Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/12/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS RIVER RAT         (block chris)MOJICA O 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  J Z'S FINE WINE         (zawitz joel)LOPEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TU ROYAL         (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 15.00    
SCR  AIR GERRI Oct14         (block chris)FELIX E 120 10.00    
5  GOLDEN STAR         (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
6  STARS ON FIRE (IRE) Sep01         (ward a)BAIRD T 120 2.50    
7  KEEP LEFT Oct15 Oct01       (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 12.00    
8  BLAZE BEAUTY Sep24         (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 120 30.00    
9  PRINCESS TONI Nov02 Sep23       (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 120 30.00    
10  ANGEL EXPRESS         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 120 15.00    
11  DIVINE GRACE Oct13 Aug10 Jul01 Jun03 May05 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
12  MIZZEN GEE MA         (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARGAIN HUNTER         (divito p)FELIX E 120 6.00    
SCR  PORTFOLIO         (garrett j)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUIE P Sep17 Aug13 Aug02 Jul09 Jun21 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.00 ★    
2  WEEKEND PASS Oct16 Oct02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 (hughes w)COLON H 121 8.00 11% 7.70    
3  QUEEN'S MISSION Oct07 Sep29 Sep07 Jan03   (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 121 2.00 ★    
4  DARING DAMSEL Oct16 Oct02 Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
5  KIMBERLY FRANCES Oct16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul05 Jun18 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  WATCHIN THE WHEELS Sep17 Aug20 Aug02 Jun21 Jun04 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
HAW-3   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AHEADOFTHEGAME Oct07 Sep24 Jul30 Jul09 Jun28 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 ★    
3  AMANI'S EAGLE Oct22 Sep24 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 6.00 10% 8.90    
4  MILLARD'S SMILE Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 Aug16 Jun24 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  PINEDALE Oct22 Oct07 Aug05 Jul30 Jun17 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
6  CINDY'S STORM Sep28 Sep12 Aug26 Aug09 Jul28 (ramos francisc)COLON H 118 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   11/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE IRONY Oct21 Oct07 Aug17 Aug02 May30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 8% 10.90    
2  MYSTIFIER Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 30.00    
3  GATE CREW Oct21 Sep24 Apr15 Feb27 Feb05 (boyce michele)EMIGH A 121 15.00 6% 15.40    
4  SAMYAZA Oct21 Sep08 Aug31 Aug20 Jul17 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  DYNABLUE Nov04 Oct21 Sep24 Aug20 Jul30 (poulos dee)BAIRD T 121 20.00    
6  POWER THROUGH Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (block chris)MOJICA O 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  BENS MALICE Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 5.00    
SCR  MASTER OF THE RING Oct12         (maker j)FELIX E 121 4.00    
9  LORING PARK Oct07 Sep10 Aug10 Jul14 Jun15 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
10  IRONMAN RICHIE Sep24 Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 (rodriguez edua)RIVERA BRYAN 110 30.00    
11  CHANGI Oct21 Jun06 May15 May01 Mar05 (dolan jea)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00    
12  CHICKEN TRUCK Oct21 Sep24 Sep14 Aug18 Aug03 (broberg karl)COLON H 121 20.00    
SCR  BERN N ASH Sep22 Sep01 Jun23 May27 Apr15 (dunn d)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 Jun11 Apr23 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00    
 
HAW-5   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHAALEB'S MAGIC Oct28 Sep03 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.50 6% 15.10    
2  TIME BREAK Oct28 Oct09 Aug30 Jul16 Jun28 (jansen kenny)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  SIMPLY FAST Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 Sep06 Aug20 (retana gabe)COLON H 121 20.00    
4  SUMMER LOVIN Oct28 Oct09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul17 (riecken bru)ORTEGA O 121 12.00    
5  FLYING BUSINESS Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00    
6  ARCH FLYER Sep20 Sep03 Aug09 Jul09 Jun21 (quinonez max)MOJICA O 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  IRISH HALO Oct30 Oct16 Oct09 Oct02 Sep24 (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 114 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  COME ON SWEET PEA Oct23 Oct01 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-6   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Oct14 Sep23       (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 115 15.00    
2  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Oct14 Sep23 Aug30     (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 115 5.00 ★    
3  MOM'S TOWN Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 3.50 ★    
4  GULF BENDER Jul26         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 115 8.00    
5  GO ON GIRL Oct20 Aug03 Jul26 Jun23   (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 115 8.00 ★    
6  CANDY LOOKER Oct14         (fridley steve)SANCHEZ DIEGO 115 30.00    
7  CAT ROYALE         (boyce michele)EMIGH A 115 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  LIL CARRIE D Oct14 Sep23 Jul01     (slager mike)ORM CORY 115 20.00    
9  PRIMITY Sep17         (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 3.00 49% 1.00    
10  CANTOO Sep23 Aug26       (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 115 10.00    
 
HAW-7   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH BROW May06 Apr17 Apr03     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  BOURBON DELIGHT Oct16 Jun24 May27 Apr29 Mar24 (divito p)FELIX E 118 3.50 ★    
3  ZARMAE Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 Aug27 May28 (bahena fernand)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00    
4  FLASHY RICHIE Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 ★    
5  SUPRISE CAT Oct29 Oct07 Aug17 Jun10 Jun04 (young r)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  A BOLD RYDE Oct21 Jun28 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (pompell robert)REYES ANGEL 121 20.00    
7  SCAT SHACK Oct21 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 (ramos francisc)COLON H 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  MAJESTIC ATTACK Oct22 Oct02 Aug27 Jun04 May21 (childers vance)MOJICA JR 118 15.00    
 
HAW-8   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUTURE VISION Oct16 Oct07 Aug16 Jul16 Jun25 (juarez)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50    
2  TSALI Aug06 Jul23 May27 May01   (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 114 30.00    
3  BOURBON TEDDY Oct28 Jul16 May28 May13   (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 119 6.00 ★    
4  EVIDENCE Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  JACKS SPRING BREAK Sep14 Aug31 Aug08 Jul07 May25 (reid r)COLON H 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  TAPIT SAM Oct09 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  BLEEDING BLUE Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 119 30.00    
8  STUN GUN Oct28 Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 (miller m)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
9  DEORA STORE Nov04 Oct07 Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
10  GREAT PLAINES May07 Apr23 Apr02     (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 12.00    
 
HAW-9   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHAVIN MYSELF Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Aug31 Aug13 (rengstorf tony)LOPEZ E 124 6.00    
SCR  WILD FOX Oct28 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  IRISH MAJOR Oct29 Oct09 Sep30 Sep24 Jun18 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
4  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep12 Aug23 (holsapple h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 30.00    
5  CHRISTIAN C Oct14 Sep30 May13 Apr17 Mar02 (bahena fe)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00 8% 11.50    
6  GAGOOTS Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 12.00    
7  BIG PINES SANDY Oct28 Oct09 Oct01 Sep12 Aug27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
8  KRAMDEN Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Aug27 Aug18 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 8% 12.30    
9  NOT VERY GENTLE Sep30 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 10.00    
10  BUXTERHOOTER Oct22 Aug14 Jul27 Jul17 Jul04 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 124 4.50 7% 12.50    
11  FEELING DANGEROUS Oct22 Oct14 Sep30 Aug05 Jul17 (rodriguez edua)RIVERA BRYAN 114 8.00    
12  THE LAST OPTION Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 (hernandez javie)MOJICA JR 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.