Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G MONEY LIV Sep20 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (jansen kenny)BRACHO A 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
2  MARGARET DRIVE Jun23 May20 May13 Apr28   (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
3  TOTAL DISCRETION Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun30   (shirer a)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 ★    
4  CAIRO DRIVER Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun30 (dillion jimmy)MCKEE J 120 6.00 27% 2.60    
5  MERRY OF SOUL Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
6  SIS BOOM BOB Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 Jul19 Jul09 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.00 ★    
 
BTP-2   10/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14.9K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLO GIRL GLO Sep07 Aug10 Jul19     (sherman alan)FELIX E 121 3.00 ★    
2  SKY JUICE         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  VIVI BRASS Sep16         (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  TIA FRIDA Sep14 Sep07 Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 (fernandez)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 20.00    
5  SISTER CODE Sep16 Sep02 Jul14 Jun17   (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00    
6  SWISS WHISKEY         (axmaker cody)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  RAG TOWN         (sherman alan)REYES R 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
BTP-3   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIOR BUG Sep13 Aug05 Jul15 Jul06 Jun11 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  RECKLESS L J Sep20 Sep02 Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 (haehn r)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
3  TOASTTORODNEY Sep30 Sep08 Aug18 Aug12 Jul22 (grubbs l)FELIX E 118 8.00 ★    
4  FREDERICKTOWN Sep23 Sep07 Jul21 Jun08 Apr15 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
5  ORB OF THE BORO Sep14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul06 Jun22 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 8% 11.40    
6  TWO LAST WORDS Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 6.00    
7  SAY IT AIN'T SO Sep30 Sep09 Aug22 Aug11 Aug02 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 6% 15.90    
 
BTP-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A. P. AVATAR Aug30         (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 120 12.00    
2  NOTARIO         (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 5.00 ★    
3  OVERLY D'ORO Sep28 Sep07 Aug09 Jul24 Jul02 (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Jul24 Jun25       (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.50 6% 15.20    
5  FORT STROOPE Aug24         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  BE RUTHLESS Aug30         (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 4.00    
7  GAMBI         (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 117 12.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY IS GOOD Sep22 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun23 (mcvickers l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
2  TETON THAI Sep08 Aug22 Jul29 Jun17 Apr16 (house gary)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
3  STORMY NILE Sep09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun23 May27 (ewing ann)OUZTS W 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  NINJA KITTEN Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 Jun01 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 123 5.00 ★    
5  CALL TONY Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
6  MISS HATTIE Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Jul28 Jul08 (thompson daniel)BUSH V 123 15.00    
7  KAIYAS SONG Sep08 Jul06 Jun23 Jun10 May04 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
8  DEVILISH TRUTH Sep22 Jun23 May31 May11 Apr22 (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
BTP-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Sep27 Sep14 Aug11 Aug02 Jul15 (nocero carmi)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50 ★    
2  COLOMBIANO Sep27 Sep14 Aug30 Aug11 Jul26 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 5.00    
3  CHROMIUM Sep27 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05   (rodak geraldine)FELIX E 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ESTILO VARONIL Sep14 Aug05 Jul06 Jun11 May07 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  MASTER LEA Sep27 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
6  CELTIC MISCHIEF Sep30 Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 May21 (cook k)MCKEE J 123 4.00 ★    
7  DRINK Sep30 Sep12 Aug05 Jul05 May06 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
BTP-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Sep16 Aug24 Jun18 May06 Apr22 (ackerman kelly)OUZTS W 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  PERFECT LIMIT Aug20 Jun06 May19 May04   (ackerman kelly)OUZTS W 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE Jul27 May13 Jan07     (cannon steve)FELIX E 118 10.00    
3  WAITING ON WILLIAM Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 Jul20 Jul08 (helmbrecht wil)REYES R 121 12.00 7% 13.90    
4  SUPORB Sep29 Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul15 (edwards will)HALDAR J 118 8.00    
5  LITTLE LUCERITO Sep16 Sep05 Aug23 Aug05 Jul29 (fernandez)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 10.00    
6  COMMANDANDCONTROL Sep02 Aug05 Jul19 Jun09 May18 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
7  STORM CHARGING Sep23 Sep15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul07 (fernandez edward)BUSH V 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
8  BEAV'S BOO Sep16 Apr01 Mar14 Feb19 Jan21 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 121 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
BTP-8   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J BOONE Sep09 Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 (sands shan)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 5.00    
SCR  CIRCLE THE KID Aug17 Jul31       (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 5.00    
2  SLOW DOWN BRODY         (platt noah)BRACHO A 121 8.00 18% 4.40    
3  RUBINSTEIN Sep29 Sep09 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  SONSHINE PEGASUS Sep29 Sep01 Aug03     (austin timothy)MOJICA JR 125 30.00    
5  ROBIN'S GIANT Sep12 Jul27 Jul14     (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  AMERICAN SILVER Sep20         (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 15.00    
8  RARE N READY Sep07 Jul28 Jun21 Mar18 Feb23 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 ★    
 
BTP-9   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA'S JOY Sep21 Aug17 Jul03 May21   (gilliam james )REYES R 125 6.00    
2  MAGGIE E Sep26 Sep07 Jul27 Jul06 May26 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 2.50    
3  MY HEAD HURTS Sep29         (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 122 30.00    
SCR  FIONA Sep30         (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 122 8.00 40% 1.50    
5  BOURBON MISS Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 Jul05 May18 (jennings joe)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 5.00 9% 10.20    
6  CLASSIC TALE SAVER         (ackerman kelly)OUZTS W 125 12.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  BAL A BAE BEE Aug17 Jul29 Jun11     (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
8  CROWN OF FAVOR         (langemeier)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
9  SPARE A DIME Jul01         (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
10  LIL RED CLOUD Sep30 Sep07       (forston roy)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
 
BTP-10   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODYTHEOXMAN Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 Aug04 Jul22 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 121 8.00    
2  DOWN HOME KITTEN Sep28 Sep16 Aug22 Aug03 Jul13 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAHIK Sep16 Aug23 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (harrison r)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 12.00    
4  AYCAPOTE Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 Jul22 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 5.00 11% 7.70    
5  HIGH POWERED Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
6  LONTANI Sep22 Aug02       (smith larry)REYES R 121 3.00    
7  MIGHTY MERLE Sep23 Aug31 Apr29 Apr09 Feb24 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
8  PAYNTED Sep14 Aug22 Jul22 Jul13 May19 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
9  KENTUCKY COOL Sep30 Sep14 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
10  TONALTALITARIAN Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Aug05 Mar17 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
11  SAVING MAMA Sep30 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.