Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY DEVIL Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 ★    
2  MY GIRL MELLY Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 Jul11 Jun30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 27% 2.60    
3  DUPLICATED Sep28 Sep14 Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00    
4  GIO'S MY DAD Oct04 Sep14 Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 10.00    
5  CARINA'S WAY Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 Jan22   (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.00 ★    
6  DANCE FOR BOURBON Sep06 Aug24 Aug01 Jul17 Jul01 (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  MAPLELINE Oct11 Sep14 Sep06 Aug05 Jun22 (burnett armst)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
PID-2   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND VENUS Sep22 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26   (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 118 8.00    
2  SCOOP THERE IT IS Oct05 Jul18 Jun27 May25 Apr22 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
3  TALES OF MAKENNA Sep27 Aug17 May06     (rice lin)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
4  TRACKER JACKER Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 118 6.00    
5  KIKI'S LULU ROSE Oct10 Sep28 Jun22 Jun13 May07 (gotera c)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 ★    
6  TAMI'S ORCHID Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 Jun05 (englehart jer)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 ★    
7  MACRELLETTA Sep22 Sep15 Sep07 Aug15 Jul28 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
PID-3   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN'S DEFENDER Oct05 Sep21 Aug25 Jul15   (stokes lance)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
2  BAY DEFENSE Oct11 Aug31 Aug03 Jul03 Jun12 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 124 20.00    
3  CRITICIZE Oct02 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
4  BRAMBLE BEACH Oct06 Sep21 Sep10 Jul17 Jun11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
5  WHONEW'S TREASURE Oct06 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  MAGIC WIZARD Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 (fennessy john)SPIETH S 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  TIDDLY WINK Oct13 Sep20 Sep14 Aug29 Jul18 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  PAPA CHARLES Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (gotera juan )BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 ★    
9  MID ATLANTIC Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul16 Jun17 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
PID-4   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH THE DIP Sep21 Aug31 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00 ★    
2  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Oct05 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
3  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Oct05 Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  FIRST CRUSADER Jul27 Jun04       (morris r)JURADO EDDIE 122 12.00 ★    
5  WHISKEY DASH Jul13 Jun30 Jun16 May25   (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
6  CANDY MY BOY Aug15 Jul14 Jun28 Jun14 May30 (white ro)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
7  DONALD Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Jul26 Jul14 (hogue james )AYALA J 122 5.00    
8  LEAVEITALONELARRY Oct05 Sep21 Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 (hayes larry )ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 ★    
 
PID-5   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLOWAY PEAK Sep10 Aug13 Jul10 Jul02 Apr10 (lawrence lee)SPIETH S 118 3.00 ★    
2  JUST PRAISE Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Mar27 Mar12 (guciardo john)STANLEY O 118 15.00    
SCR  CARRONADE Sep27 Aug17 Jan08     (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
4  NORTH CAROLINA Sep14 Jul25 Jul10 Jun11 May19 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
5  LINGFIELD PARK Aug24 Jul13 Jun24 Apr29 Mar23 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
6  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  HUNTIN' THE RUT Oct05 Sep20 Sep05 Aug29 Aug09 (carr-rozantz cathy)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
8  THE HONORABLE ONE Aug23 Jul25 Jun14 May20 Apr25 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
 
PID-6   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKDOORPARTY Oct04 Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 Jun01 (martin w)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
2  RICHARD HOOTY Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN Oct11 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul21 (kocijan bori)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
4  UMBRAGE Sep28 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 (englehart jeffre)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
5  CREATIVE CHOICE Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 5.00 ★    
6  PRINCE AMADEUS Sep15 Sep06 Aug06 Jul20 Jul03 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 122 15.00    
7  SPEED WAY Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 Jun03 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
8  DECEIVER Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Jul12 (russell randal)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
9  SUMMER PALACE Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
PID-7   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SOUPER SWEET Sep05 Jul25 Jun09 May24 Apr16 (trombetta michael )SPIETH S 122 2.50 ★    
2  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Sep19 Aug15 Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  SPANISH DELIGHT Oct05 Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 Aug03 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
4  PRAISE AND HONOR         (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
5  I RECALL Sep19 Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 Jun09 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  DYNASTY OF HER OWN Sep19 Aug15 Jul24 Jun04 Apr30 (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 4.00 ★    
 
PID-8   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG FRANK Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 3.50 43% 1.40    
2  OLE G MAN Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Aug18 Aug01 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 6.00 ★    
3  EASTON ROCKS Sep21 Sep04 Aug21 Mar05 Feb16 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
4  GIOVANE'S PROMISE Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug09 Apr27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 20.00    
5  BREWING STORM Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun23 (rawles alcin)AYALA J 122 6.00    
6  FEAR THE DEER Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Aug01 (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  PUNX Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 (stokes lance)ALLEN M 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
8  GENERALONAMISSION Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 (stokes lance)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
9  SKYDIVING Oct11 Oct05 Sep20 Aug24 Aug01 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.