Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - October 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   10/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALTIC FLEET Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul06 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 10.00    
SCR  SKYSCANNER Oct19 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Jul26 (treharn)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
JAMMING CAMERON Aug30 Jul20 Jun20 Jun08 May01 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 43% 1.30    
I'M A COOL MAN Oct17 Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 Jul24 (cain crys)CORREA L 120 10.00    
AW ITE Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
CATES SWOOSH Oct19 Oct09 Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 (boyd l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
HOLY SAINT Sep12 Aug08 Jul20 May03   (hackney w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00    
 
MNR-2   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD FORTY FIVE Oct18 Sep27 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Oct11 Sep05 Aug05 Apr30 Mar11 (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 117 10.00    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Oct23 Oct09 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 20.00    
CHROME'S RIGHT Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 Aug21 Jul24 (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
BIKO Oct18 Sep05 Aug23 Jun02 May17 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
JOE BRRRR Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jul19 Jun21 (chapman jam)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
MY REDEMPTION Oct03 Sep23 Aug26 Aug19 Jul24 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 118 4.00 8% 10.80    
 
MNR-3   10/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK SIX Oct17 Oct04 Aug15 Jul24 Jul18 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
UNTAPPED ENERGY Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 Jul25 Mar10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
SILVER PACKAGE Oct17 Oct04 Jul27 Jul17 Jun22 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 3.00    
LADY BREANNA Oct03 Sep14 Sep04 Aug08 Jul26 (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
FOR MY MOM Oct12 Oct02 Jul03 Jun07 May31 (bissell chey)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 5.00 5% 17.20    
FASHION FRAME Oct23 Oct12 Oct02 Aug01 Jun21 (ortiz-rui)CORREA L 120 4.00    
 
MNR-4   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERACLITUS Oct16 Sep19 Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 123 3.50    
BEYOND GONE Oct05 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May08 (zook je)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRATEGIC EKATI Oct05 Sep04 Jun29 Jun08 May15 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
ARTAVIA Oct05 Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIN FRONT Oct17 Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 Jul26 (baird john )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
TOP HAT WARRIOR Sep27 Sep06 Aug07 Jul13 Jun20 (stansbury julie)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY Oct06 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul05 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 3.00    
DOCTOR LEE Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Jul19 Jun20 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-5   10/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LATE ONE Oct02 Sep08 Aug15 Jul12 May21 (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 118 15.00    
MY BUDDY B Sep01 Aug08 Jul15 Jun04 Apr02 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (sp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 15.00    
CAIRO CALLING Sep14 Apr28 Apr01 Mar10 Feb12 (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50    
JOSHY JAK         (ch)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
WHISKEY SUNRISE Mar20 Feb17       (pena yendri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  AIN'T STRAIGHT Oct05 Aug11 Jul21 Jun13 May21 (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
KILTOOM Oct06 Sep19 Aug24 Aug15   (cain crys)CORREA L 120 4.00    
SCR  AWESOME BID Oct12 Aug08 Jul19 May25 May04 (chapman k)CCAMAQUE M 118 10.00    
 
MNR-6   10/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMICUS BRIEF Oct19 Sep25 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
SHELTOWEE'S BALI Oct24 Oct10 Jul10 Jul06 Jun22 (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
HE'S A FINE MAN Oct12 Oct05 Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 (larue ste)CORREA L 120 30.00    
BANKX TURBO Oct10 Sep25 Aug15 Jul06 Jun13 (demczyk virg)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 10.00    
LIMIT UP Oct05 Aug24 Jul20 Jun23 May22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 0.80 29% 2.50    
WELD Jul18 Jul03 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 (montano wil)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   10/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD KARMA Oct23 Oct10 Sep20 Aug30 Jul26 (silva jua)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
TACHLIS Oct14 Oct01 Aug29 Jul19 Jul09 (glyshaw tim)MAYTA J 118 8.00    
BOURBON SOCIAL Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 Jul21 Jun24 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
UNUNDERSTANDABLE Oct04 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
PAO DE QUEIJO Sep13 Aug16 Jan14     (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
LOADED ONCE MORE Oct03 Sep19 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  CURT'S ANGEL Oct23 Oct10 Sep13 Aug29 Aug21 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   10/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE'S TAVITO Sep28 Sep14 Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 (ortiz-rui)CORREA L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
EPWORTH Sep27 Jun11 May16 Apr24 Mar17 (hancock davi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
OLGA AGAIN Oct10 May17       (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 120 15.00    
GREEDY ALGORITHM Sep14 Aug21 Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 118 15.00    
MY BRIDGET VERDOT Oct17 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Aug16 (ewell s)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
MILLIE (CHI) Oct17 Sep25 Sep07 Aug14 Jul25 (snatchko pa)OLIVEROS CHARLE null      
DIVA DIXIE Oct04 Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 Mar19 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
GOLDEN SWEETS Oct09 Sep25 Sep14 Jul18 Jul05 (baird john )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
SACRED SUNDAY Oct17 Sep25 Jul27 Jul02 Mar25 (montano wilfrid)VEGA L 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  JEWEL OF WINTER Oct09 Sep25 Sep07 Aug09 Jul25 (pena ye)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00    
SCR  EASY IS GOOD Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.