE Nov05 Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 Jun23 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
6  GONE SOMEWHERE Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 Aug06 Jul04 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00    
7  WRAPPED Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 May21 May13 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 ★    
8  KAT'S HITMAN Nov09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (torres-casas)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-4   11/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY CITIZEN Jul24 Jun10 May22     (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
2  THIRSTY COWBOY Nov07 Sep16 Jul31     (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
3  HE'S A FLYIN         (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 10% 9.40    
4  BIG CREED         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  DEBS WILD Nov07 Sep18       (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
6  IGO Nov08 Oct10 Jun17     (rennie k)LULL E 121 15.00    
7  FLASHIN ACES         (belvoir van)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 4.00 11% 7.80    
8  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR         (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDY BOBBY Oct01 Sep03       (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
2  MANFORALLSEASONS Sep18 Sep03       (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 3.00    
3  NUMMY NUM Nov12 Oct14 Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 (nunnally )JENSEN P 121 15.00    
4  GABE'S MONSTER Nov12 Aug18 Jul16     (torres-casas a)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
5  HUNTER JUMPER Nov12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
6  IOWA HAWKEYE Jan02         (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  ATTORNEY LOUIS Sep17 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 Jul02 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  KARL HENRY         (gleason tim )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
9  HERMISTON Sep09 Aug21 Jul16 Jun04 Apr24 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
10  FLYING WINCHESTER Sep09         (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 Mar12 Jan28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
2  CAUSE AND EFFECT Nov04 Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 ★    
3  ZATTER Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Nov05 Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (villamar ca)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
5  CONQUEST MOONMAD Nov09 Apr24 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
6  GOT EVEN SMARTER Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 (fulmer drew)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIRECRACKER STAND Nov09 Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 Aug12 (potts ashley )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
8  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 (garcia valentin )MAWING A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY KISS Nov08 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 ★    
2  J C EXPRESS Nov08 Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 (nunnally jenn)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
3  YOU'LL BE LUCKY Jul04 Jun23       (belvoir van)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00 ★    
4  STILLWATER BROWN Nov04 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul17 (guerrero orla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  SILENT DECLARATION Nov08 Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 Jul01 (pierce l)CARRENO J 121 12.00    
6  HAMMERING LEMON Jun27 Apr12 Mar24 Mar09 Feb06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
7  SPEEDING STYLE Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 Apr01 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
8  RI' PIN SNAP Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug27 Apr28 (barrio sergi)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
9  KOVACS Nov08 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LAZARUS COME FORTH Feb26 Feb10 Jan19     (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
11  STANWOOD WARRIOR Nov04 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14   (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
12  SYZSLAK Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 121 5.00    
 
TUP-8   11/22/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTERBURY GOLD Sep14 Sep01 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 15.00    
2  MS SALLY Sep12 Aug15 May03 Feb22 Jan27 (o'brien debb)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
3  Y NOT SIZZLE Sep03 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12 May26 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
4  ALL NATIVE Nov04 Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jun29 (eidschun greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
5  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Nov09 Oct15 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 (rennie richard )CORBETT W 119 6.00 6% 15.70    
6  SASSY CAT Sep29 Jul22 Jun01 Apr29 Apr22 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  DISCERNMENT Nov07 Sep12 Sep03 Aug08 Apr02 (trela rosemary)LULL E 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 (kereluk ed)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
9  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 May07 Apr20 (whitehouse wilton)CARRENO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 (axmaker w)MAWING A 122 4.00    
11  STARS OF BLUEGRASS Nov14 Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 Jun26 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
12  IF YOU WANT IT Aug28 Aug18 Jul17 Jun26 Jun01 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.