Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - November 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/13/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLICANT Oct30 Sep29 Aug22 Aug12 Jul24 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
2  REMEMBER THE MAINE Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 Aug31 Aug11 (campbell joel)MOJICA JR 121 4.50 10% 8.50    
3  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Oct22 Oct02 Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
4  GRAND HIDEAWAY Oct21 Sep30 Aug16 Jul06 Jun25 (reid r)COLON H 121 12.00    
5  DRAMATIC KITTEN Nov06 Oct15 Sep23 Aug02 Jun24 (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 114 30.00    
6  RIVER FINN Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 Jun24 Jun04 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00    
7  SAMURAI MIKE Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Jul24 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00    
8  UPBEAT MELODY Oct20 Oct02 Sep05 Aug15 Jun11 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 1.80 49% 1.10    
9  STORMIN EL PRADO Oct21 Oct02 Sep15 Aug27 Aug16 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00    
10  MASTER GUNS Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul09   (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00 7% 13.60    
11  THE BOSS FACTOR Oct30 Oct21 Sep24 Sep13 Aug28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  RONNI'S STORM Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 Aug23 Jul29 (ramos franci)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00    
 
HAW-2   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHALY POSSE Oct21 Sep30 Aug26     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
2  RAINY MOUNTAIN Aug12         (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
3  WILDWOOD GHALY Oct23         (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.00 ★    
4  MAZLAN Sep23 Sep09       (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 ★    
5  SILVER EYES Oct21 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 Jun28 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
6  USA USA USA Oct21 Sep30 Sep01 Aug10 Jul09 (young terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 ★    
7  TENSE Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
8  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Sep09 Jun17 May20 Apr30   (childers vance)COLON H 122 30.00    
 
HAW-3   11/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH TUFF Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 Aug27 Aug18 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  RED HOT DEVIL Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 Aug15 Jun25 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 1.40 20% 4.10    
3  TURN THE SWITCH Oct30 Oct02 Sep15 Sep04 Aug24 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 ★    
4  MY LITTLE TIPSY Oct28 Sep24 Sep16 Sep02 Aug16 (butler gera)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 6.00    
5  GOLDENPENCE Oct22 Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 Jun18 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 15% 5.80    
6  TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 (haran john)BAIRD T 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
7  DEVIL'S RULE Nov04 Sep30 Sep24 Jul23 Jul08 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 10.00    
 
HAW-4   11/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Sep24 Sep12 Aug06 Jul08 May27 (reavis l)FELIX E 121 20.00    
2  SHE'S WANDAFUL Oct16 Oct01 Aug06 Jul03 Jun17 (miller r)BAIRD T 121 6.00    
3  ON A TOUR Oct28 Oct14 Oct02 Sep07 Aug10 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
4  ZANDREA'S Oct23 Oct01 Aug27 Jun17 Jun03 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 15.00    
5  SEAWARD Oct23 Oct14 Sep24 Sep13 Aug19 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 5.00    
6  SENSE OF SELF Oct01 Aug29 Jun17 May20 May06 (ramirez ca)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
7  STACK SHACK Oct16 Sep23 Aug24 Aug08 Jun17 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 6.00 ★    
8  DAIGLE Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 Aug06 (rengstorf )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
9  KINGSBURY DREAM Oct08 Jun17 May28 May06   (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
10  GOOD MONGOLIA Sep30 Aug14 Jul17 Jun01 May20 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
11  SILVERA Oct23 Oct02 Sep24 Sep07 Aug03 (candelas blanca)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
12  AROSE FOR LYLA Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00    
SCR  LEA RO Oct14 Sep22 Jul23 Jul05 May21 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  ACCORDING TO ASPEN Sep07 Aug14 Jul02 Jun12   (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   11/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Sep06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun14 Apr23 (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
2  BANDIT SWANSON Oct20 Aug02 Jun19 May12 Apr16 (hernandez armando)BAIRD T 121 6.00    
3  DEVIL VISION Oct20 Sep17 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★    
4  CAPTIVATING MOON Jun25 May28 Mar26 Feb19   (block chris)MOJICA O 121 5.00 ★    
5  HOT SHOT KID Oct20 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 May18 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00 ★    
6  READTHECLIFFNOTES Oct29 Oct15       (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 ★    
7  RICHIESGOTGAME Oct15 Sep25 Jun21 Jun03 May13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 68% 0.50    
 
HAW-6   11/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLIE RULER Oct22 Oct09 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 (quinonez max)LOPEZ E 121 5.00 8% 12.30    
2  KITTEN ROCKS Oct15 Sep25 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
3  ALMAFUERTE Oct15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 8.00    
4  COUGER Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 Sep15 Sep04 (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
5  RANK AND FILE Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 7% 14.10    
6  STERN Oct15 Sep19 Sep02 Aug08 Jul18 (clay pat)EMIGH A 121 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  CATANIA Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 May22 Apr22 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  WANNA HAVE FUN Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Aug24 Aug05 (hughes w)COLON H 121 30.00    
SCR  SUPERSTAR DIVA Aug23 Jun10 May20     (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 ★    
10  COOKIN ROSES Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00    
11  PRANCIPANTS Sep23 Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  BEIRUT BEAUTY Sep25 Sep16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 (reavis l)FELIX E 121 8.00    
 
HAW-7   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKER'S WIN Jun28 Jun11 May21 May07   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
2  COMISKEY PARK Oct23 Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (hernandez armando)BAIRD T 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  BEEALEA Oct23 Oct01 Aug25     (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 ★    
4  ANDREW THE GIANT Oct21 Oct01 Jun25     (ross s)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
5  BRUCE BANNER Oct28 Aug30 Aug10 Jun24 May27 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 6.00    
6  REDNECKERTHANYOU Oct30 Oct09 Oct02 Sep26 Aug29 (riecken bruce)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 ★    
7  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Oct21 Sep30 Feb12     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
8  COURTHOUSE COVE Oct23 Oct01 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 (plasters lori)MOJICA O 119 8.00    
9  MAC PANDOWDY Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 12.00    
10  ROCKET HOTSHOT Sep23 Sep04 Jul29 Jun12 May14 (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 114 30.00    
 
HAW-8   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI SILVER Oct28 Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Jul29 (butler ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 ★    
2  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 Jul01 Jun25 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
3  MYNAMEIS PRINCE Oct28 Oct09 Sep08 Aug27 Jul28 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00 ★    
4  KANITHAPPEN Nov04 Oct14 Jun18 May27 May06 (meraz antonio)BAIRD T 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Jun25 Jun04 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 121 30.00    
6  TEA AFTER BALLET Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 Sep02 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
7  JACKS SPRING BREAK Sep14 Aug31 Aug08 Jul07 May25 (reid r)COLON H 119 4.50 47% 1.10    
8  LARK Oct07 Sep25 Aug19 Jun18 Jun11 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.50    
9  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 (young r)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 18% 4.70    
10  WELLER ROGUE Oct14 Sep26 Sep05 Aug14 Jul15 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
11  MADELYNS HEAT Oct16 Oct01 Aug31 Jun25 Jun18 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 12.00    
12  DYNAMOMETER Oct28 Sep08 Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.