Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARYLAND PRIDE Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 Jul30   (geralis em)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 4.00    
CARIBBEAN GOLD Oct30 Oct07 Sep18 Sep05 Aug27 (hamilton)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNORTHODOX Oct28 Oct07 Sep14 Aug20 Aug06 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA Oct18 Sep14 Aug20 Aug09 Jul31 (shuman mark)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
SIDD FINCH Oct09 Jun23 Jun05 May20   (levine bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50    
PRINCE OF PORTLAND Oct22 Oct08 May29 May07 Apr15 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 117 12.00    
JUST DEAL WITH IT Oct21 Sep11 Aug23 Aug11 Jul15 (parra hernan)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
HONOR MY WORLD Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug30 Jul22 (horner)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00    
PASSWORD PROTECTED Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00    
SCR  BRANCO MARIA Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 Sep15 Aug27 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  BRACES Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 8.00    
SCR  DOLICE VITA Nov05 Oct08 Sep09 Aug21 Aug06 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
13  SEVILLE ROW Oct22 Sep17 Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
SCR  T REX Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 Sep10 Aug31 (rogers ronald )PEREZ XAVIER 123 8.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  RALLY SQUIRREL Oct07 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (maker j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.80 17% 4.90    
 
LRL-2   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON ROCKET Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00    
PANNA MINE Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 May13   (clagett )BUTTERFLY L 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
NEVER SILENCED Nov07 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul28 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
DR RAGS Oct21 Sep25 Sep18 Jul29 Jul15 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 20.00    
SCR  JOHNNY SWISH Oct20 Sep08 Aug19 Aug13 Jul16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
VALIANT GABE Oct05 Sep03 Aug03     (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
SUPERSTITIEUX Oct02 Sep09 Aug18 Jul03 Jun10 (zerpa gilbert)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
ELEAZAR Oct29 Oct08 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 12% 7.50    
SIBERIAN Oct26 Oct04 Sep07 Aug18   (lawrence ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
 
LRL-3   11/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTIGATED Nov02 Oct01 Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 (ramirez )BUTTERFLY L 126 6.00 14% 6.30    
LIFESPAN Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
MASAI MAN Nov03 Oct13 Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 6.00    
MR. MOSLEY Sep18 Aug26 Aug20 Jul15 Jun24 (feliciano m)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
ANTIPOISON Oct28 Oct15 Oct08 Sep23 Aug12 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
NO FOOLING DUDE Oct22 Sep16 Aug10 Jul19 Jul11 (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
E J'S REVENGE Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 Sep05 Aug26 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 123 8.00 9% 10.60    
MR. WALSH Nov03 May06 Feb18 Jan19   (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 20.00 8% 12.10    
 
LRL-4   11/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS BRIDGE Oct09 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
SCR  FRIENDLY FELLA Oct16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
U S CONSTITUTION Oct16 Sep30 Aug19 Jul21 Jun26 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 (bennett jua)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
SCR  GOLDINI Oct21 Oct09 Aug04 Jun10 May08 (jacobson da)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
SCR  UP AGAINST IT Oct22 Sep30 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00    
AMENDED Aug16 Jul23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun26 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 20.00    
KENDAMA Nov07 Oct23 Sep23 Sep07 Aug09 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
GOLDEN DECISION Oct15 Sep16 Aug17 Aug05 Jul01 (lawrence james)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  GLORY SONG Oct07 Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 May08 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  CAN'T PASS IT UP         (dunham b)FLORES JR 123 4.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  STRONG HEADED Oct16 Aug29 Aug09 Jul20   (fout douglas)ARAUJO DENIS 123 8.00    
SCR  SHANE'S JEWEL Oct10 Feb02 Jan17     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 51% 0.90    
14  BATTALION Oct16 Sep30 Aug21 Jun25 May28 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 5% 17.80    
15  ONE TWO KID Nov07 Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 10.00    
16  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Oct25 Sep30 Sep08 Aug01 Jul04 (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
 
LRL-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKE N SIN         (vick m)DELGADO A 124 20.00    
BLUE MOON BUNNY Oct30 Aug21 Jul22 May29   (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 12.00    
LADRO DI FICHI Oct06 Aug21 Jul28 Jun26 Jun04 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.00 19% 4.20    
THUNDER BOSS Oct06         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
LUCINA         (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
ALLIALLIOXENFREE         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00    
STORMARELLA Oct21 Aug24       (reardon c)CALDERON JORGE 126 30.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL JET Oct21 Oct06 Aug29     (reardon c)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
SIZZLING HOT Sep16         (eppler mar)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 10.00    
 
LRL-6   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSERATI Oct22 Sep30 Sep02     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 6.00    
SKYLAR'S SISTER Oct22 Sep28 Aug31 Aug07   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 8.00    
BEATIFUL KARLA Sep22 Aug05       (avila carlo)CASTILLO A 119 10.00    
GENIEINABRIDLE Oct16 Sep25 Aug09 Jul15   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00    
MO CO GOLD Oct16 Sep15 Sep02     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
ALEXIS'S STORM Jun09 Apr30       (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
PHAROAHS BABY GYAL Oct06 Sep11       (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
CHICKIENESS Oct22 Sep28 Aug31 Jul09 Jun24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  FANCEE GRACE C Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 Jul09 Jun22 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
10  TAPPIN JOSIE Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 Jun01 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
LRL-7   11/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE NINE NINE Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May26 May13 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 123 10.00 6% 14.70    
ONE TEN Oct30 Oct06 Sep02 Jul30 Jul08 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.50    
BALTIMORE BULLEIT Apr16 Mar13 Feb24 Feb19 Jan16 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
DREAM BIG DREAMS Oct06 Sep09 Aug05     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Nov05 Oct06 Sep25 Sep03 Aug05 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
CRABS N BEER Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
JACKIE A Nov03 Sep25 Sep05 Aug21 Jul17 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
MY BOY PADDY Oct22 Sep09 Aug05     (rivera justin)RUIZ JORGE 126 30.00 5% 18.70    
GALLANT GOLD Oct30 Oct15 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 10.00    
SCR  LYING JEFF Oct08 Sep22 Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 (allard edward )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 30.00    
 
LRL-8   11/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SUPER SALLY Oct07 Sep16 Aug14 Jul08 Jun11 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
SOMMER VELVET Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Jul16 Jun18 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 35% 1.80    
RED QUEEN Oct30 Oct07 Sep03 Jul09 Jun22 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCAMPER ALONG Oct27 Oct12 Sep10 Aug07 Jul16 (downing william)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
DIAL EMMA REILLY Oct27 Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jul22 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
HONOR YOUR MOTHER Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 Aug18 Jul27 (smith jaso)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 10.00 13% 6.70    
SHINY PENNY Oct27 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug14 (maldonad)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 15% 5.90    
ILLUSION OF HOPE Oct28 Oct06 Aug17 Aug07 Jul21 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.