Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - October 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY Sep15 Aug25 Jul28     (russell nathan)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
2  LARK Sep25 Aug19 Jun18 Jun11 May27 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  OPTION Sep17 Aug21 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 (berndt joe)GUTIERREZ HERNAN 114 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  KING ZION Oct02 Jun17 Jun11 May28 May21 (perez manny)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
5  GLASSATO Sep03 Aug10 Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 120 8.00 ★    
6  STORM'S REFLECTION Sep14 Aug25 Aug10     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-2   10/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE IRONY Aug17 Aug02 May30 May12 Feb25 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  RAVE ON Sep14 Aug17 Jul19 Jun29 May30 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00 ★    
3  LORING PARK Sep10 Aug10 Jul14 Jun15 May29 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  SOUPER FORTUNE Sep15 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 Jun29 (rosin w)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 5.00 11% 8.30    
5  TWO COOKIE RULE Sep05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May20 (poulos dee)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00    
6  MON AMI FUZZIE Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jun28 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
7  DELFT BLUE Sep04 Aug27 Aug03 Jul02 Jun18 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
8  COMING UP ACES Aug17 Jul16 Jun10 May14 May01 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
9  BETTER THINK TWICE Aug24 Aug02 Jun25 Jun10   (block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   10/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUTURE VISION Aug16 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May24 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
2  KNIEVEL Sep15 Aug24 Jul31 Jul10 Jul02 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  RECKLESSNESS Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 (mason ingrid)RIVERA BRYAN 114 8.00    
4  EGOMANIAC Sep14 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.00 ★    
5  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Aug09 Jul20 Jun04 May14   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Jul20 Jun24 Jun04 May07   (thurman rho)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00    
7  COPPER CROSSING Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (pompell ro)MOLINA F 121 20.00 ★    
8  FEEDING FRENZY Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 Jun15 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
HAW-4   10/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CONNECTOR Aug23 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar25 (johns justi)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 10.00    
2  GRAY ATTEMPT Aug23 Jul13 Jun21 Mar19 Feb19 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  IAN GLASS Sep05 Aug27 Jul23 May24 Apr01 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.00 ★    
4  RACE DRIVER Aug26 Jul23 Jun18 Feb12   (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  CITY DRIFTER Jul23 Jun21 May31 May15 Apr09 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 8.00    
6  SMOKIN RICHIE Sep13 Aug06 May19 Feb26 Jan09 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) Aug23 May15 Mar12 Mar06 Jan21 (vanden britt)FELIX E 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 May21 Mar04 (cook brian)COLON H 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOM CAETANO (ARG) Jul16 Jun18 May28 May07 Apr24 (matthews doug)LOPEZ E 121 6.00 ★    
3  FIRERY TALE Sep14 Aug24 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50    
4  DARK HEDGES Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 ★    
5  AWESOME FAMILY Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 Jun10 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 12.00    
6  JACK VAN BERG Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 Mar31 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 63% 0.60    
7  DR. FORMAN Sep13 Aug30 May15 Apr16 Apr03 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 15.00 ★    
8  TALE OF THE NILE Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jun24 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
 
HAW-6   10/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITALE Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun26 Apr27 (block chris)MOJICA O 117 4.00 ★    
2  SIMPLE LOGIC Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 Jun25 Jun10 (block chris)EMIGH A 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  BUREAU Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 May14 (watkins m)FELIX E 117 8.00    
4  EMPTY HOLSTER Aug24 Jun10 May14 May01 Apr16 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 121 20.00 20% 4.10    
5  TUFF ATTACK Jun03 May27 May01 Apr16   (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 Jun10 (young r)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
7  POWER THROUGH Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun18   (goldfine m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
8  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Sep25 Aug30 Aug16     (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
9  DEORA STORE Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 Jun18 Jun10 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUPRISE CAT Aug17 Jun10 Jun04 May14 May01 (young r)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.50    
 
HAW-7   10/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINEDALE Aug05 Jul30 Jun17 May27 Apr03 (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 117 6.00    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (martinez a)LOPEZ E 117 8.00 ★    
3  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Aug27 Jul22 Jul02 May16 Apr20 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 5.00    
4  THE BLACK STRAT Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 Jul12 Jun29 (vitali mar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  JUSTICE ONCE Sep12 Aug27 Aug08 Jun25 May30 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 ★    
6  SEMINOLE BEACH Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jul29 Jul01 (randazzo frank)COLON H 124 4.50 8% 12.20    
7  ZARMAE Sep20 Aug27 May28 May14 Apr30 (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00    
8  AHEADOFTHEGAME Sep24 Jul30 Jul09 Jun28 Jun18 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
HAW-8   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN'S MISSION Sep29 Sep07 Jan03     (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  GODSGIFT Jun17 Jun03 May13 Apr23 Mar04 (rose wayne)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00    
3  SWEET CONFUSION Sep23 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 Jun09 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00    
4  FIRST SQUADRON Sep25 Aug13 Jul19 Jul02 Jun04 (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00 5% 18.30    
5  COOKIN ROSES Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug09 Jul15 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00    
6  COUGER Sep25 Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
7  INDAWIN Sep24 Sep15 Sep07 Aug31 Aug11 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SUMMER LOVIN Aug28 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26   (riecken b)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
9  FLYING BUSINESS Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul17 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 7% 12.60    
10  RANK AND FILE Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Jul11 (lopez elias)MOJICA O 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.