Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Jul31 Jun26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 5% 17.90    
2  AUTOCRATIC Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 Jun09 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
3  GETTINHOT'NHERE Sep16 Sep03 Jul16 Jun11 Mar23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
4  MOVE IT Jul29 Jul01 May28 Apr30 Apr15 (cox l)POMPELL L 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
5  SONIC CITY Sep13 Aug02 Jun25 May14 Apr15 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  PAT ME DOWN Oct08 Jun24 May26 May14 Apr30 (west henry)FLORES S 117 15.00    
7  PAY DIRT Sep20 Feb24 Jan22 Jan07   (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
8  OH SNAP Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 May19 Apr01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
9  WARRIORS HAVEN Jul04 Jun16 May29 May15 Apr29 (g)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  BAYOU BEAUX Sep13 Sep03 May14 Apr15 Feb24 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-2   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE RIDGE HEAT Sep20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun16 (thomps)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
2  HOLY WAR Aug03 Jul01 May25 Apr27 Apr08 (roberts kennet)BACA L 120 12.00    
3  AMERICAN REBEL Aug11 Jul13 Jul01 May28 May06 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARLOS LOVES TEE Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May26 May04 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50    
5  L G GIRL Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  BEYOND D'ORO Aug13 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun08 (simon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  LACIS JEWEL Aug18 Jul15 Jul01 May27 May12 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLY SONG May30         (taylor larr)FLORES S 120 10.00    
9  KASEN'S SISTER Aug12 Jul22 Jun16 May25 Apr28 (leblanc jeanne)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
SCR  BETISON Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 May13 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 117 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
DED-3   10/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN AWAY SAMARI Jul23         (woodley j)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
2  TECHE SOLUTION Aug10         (meza m)RODRIGUEZ L 120 15.00    
3  DREAMED I AM FAST Aug10 Jul15 Jun20 May19   (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  ASPIRATIONAL Sep17 Sep04 Jul04     (duhon josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  MOONLIGHTMADDY         (klanfer alan)MAGNON H 120 8.00 ★    
6  ONECALLTHATSALL Oct08 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10   (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  R T'S GEM Oct08 Aug20       (sam w)STOKES A 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
DED-4   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THEO D'OR Aug29 Aug09 Jul23 Jun21 Jun04 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 117 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  LOU'S ARROW Sep19 Sep06 Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWIRLING CHIEF Oct01 Sep11 Aug15 Jul16 Jun20 (guillory j)BIRZER E 123 4.50 7% 14.00    
4  CAPTAINS COVE Oct07 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug09 (butler ken )MORALES ROBERTO 123 15.00    
5  HALF A BUCK Sep11 Jul25 Jul02 Jun12 May22 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 15.00    
6  DARE TO FAIL Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul08 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00 22% 3.50    
7  LOUIS LE GRANDE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
8  NATE'S REVENGE Jul29 Jul02 Jun03 Feb11 Jan14 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
9  MR. SNOWFLAKE Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 Apr15 Feb25 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
10  NINEJUANJUAN CALL Jul26 Jul16 Jul05 May31 Apr13 (tracy greg)BARRERA J 112 8.00    
 
DED-5   10/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AARON'S SPIRIT Sep15 Sep07       (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
2  RUN CARLOS Aug13 Jul23       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  HALO MOON Sep25         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
4  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE         (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
5  MARVINS' WARRIOR         (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FANCY PAYNTER Aug27 Aug16       (dixon tim)FLORES S 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORO OUTLAW Sep13 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10   (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
8  THE FIVE B'S         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
9  MACHINE GUN MAN         (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
 
DED-6   10/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTY Sep03 Jul17 Jun07     (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
2  HIGH VALUE TARGET Oct05 Sep25 Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  CRAFTY PRINCESS Aug24 Jul21 Jul09 Jun11 May11 (arndt theod)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00    
4  CLOCKED IN TYME Aug11 Jul09 Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 20.00 ★    
5  MISSGREELEY'SSONG Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 (west henry)COTTO L 120 15.00    
6  GIFTED TALENT Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Oct12 Jun24 Jun09 Apr29 Feb09 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 115 4.00 11% 8.30    
8  SASSY SUE'S BAND Oct12 Aug21 Jul11 Jul03 Jun18 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
DED-7   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITHM NIC Sep08 Aug21       (richard chris)BIRZER E 117 1.40 62% 0.60    
SCR  NO WHITE FLAGS Jul31         (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 4.00 10% 9.40    
3  MOR VICTORY Oct06 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05   (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00 ★    
4  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Aug27 Aug11 Jul20 Jun18   (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 12.00    
5  BRATTON Jul24 Jun10       (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
6  PROBLEM CHILD Aug19         (alonzo)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00    
7  ACCRUAL Sep03 Aug16       (pish danny)BACA L 117 12.00 7% 12.80    
8  SHEER ELEMENT Sep17         (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Oct08 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Mar27 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEAU Sep10 Jun18 Jun10 May22 Apr29 (alfortish sean)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50 7% 13.30    
3  HALF AGAIN Aug04 Jul12 May21 Apr14 Mar26 (faucheux ron)STOKES J 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  JIMI'S A STAR Aug06 Jun28 May22 Mar27 Feb24 (johnson henry )COTTO L 115 10.00    
5  MAGEEZ Aug20 Jul08 May26 Mar27 Jan27 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 8.00    
6  GRAND LUWEGEE Jan06         (perron gerard)POMPELL L 115 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  DINAR Aug17 Jul16 May06 Apr09 Mar01 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  FULL OF GLORY Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr23 (west henry)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
9  SNIVELING Aug29 Aug19 Jul09 May30 May19 (g)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
10  EASY TO MISS Aug19 Jul13 May28 Apr16 Feb16 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
 
DED-9   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL DE BE Oct12 Sep26 Sep11 Jul26 Jul03 (williams b)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
2  SHOETRICK Aug17 Jul22 May18 Apr22 Mar02 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Sep25 Aug30 Jul16 Jul04 Jun14 (kanhai joseph)STOKES J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  VALDINA DREAMS Sep26 Jul02 Jun04 May13 May01 (payne w)COTTO L 120 10.00    
5  MIDNIGHT OIL Sep10 Jul26 Jul03 May15   (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  SAINT PIO Sep30 Sep07 Jul24 Jul08 Jun21 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
7  PRODUCTION TIME Oct05 Jul01 Jun08 May27 May11 (celestine c)FLORES S 120 20.00    
8  ACCEL JOE Sep26 Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 (willia)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
9  CASTLEBERRY Oct07 Sep11 Jun14 May01   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNCLE BRAD Sep24 Aug01 Jun21     (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.